87storms
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just a rainer so far through olney. not much wind to speak of. that cell north of glenmont got the warning, but might skirt south of me.
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The cell moving through the 270 split looks intriguing. Of course, I’m not there at the moment.
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No lightning showing up with these at all. I get the impression there just isn’t enough instability up this way, but we’ll see.
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Radar looks interesting for round 2.
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just rain through olney (in regards to the cell that just moved through). no thunder to speak of.
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i'm generalizing, but i always feel like our best severe events are preceded by sunshine, light winds...basically the calm before the storm. i don't know why that is, but it seems to hold true for a lot of potential setups. i don't like seeing clouds or breezy conditions before what's supposed to be severe storm chances. not saying we can't do severe without typical summer day conditions, but we really need things to destabilize and/or have a nice vort pass to get anything interesting here it seems.
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getting some decent downpours now, but no real storminess. i'm all in for round 2.
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definitely an underperformer with the first round. rain seems even lighter than radar depictions. i think it's up to round 2 to deliver. might need some breaks in the clouds to make this happen.
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i pretty much stopped using cod because it only occasionally loads on my iphone. need to switch it from lte to wifi, or vice versa. i use weatherbug the most now. i downloaded noaa radar pro, but the loops are too short and it's choppy in general, though maybe i'm doing something wrong. i never cared much because cod was always reliable, but i may need to check out this radarscope situation.
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radar looks promising, but the phase looks like it'll be too far east, though i could certainly see how we get some fringe precip out of it (latest gfs kinda hints at that): https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
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yea, that's what i keep thinking whenever i see that type of a setup lol. since i'm off tomorrow, i really didn't care for any type of nasty weather anyway. i think wind will be the biggest impact here...hopefully not too much of that.
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hrrr shows the same type of miss with the meaningful precip, though dc is on the fringe.
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you wouldn't think we'd miss the precip tonight based on the wv loop: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_US/animw.html what i could see happening is that the upper level energy washes out a bit and the coastal forms too far east. maybe that's what the gfs is hinting at.
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looks like the nam 12k nudged east sparing us of meaningful precip tonight. it'll be interesting to see if the gfs ends up being right with this. i don't want it to rain...i'm entering mtb trail mode...dryer is better.
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poof to my bracket. had duke over UVA in one and zags over UVA in another. having UVA in the finals won't be enough to take gold in my pool, so now i get to go back to rooting for the teams i actually want winning lol.
