frd

A bit stormy hopefully.

We are not in the highest probabilities for above rainfall. Better than brown though.

That is true, so many red flag warnings the past year.

His sourdough bread looks yummy. Very healthy I hear.

Although not totally drought related, the warmth coming this Saturday only occurs in one out of every 10 March days. Difficult to say this brief Warm-up is an indication of a hot summer coming up. Time will tell. There certainly have been times when the warmth has been concentrated during the months of April to June and then we have more normal temperatures from July until September.

Very frustrating. I look at the rainfall potential over the next four to days , and then over days 6 and 7 . You have areas of rainfall the highest to the east of us over the Atlantic and to the west of us. The Eastern seaboard continues to suffer in our area.

30 here.

If anything this should translate into rainfall potential, however, weeks 3 to 4 look drier

I could care less for 90 since summer lasts here until the end of October, 8 months from now. Rainfall and drought feedback will play a role here this summer despite some modeling going with the core of the heat in the Midwest and Plains.

Yes, but not loving the lack of sunshine now for Fri., Sat and Sunday. What was sunny is now cloudy. I rather have 50 and sunny, versus cloudy and 60.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Warm front gradually lifting northward across the area Thursday night through Friday night should result in an overall milder trend, though passing low pressure may produce some rain, especially across northern parts of the region and especially Friday night. The warm advection should result in lows mostly above freezing Thursday night, highs approaching or passing 60 in much of the area Friday, and lows remaining in the much milder 40s to low 50s Friday night. This front then starts to stall to our northeast, and passing waves of low pressure along it may cause oscillations. The end result is that while overall, the weekend looks mild, a northeast to southwest temperature gradient is expected, with areas closer to New York City more likely to struggle to reach 60 both days, while the central Delmarva could easily be well into the 70s. Chances of rain will likewise be higher across the north, with much less chance down in the Delmarva. Lows Saturday night will also be mild, likely 40s north and 50s south. Stronger frontal system then likely crosses the region Sunday night into Monday, with better shower coverage region-wide, but also warmth becoming more widespread a southerly winds increase just before frontal passage. This likely pushes lows into the 50s for much of the area Sunday night with most of the region reaching the 60s Monday, with 70s more likely in the Delmarva.

Modeling seems to have the core of the heat in the center of the country with a pretty bad drought developing there. Also of note, our area is painted as having normal rainfall.

April severe time period showing up.

Lost count of how many days this months had winds over 30 mph., and a good number of days over 50 mph. Had to duct tape the trashcan/recycle lids the entire month.

This is the craziest multiple storms in a long time. Driving home from work, traveling from Newark to Middletown, non-stop heavy rain, T&L flooding in certain areas, the forecast did not mention this extreme possibility this morning. Rain total should be very high here.

Just like snowfall forecasts, rainfall potential is dropping in the long-range

Maybe frequent episodes of cold frontal passages for the next 4 to 12 weeks. Looks like the "dripping" from large #polarvortex disruption will begin last week of March and continue for multiple weeks afterwards. First drip is predicted to have low impact but we need the caboose to get from upper stratosphere to surface for big impacts, probably in July.

Tomorrow may be the warmest day until the middle of April here.

Lastest modeling and analogs point to a summer here where excessive heat is unlikely, and also the higher chance for rainfall versus drought. The core of the heat and drought will develop next month and extend deep into the summer around the Northern Plains and Western US.

Active pattern coming up, Thursday rain and thundershowers, then cooler and windy. Warmer by weekend then another system next Monday. Wednesday and Thursday warmest days in the near term.

52 mph wind gust moments ago, crazy, stuff flying everywhere outside. Looking at clearing line moving ENE rapidly. Temps should respond. Southern area of storms look to miss me to my South, atmosphere may be more primed for the later storms.

Well it appears the 70 degree high for this Weds here is not happening, due to some onshore flow even with WA. Another change is the significant rain probability for Thursday night is lessening as the set-up/timing and energy miss us to the North. Look for chilly weather after the strong cold front and it may last a while. Booo

Low 60's here Winds just starting to pick up.

Pretty now , sunny through high clouds.

Well, it appears that possibly @CAPE's hood might see some brightening sky before the end of the day. Clouds are thinning out and some breaks very far to the SW of me in VA. moving NE.