frd

0.85" currently. Very nice regionwide rainfall.

The wet, the cool and the high winds have been relentless.

We are in uncharted waters this May with an historic Nor'Easter earlier this month, and then this coastal low as a follow up. The last several year High pressure configuration to our North is setting up a bit different so far and wondering what this will entail for the hurrucane season. Early thoughts are more home grown, closer to the coast development versus the MDR. The active period continues on Friday afternoon and Saturdaty as well, with more energy moving in.

Pouring rain currently here.

European precipitation pathways forecast long range indicates the potential for significant rainfall in the East somewhere past June 2nd to the middle of June

Rainfall totals upped significantly at the WPC latest update

Colder anomalies lessen in the East during the day 6 to 10 period. Upper lows continue both in the East and the West. A slow pattern change should begin after this time period. Precip pathways indicate gulf moisture transport possible towards early to mid June.

Another deep NE low possible this weekend. The past Nor'Easter of last week was a once in a multi decade event for May.

Most of the higher totals are to the South. A winter pattern.

Looks like some energy moving through from Western PA. currently. There some some showers out that way moving ESE, actually just had a brief sprinkle while working in the garden.

Looks more like late November, cloud cover-wise and feels like March, Home Depot garden area had a wind tunnel effect, yikes its was cold !

Clearing line rapidly moving West to East.

The 6 to 10 day period looks wet and below normal. No real heat on the horizon. Coolest air / above normal precip matches our area from some of the seasonal model runs.

Beyond the surf zone the Western Atlantic is warming up fast, and compared to last year at this time the Western Atlantic, Carribean and the Gulf are all much warmer. This raises the odds of closer to home tropical development and it could start as soon as in a few weeks. Temperature 60°F surf zone 59ºF air temp 3/2mm wetsuit

.70 here, more to my far SW in @CAPE 's hood, and its not over yet. More showers and even a thunderstorm is possible this afternoon.

Pouring here presently. Good forecast by Mount Holly on the late evening rainfall potential from earlier this morning.

Rain nearing the Eastern shore currently, so far today with .27 inches of rain, I will take it.

Mount Holly seems to to think later today and tonight for the Eastern and Southern areas based on forcing and other factors. We shall see. Looking at radar trends seems for my area two time periods to watch, in a few hours for the area of rainfall moving in from the West and then tonight as stated by the AFD. As the new surface low consolidates and moves north to off the New Jersey coast later tonight, the forcing for ascent should increase for a time again and this may be tied to a zone of 850 mb frontogenetic forcing to the north and west of the surface low. Depending on the strength and placement of this, a zone of heavier rain is possible. This should also result in an increase in the rain from west to east across much of the area this evening. An easterly low-level jet migrates northward across our area, especially tonight into Thursday morning, which could add to the ascent across parts of the region. Some of the rain will be heavier at times, which is when some localized urban flooding cannot be ruled out. Total rainfall amounts are forecast to be 1.0-1.5 inches across the region through the day Thursday. Some elevated instability could occur for a time especially this evening mostly south and east of Philadelphia, although it is less certain if it would be enough to result in some lightning/thunder.

Canadian air masses continue into early June. Zero signs of any real heat.

WPC noted changes with placement of the low. Noteable reduction of rainfall with latest forecast. Still early though

Surf zone in Southern NJ finally broke through 60 F. Temperature Surf 61°F Air 68ºF 3/2mm wetsuit

Last evening, nice to see it roll in.

Wow

More rain, whats new. Very sticky presently. DP 65, however, Chicago's DP is 41. Come to Papa. Need sun to dry the lawn for a much needed cut.