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high risk

Meteorologist
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About high risk

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBWI
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    North Laurel, MD

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  1. high risk
    Not sure that this cell over DC needs a tornado warning, but I understand the caution
  2. high risk
    Yeah, the downburst was somewhat localized. Finally got power restored after 6 hours. Got 0.82" today. Unsure tomorrow whether the heavy rains will come north of DC.
  3. high risk
    It got real just south of you. Pretty significant tree damage here and power is out.
  4. high risk
    Significant downburst here in southern Howard County. Big pieces of trees down and no power
  5. high risk
    watch coming soon. The environment isn't awesome for severe, but there is a fair amount of downdraft cape, and storms will be quite organized.
  6. high risk
    Modest (at best) shear but a lot of cape and some downdraft cape. I guess it’s worth a SLGT, but right now, it’s a low- end SLGT.
  7. high risk
    Love seeing the activity in Anne Arundel and points east moving the northeast, while all of the activity in PG and points west is moving south.
  8. high risk
    A bunch of consecutive HRRR runs have another round of convection overspreading the area towards dawn. The NAM Nest has a similar idea, although it's weaker with that batch and then a bit heavier with some mid-morning showers. I've also heard various media forecasts promoting drier air for Wednesday afternoon, but a clear majority of guidance (minus the always overmixed GFS) keeps our dew points around 70 through Wednesday evening and doesn't really bring in the drier air until early Thursday. And several models show isolated convection just ahead of the front Wednesday evening.
  9. high risk
    Southern MD about to get drowned.
  10. high risk
    Yeah, there is some rotation, but it’s quite broad. But LWX is always nervous to miss something.
  11. high risk
    Some really weird boundary interaction must be supporting the rotation northeast of Baltimore, as the wind profile is almost as anti-supercell as you can get.
  12. high risk
    Sorry - I stole your rain. 0.30” here.
  13. high risk
    I’m not seeing much of a signal in the CAMs to support a higher PoP tomorrow out your way, but I hope it works out for you.
  14. high risk
    I'm not sure how much coverage there will be on Monday, but shear will be slightly improved (relative to today and tomorrow), and CAPE should be plentiful. It's probably a MRGL day with some potential for a late upgrade to a SLGT. A bigger threat might be localized flash flooding, with huge PW values and still relatively slow storm motion.
  15. high risk
    If that 9pm cell missed you, it couldn't have been by much. Storms just blew up a bit east of me - getting occasional thunder here.
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