frd

Highest rainfall totals have shifted well North of the area into NE PA. and Eastern New York state. Of course things could change locally with heavier storms. Feels like a summer morning out there already with temp of 72 and DP of 64

Yep, you are correct. Looking at the radar frame by frame the main cell has now weakened, and another much weaker cell has formed East of the Proving Grounds over the water.

Watching the radar thought the movement would bend more East with time, but it is continuing to move NE. Some sort of boundary ? Thought it might clip me. but not looking good.

Watch out boaters in the upper Bay Special Marine Warning ANZ530-531-022300- /O.NEW.KLWX.MA.W.0044.250502T2137Z-250502T2300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 537 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD... Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD... * Until 700 PM EDT. * At 536 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Middle River to Back River, moving east at 15 knots. HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Boaters in small craft could be thrown overboard by suddenly higher winds and waves capsizing their vessel. * Locations impacted include... Turkey Point, Hart Miller Island, Gunpowder River, Northeast River, Worton Point, Pooles Island, Spesutie Island, Aberdeen Proving Ground, and Havre De Grace. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes

Rather warm and a bit humid in the sun here. Placing a compost, top soil mix into the garden this morning, to see if I get better results this year, both in crop yield, but also to see if maybe tomato blight might be reduced by having new soil onto of the over wintering blight spores.

Area of early AM clouds moving East, clouds to the West currently in Ohio and West VA., nicest day for a while today. Dew 37 F.

Dew points creeping up 64 F here.

That G might pop into a O

Three minute downpour here.

Temps

Interesting 6 to 10 day outlook. Not a real surprise though.

The rainfall distribution is rather blotchy

Interesting looking at the East Coast surf zone temps compared to 2024 and also reviewing the Atlantic basin as a whole. The Atlantic is near 2 degrees F cooler than last year on this date, lesser hurricanes activity is a possible outcome, however, the near shore water temps actually are somewhat above 2024 at this time. Beach season may arrive earlier this year.

These would be excellent offshore surfing winds in a couple months, granted not as strong though. current surf conditions are: Surf easing for PM hours with breezy offshores knocking down the surf We have plenty of rideable lines sticking around the knee to thigh high zone early PM with standouts in south Ocean County consistently hitting waist high. Winds are breezy WNW-NW so conditions are clean, but looking racy/challenging on the low tide early PM. Swell drops out through the PM with winds shifting more NW over the afternoon/evening hours so bring a longboard that can get you into the small surf through the stiff offshore breezes.

Dew point 29 , nice.

Next cool air delivery after tomorrow might be near May 3 rd to May 6 th, somewhat related to the SSWE that took place weeks ago.

Dew point dropping quick, down to 39, meanwhile winds gusting to 35 mph.

Crazy storm across Assawomen wildlife area on the Delmarva. Two special marine warnings

That was the heaviest rain in a long while, even though it did not last that long. Very welcomed !

Can nicely see the line forming to the NW on the GOES-19 - Sector view: Northeast - GeoColor

Storms picking up in intensity West of Baltimore. Some peaks of sun here, models depicted that yesterday, which may up the rainfall odds later.

Intense cell near Hagerstown moving SE but I imagine then start to pivot more East.

Wonder if we get that broken line later ? Seems the odds may have decreased, not sure. Radar at this time has some storms in Western PA., West VA. Clouds are zipping by West to East.

Areas all around you got .05. You were lucky Pathetic here .06

Next mid-week looking warmer and warmer. Meanwhile soil moisture going poof. The biggest item of note, is the persistence of forecast temps warming into the low to mid 80s for Tuesday and Wednesday. While the guidance has come down from its earlier peak towards the mid to upper 80`s, there still is a 30-40% chance of seeing temps above 85 for southern NJ and DelMarVa on Wednesday based on NBM probs.