MN Transplant

32.7 here. Warm enough overnight to take care of the rest of the snow/ice that was on the driveway, but the elevated surfaces are still frozen.

More lightning out west in WV/MD.

3.5” total. ZR is mixing in now. 31.2

You are truly one of us now.

The orange (40dbz+) areas are fun. How about some massive kudos to the models that saw the "retreat" of the sleet line during the heavy dumps. Really impressive.

Was sleet, back to fatties. Impressive clumps.

Yeah, we have some graupel and rimed flakes mixing in. Still mostly -sn

2.6”

RadarScope indicates a lightning strike in WV with the stuff coming our way.

2.0” now, 0.8” in the last hour. An indication of the size of this storm, it is pouring snow in my hometown in MN right now from the same system.

For anyone worried about the “hole” to the south, that isn’t our problem from DC north. The current radar and all the modeling indicates that the second round of precip is from the expansion/enhancement of the shield from the west. The remaining question is whether that can get here in time to head off the sleet line (which is coming, but can be effectively slowed by heavier precip). Ob: Nice fat flakes falling. Not pouring snow, but not exactly a lazy fall either.

A 15 minute snow observation - whatever accumulated on our Sheltie

7am CoCoRaHS ob: 1.2” snow, 0.08” precip suck it, Ferrier scheme coming down awesome in the yellows

I’d have to think that there is something amiss with the Ferrier scheme in this scenario. That is implying a sub 5:1 ratio which is really hard to come by. That said, if you thought the 00z HRRR was bad, 01z upped the bar there.

Yup. 0.4” near DC by the 15z changeover.