MillvilleWx

Meteorologist
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About MillvilleWx

  • Birthday 07/18/1990

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KMAF
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Midland, TX

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  1. Also reposting from Banter since I missed this being a thread.... Back to cicadas, a reminder to the people with green thumbs here, do NOT plant any new fruit trees or bushes this spring until the Brood is dead. They will destroy them because they love the nutrients from fruit forward plants. If you currently have fruit trees and plants, make sure to cover them with a net to prevent invasions of them from getting to them. Saw this when I was reading up scientific info on Brood X. I will never forget the 2004 Brood in my neighborhood. I lived right next to Graham State Forest and we were inundated beyond belief.
  2. Back to cicadas, a reminder to the people with green thumbs here, do NOT plant any new fruit trees or bushes this spring until the Brood is dead. They will destroy them because they love the nutrients from fruit forward plants. If you currently have fruit trees and plants, make sure to cover them with a net to prevent invasions of them from getting to them. Saw this when I was reading up scientific info on Brood X. I will never forget the 2004 Brood in my neighborhood. I lived right next to Graham State Forest and we were inundated beyond belief.
  3. The big storm that was missed was more of a situation where climo came back to bite with regards to how the storm unfolded. You need anomalous amplification of the trough with a farther south transfer, as well a primary as lower latitude to prevent either being skipped over, or warm air flooding through the mid-levels to cause an abrupt change in ptype. That last part was why the failures were more common this year. WAA snowfalls are efficient when the antecedent airmass ahead of the storm is more arctic in nature and not an in-situ situation where there's moderating boundary layer temps due to a vacating high pressure, or weakening high over Quebec/Northern New England. It can produce some prolific snowfall. The timing was off several times, and WAA ALWAYS is under-modeled in the Mid Atlantic. That's where knowing climo is important. The higher elevated areas north and west of the fall line will ultimately win more times than not due to colder temps favored to hang around longer. With so many storms taking the WAA route, and pretty much all of them with in-situ CAD signatures as fresh arctic air was not present during the systems, it ended up being even more pronounced in the favored regions, adding to the frustration. You NEED fresh arctic cold in the low lands/east of the fall line to score big events. Those are fewer and far between historically, however. I know a lot of people are frustrated, especially with models busting terribly this year for whatever reason. It MAY have something to do with lower data feeds from aviation thanks to Covid? I don't have the answer to that specificity. The fact they were able to sniff out events pretty well this year was a positive, but the short term was rough. It was an anomaly in performance compared to the past. We'll see if there's a shift later next fall/winter. Meteorology, not modelology
  4. 1234 Oil Rig Way Dirt and Wind USA 90210 .
  5. My comprehensive snowfall forecast for the area.
  6. I know exactly where you went haha. That's funny. You certainly weren't the only ones who did that. Father told me bunch of buddies of his used to do that too. They just chugged low speed and hopped on the back.
  7. Damn. I'm sure my dad has been around your block once or twice. Small world eh haha My grandfather (Moms father) still lives in the Gardens. He's super reserved, so he doesn't bother with anyone around there.
  8. Where in NE Baltimore you from Losetoa? My dad was from Armstead Gardens area. Grew up there in 60s and 70s.
  9. My meteorologist sister in-law sent me a video this morning of the snow and she was talking in the background and mentioned it was, “Puking fatties.” I taught her that lingo. I’ve never been more proud. She lives near Woodbridge, VA if anyone was wondering .
  10. Wow. You have really hit the winter jackpot in those parts. Sorry to hear about the pipes though This has been a historic cold pattern with an anomalous PV positioning in terms of latitude, as well as strong surface high reflection with cold roots over the arctic. Plus a wavy trough/ridge pattern is to blame for the snow, which leads me to believe the Nina is not the driver of the pattern. Obviously will have some stake, but some of the coldest outbreaks in TX are actually from Nina's, so it's not super unprecedented. Although, the plethora of storms WITH the cold is. Truly a marvel and one I'll be doing a mega write up on in the coming weeks. Stay warm down there my friend, and as always, keep on walking
  11. How you been holding up over there Jeb? I know this stretch has been one for the record books to the northwest
  12. This is correct. Wx Balloons have specified mins for launch and we increase the amount of He in a balloon based on wx elements during the launch process. It takes less than 10 mins to reach between 850-700 mb, so even with a powerful LLJ, it won't be too far removed from the geographic launch point.
  13. @high risk is correct. Most offices utilize a Sippican GPS radiosonde that has 1 sec or less response with GPS coordinates updated to the nearest 0.0001 of a degree, so it's insanely accurate when properly calibrated. We go through a process prior to sending up the sonde to make sure it's within tolerance levels specified via the company involved. The Upper Air process is very very thorough to have the most accurate data possible for a specific geographic region.
  14. Warm air is a biotch. It only takes a small layer to screw things over. Had the rug pulled on my area for snow today too at the 00z runs. Everything shifted back further southwest. Now I get to drive to work on iced to hell roads for maybe a dusting for me and someone else gets bombed. Now I feel like I’m at home. Sorry y’all. As crazy as this winter run has been out here, it has not been fun since we don’t have the infrastructure to handle this at all. I have a long blurb on what transpired here soon. It was....something. Be safe with the ice today .
  15. There will certainly be a few fatties falling there tomorrow. There will likely be some snow too