Total weenie radar wish-casting here, but if you look at the 17z HRRR it has Charlottesville as the cutoff of the heavier precip amounts. On radar, the northern band seems like it will set up north of there.
MN Transplant replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
The interesting thing is that several of the models have been all over this. But there is such a history of weakening of northward-moving storms in the Gulf that it seems like the consensus was that the models were just overdoing it per usual. Guess not this time.