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About Scraff

  • Birthday 03/23/1970

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    Elkridge, MD
  • Interests
    Winter Storm Tracking, WV Mountaineers, Caps, Cowboys, Craft Beer, Fitness Training, and Varying Levels of Heavy F’ing Metal!

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  1. Come on blue on blue! I know one person will that will like it...or find a reason to hate it.
  2. I’m a big fan of Larry Cosgrove. If this...or @psuhoffman doesn’t have you fired up for the next few weeks.... “I realize that there is a huge disparity between what some of the longer term modeling is showing for temperatures, and my analog projections. If you believe the CFS and ECMWF panels, none of the codler regimes showing up in late January will stick around in February. But realize: the model guidance has been useless since Labor Day. The impressive southern branch and flow splitting has created a thermal projection that looks like a typical El Nino, instead of what La Nina climatology (which the equations are using heavily) would suggest. And with the steady -ENSO signal projected to weaken, some of the blocking elements shown on the February 500MB comparison chart will come into play. Realize that the potential storm for January 24 - 28 is a very big deal in the outline for February! The event would set a template of sorts, with continued blocking around Baffin Island, helping to set up a recurrent chance for Nor'easter type cyclones (both Middle A and B variety. Cold drainage would be made easy by ridging that sets up along the West Coast and nearer to the North Pole. Curiously, the analog platform has the eastern two-thirds of North America about as cold as what Europe has been recently. An upper low centered roughly over Lake Superior and into central/southern Ontario would create happiness to snow and cold enthusiasts, quite possible through March as well. Note that a) hemisphere snow cover has expanded greatly, and b) the splitting of the 10MB circumpolar vortex has continued with ridging in far northern Canada. If you project on past modeling of stratospheric temperature, the potential is there for occasional cross-polar flow. So whereas Siberia is the coldest source region now, drainage may help to reform the cAk "motherlode" into Nunavut AR and the Northwest Territories. I think it is safe to say that snow and ice potential will be higher east of the Rocky Mountains, and that colder days are upon us. Just so you know, however, that the analog system projects a very warm April and May, and a searing hot summer with multiple East Coast hurricane threats. So enjoy the chill and the chance for whote powder, because "Redux 2020 Hurricane Season" is high on the probability charts. Sleep well tonight”
  3. Ravens game has been a total disaster (winter 2019/2020). **** it. At least it’s hockey season. Let’s beat the shit outta Pitt tomorrow. Hi @yoda
  4. I’m sorry, but do you have cliff notes available?
  5. I’m torn on Charra. I HOPE it works out? Last time we had a fossil on D (Orpik), we won the Cup. Morning After from Hysteria was just canned like 20 mins ago. My favorite batch yet. Gotta love coffee though. It’s pretty much an iced 7% ABV coffee with soft cocoa and vanilla throughout. Types that as I sip the new Piney The Panda DIPA. Holy! 8.5%. West / East Coast hybrid. Can I get some PNA love one day day soon to help us with our snow dreams in the East!? LOLz
  6. Day drinking and getting ready for Caps hockey...the best!
  7. I’m no bowling expert....except on the Wii, but that look would seem to imply that ball is going to hook a bit north then straight down the alley east towards us. Am I right?
  8. Yeah GooFuS!! Get my next weekend digital blues. @Ji ?? eta: good enough for now
  9. That just brought a tear to my eye. Only 372 hours to go!
  10. I don’t either. Jeez people. However, it does seem like winter is hangin in the balance.
  11. I’m a much bigger fan of the old Accuweather forums....said nobody ever!!
  12. Boom!! GFS creeping the cold rain closer on Tuesday. ETA: Meh. Swing and miss on the light rain. I’m moving to Seattle...
  13. How the hell does it dive down across the GoM and not pick up moisture as it heads back up towards us? eta: Oh right. Forgot. We are not a snow town.
  14. It’s happening gif has been summoned. Hahaha.