MillvilleWx

Meteorologist
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About MillvilleWx

  • Birthday 07/18/1990

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KMAF
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Midland, TX

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  1. So sorry for your loss @nj2va. Pets are 100% family and they hurt when they go. But he looked like a happy pup who was raised in a loving family. Just remember all the amazing memories.
  2. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to convey a borderline historic precip maker for west Texas across the Permian Basin, Caprock, and points east toward San Angelo/Abilene. Looking at historical statistics for MAF, the highest March daily precip was recorded on March 6th of 1970, coming in with 2.13". Current guidance may be a step below on the prospects of the daily rainfall record, but coming into second all-time for a date (1.30" is #2), is well within reason. Progs are showing around 2-3 sigma above normal PWAT's within a broad zone of enhanced H7 VV's under the difluent area of the UL cruising south across the Lower Trans-Pecos. A broad shield of 1.5-3" of rain is well within reason for the setup along much of I-20 from Van Horn to Sweetwater (at least). Severe potential is slightly higher than normal given the steep mid-level LR's and area of shear down stream of the ULL on Tuesday. I think one hindrance will be the shallow cool airmass ahead of the disturbance, limiting the thermodynamic environment available for a more pronounced severe threat. Over toward the Rio Grande from Del Rio into northern Hill Country, a little more pronounced area of destabilization is probable, leading to an enhancement of the severe potential. It's quite the setup.
  3. Unreal. I would LOVE to catch a LES event up there during a major setup. I'd be in heaven. Drove through Watertown before. Beautiful area and people are very friendly and resilient given the conditions up there during the winter.
  4. Hey y'all. Just stopping in to say hey and how about them Terps?!!! Been a horrible winter back home, so I haven't had time to pop in too often, unfortunately. It's been nuts life wise out this way. Had a great Disney trip in January, long string of work, 8" of snow in early February, then the coup de grace was my wife having a serious fall at work 2 Saturdays ago requiring reconstructive surgery on her ankle. Right now, my house is a one man show and I'm hanging in there. She'll be recovering for multiple months, but surgery was a success. A full recovery will occur by mid-late May. Hoping to be back home for a time this summer, so perhaps a meet up is in order if I can square away a concrete date. Hope all is well back east. Go Terps, Go O's, Go Nat's, Go Caps (Sorry @yoda )
  5. This was just north of your point in the northern Tug. Lowville/Redfield are going to get smashed. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-75.77064514160156&lat=43.800836406012195#.XlcTNqjYouU
  6. Guess who issued his first ever Blizzard Warning in the NWS?
  7. If anyone wants to see snow soon, you might be able to come visit my area or the central panhandle. Looks like something appetizing could be brewing for late-Tuesday into Wednesday. Pretty stoked. .
  8. I think you'll get two of those. If he dips into the Chianti for dinner one Friday, you have a shot at all 3.
  9. If you're playing JB bingo, that's still just the Free Space. Sorry man
  10. That was a positive takeaway for the run, but issue becomes when the winds shift west/northwest, down-sloping takes over and it all dries up quick. If that S/S vort can tilt negative or pass further to the northwest, more precip can be thrown back for the inevitable cutoff.
  11. The separation of energy on this run is still too far apart for the MA. By the time the N/S vort catches up with the S/S vort, the phasing energy is too far to the east. The snow we see breaking out over WV is from strong PVA on the base of the trough coupled with upslope flow over the higher terrain. Wind direction shifts to the NW across the Piedmont as N/S finally makes its run at the S/S, but that provides a down-slope component locally, drying out the precip shield on the western side. In order for the area to be in game with the storm, you need the S/S vort to lag by 6-12 hrs, or for the N/S to speed up and promote phasing while the S/S energy pivots through western NC. It's all just too late for it impact the MA, and even most of the EC for that matter. Not until the Maritimes do you see the anchor set up and start pulling back to the NW. LI, Cape Cod, and Down-east Maine the only true beneficiaries.
  12. Knowing the luck this year, probably phase 5. Blocking will be rocking though in April .
  13. Has anyone tried turning the weather off and back on again? .
  14. I heard Boma was good. Will have to give that a go next time we’re there. Tony’s in MK was actually our favorite meal. Homemade Italian that tastes like something a Nona would make. Absolutely outstanding. Pizza was on point. Wife have the gnocchi. She gobbled the whole thing. Finished meal with gelato for me and cannoli’s for my wife. To die for. Great last meal for the trip. .
  15. I actually don’t chase severe much. I chase winter storms. So if I had to chose a ride, probably the Bus ride back to the resort. [emoji1] .