MN Transplant

I had them at 4 wins this year. I didn't realize that every single FA acquisition would hit and that the coaching staff would step up to the next level. Brutal injury for Detroit losing Aiden Hutchinson. Hate to see that.

The NFC North is just crushing everyone right now.

Got it in Falls Church. Nice.

61.5 midday, full sun. This is great.

12-13” of rain and gusting into the 80s is a bad combo https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KSPG&hours=72

Katrina killed over 200 people in Mississippi. Mostly from storm surge.

Midnight low coming for today.

It seems like we have a couple of primary scenarios at this point, both really unpleasant. One is that Milton gains latitude as it approaches FL and landfalls N of Tampa. Given the forecast shear and dry air, it should be weakening at that point, but that won't matter for the surge. The other is that Milton runs further south and isn't as affected by the dry air/shear. This would be great for Tampa, but would be just horrible for Venice down to Fort Myers who are dealing with the aftermaths of Helene and Ian, respectively.

06z HAFS-B is again an unraveling of Milton as it approaches FL, but a landfall just N of Tampa. HAFS-A also has weakening, but more gradual and is again just N of Tampa.

Yes, a track over Tampa is unusual. They are one of the most vulnerable locations, but the predominant track from the south means that it would have to be a unique track to bend it perfectly to put them in the right front quadrant. However, Milton is completely different, coming from the west. It'll take a couple of days to really get the track down, but a somewhat perpendicular hit to the west FL coastline could be really problematic.

Everyone is correctly focused on Tampa, but if this is a strong hurricane at landfall, some of these tracks are really sketchy for Orlando too.

2nd mow since June

The previously forecast push of dry air that was supposed to come today never came to fruition, at least at our latitude. Next week looks more certain.

AL Central is 4-0 and Cleveland has a bye. The NFC North is the best division in football. As expected, the upper Midwest/Lakes runs the sports world.

This has been the most disgusting day of the bunch, but I have over 0.50” since midnight so that’s good.