snowmagnet

It would be better to score at least 1 warning level event next week.

I don't understand all the meteorological teleconnections, but I do know enough that the raging pac jet is a really bad thing. I thought we were in good shape with a -NAO, -AO, etc, but when I saw the "pac puke" coming back this year, I knew we were in trouble. I remember after 2016, it seemed that none of the long term models had any accuracy at predicting and I heard mets explaining that it was the extremely strong pacific jet wreaking havoc on long-term modeling. I guess that is what is happening again and why we can't get any accuracy in the long-term. Are there any teleconnections to predict when that might slow down or is that tied to whether the PNA is positive or negative? I know we could use a +PNA with our blocking.

If I remember correctly, last week there was a signal for something around the 20-22nd. I would think that it is good that it is still there, or is back. But we still have another week to wait.

Do I still get 21" on the 27th?

Bring that a little south, please!

I'm ok with this... we are picking up our new puppy up your way in Hampstead the weekend of the 15th and I have been stressing over not being able to get there in case of snow. It can snow the 12th and after the 16th...

But the one most likely to produce a major storm. It's always threading the needle around here.

We are just right for Miller A's

Still 58 in Fairfax. I love seeing drastic temperature drops, but I’m not staying up for this one.

It’s raining much earlier than I had expected based on what I read yesterday. I can only imagine that doesn’t bode well to get a changeover to snow. I guess the best we can hope for is snow showers on Friday.

I was trying to remember when this storm was. I went into a Caps game in Landover in a warm rainstorm. When we came out, everyone was freezing and we couldn’t find our car on the parking lot. That was a really memorable day.

I saw the snowpack up your way on Saturday when I was in Hampstead. Really nice start to the season up there.

Love it! Thanks Master Yoda!

I was stuck at 32.5 for several hours. Finally around 31 now. It still is raining, but sounds a bit more icy, maybe changing over a bit.

It's pretty moderately snowing big flakes here in Fairfax/Centreville, just west of FFX City. Hoping the snow lasts a while longer before the changeover. On the Euro, we were fairly consistently on the western edge of the line of "have" and "have a heck of lot less". I just measured 1.75" I think thats more than last year's total.