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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. Significant rainfall chance next Friday and Saturday.
  2. Higher elevation snows on Tuesday possible, also snow showers to the far NW. A secondary cold front Monday night may end up moving through our area with little in the way of precipitation with it as the deeper moisture is shoved offshore with the earlier front. Given the strength of the incoming upper-level trough however, cannot ruled out some lingering light rain showers (snow showers across the far northwest) Monday night and early Tuesday morning. Low temperatures by Tuesday morning will be mainly in the 30s. While temperatures in the mid 30s are forecast all the way south into Delmarva, it will be too windy and dry for any frost formation.
  3. https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1907793713801077104 Damn that SE ridge ! Several days of deep layer moisture feed out of the Caribbean and Gulf into the lower/mid-Mississippi River Valley leading to extreme rainfall totals. Blame the "high pressure/ridge" off Southeast U.S. coast for blocking traffic and directing the massive atmospheric river.
  4. Looking like a wet weekend pattern going forward. Also, no way to be able to mow or do early crops.
  5. Very small area of clearing. Moving across Northern northeastern Maryland into Northern Delaware won't last long, but temperatures have come up a bit since the sun has showed itself
  6. Looks like .28 here
  7. Getting hit rather hard this morning. Initial line of storms maybe 4:00 a.m. secondary line of storms that were stronger hitting the area around 6:10 a.m.
  8. Mostly NW of us. But, better than nothing, just wish it would not be cloudy every day.
  9. Yes, yesterday was chilly on dog walk, going out now should be much better, 74 here presently. The clouds though are just stubborn and I need sunshine, even just a little.
  10. OMG how depressing this weather is, and its only just begun.
  11. Ryan Maue @RyanMaue · 27m 26 concurrent tornado warnings as major outbreak escalates
  12. JB celebrates the cold rain.
  13. Clearing made it, sunny now, temps going up !
  14. Interesting. If sun comes out was going to mow the lawn. If not later Tuesday. Not many nice days in the forecast. Appears to be a very active end of week with more clouds and chances of rain.
  15. Mount Holly thinks its a good bet we go up towards 80 in the Delmarva zones. We shall see. Front did make it much further South than anticipated. The biggest challenge for today will undoubtedly be the temperature forecast. A big "boom or bust" temperature day for those in the vicinity of the frontal boundary. The frontal boundary has made it much farther south, and with much more potency than previously expected. Given this trend, the high temperature forecast was lowered by several degrees for areas near, north, and east of the Philly metro. Delmarva should easily climb back into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees again.
  16. Decent area of clearing moving from West to East. Wondering if it make it to us, if so, it would warm up rather quickly from Philly South.
  17. Maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow evening or overnight From Mount Holly this morning : skies are expected to be mostly cloudy Monday but temperatures are still forecast to warm into the low to mid 70s. The cloudy skies will also helping limit daytime heating and overall instability with MUCAPE values largely less than 1000 J/kg. However, there will be very strong dynamics and shear in place, so much of the area remains in a SLIGHT risk of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center, mainly for damaging wind gusts within severe thunderstorms. It is also worth noting, however, that the 0-1 km shear and helicity look to be quite high so a tornado or two will be possible. Confidence on this is lower though. The best chance for some severe weather will come during the afternoon and early evening while the heavy rain threat will be highest through the mid to late evening into the early overnight hours as storms tend to grow upscale and instability becomes more elevated.
  18. Yesterday outside and landscaping with zero bugs, today everything is out, I liked yesterday way more !
  19. Lots of clouds this morning and a few sprinkles as well.
  20. Maybe the heavy rains in the Midwest will make it to our area past day 5, and extend through hours 360
  21. Too much hype and faith in the AI Euro model. Still waiting on my 36 inch snowstorm , and my 11 inch snowstorm, and my 6 inch snowstorm, and my 5 inch snowstorm......etc.
  22. Exactly. Very discouraging for agriculture and for the water tables. Soil moisture levels continue to decline and will do so even more the next couple days with the warmer temperatures.
  23. Monday has the potential to reach 75 to 79 F. Second warmest day this year following Saturday's 80 degree day in many areas.
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