DDweatherman

Truly, us northern MD folk aren't far from getting a pretty good outcome, even on the Euro. Also a good sign as Will said in the NE forum is that the Euro isn't holding back on QPF. This is going to be a moisture laden event. A few more smooth shifts like you said and we would have a solid thump. Euro barely gets us above freezing.

Looks pretty decent, some good improvements through 78 with location of the low, flatter evolution at h5, and the high pressing down a bit. It should come 30-50 miles SE of where 0z was. Let's see what the next few frames have in store.

We really need to split this thread up, regardless of the weekend implications. Its wednesday, and Saturday is in the long range thread.

The ICON sure is cold at the surface. Places like Westminster up to PSU and Loseto barely break freezing in the event. CAD has been showing up better as the wedge increases from that high to our north. Ideally, would like to see the GFS do further separation of the streams or wash the wave out to the SE.

It looked that way, and it is worse at h5, but then the low basically pushes southeast and somewhat looks like the GEFS from a few days ago. Solid snow DC and north at 84.

Well we basically just lost the NAM. Its still not as north or amped as the other models, but its not where we liked it de-amped compared to the other models. Low is in Kentucky versus the 6z time where it was in Louisiana. Of course the middle ground crushes you and I up here on the front end.

What's really interesting is almost unanimously at 0z the models so far have put us back in the game, especially the northern folk. One more trend like that at 12z tomorrow, and there would be real potential. GFS ensembles sound much improved in the New England/NYC forums.

Just from what I see, the difference in low location when it reaches that part of the country looks pretty similar to 12z just a bit faster maybe? I'd say it could be reasonably similar. Maybe not 18" for PSU but should show some snow if I had to put money on it. Cold air looked to be nosing down with a bit of a wall north.

Truly will be interesting to see what the UK does now at 0z, as the GFS and GEM have both opened the door for at least prospects of a thump of snow before a change to rain. GFS gets 3-5" for those usual NW suspects, while the GEM sure was close. As Ji said, laughable h5 differences from last run. Can the UKIE hold?

The one in Westminster off Englar? Has to be that one right.

Randy, you might as well make Ji admin after all, put it to you that way.

He used to be sharper, must just be tired.

In other words old news Yoder.

Where’s the Clarksburg folk that always get a good band and stay 2 degrees colder than you down there?

Better than last GFS run and similar to NAM is what he means. Not sure I agree to that extent, but gfs has improved again it seems.