MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Coldest of the season so far here. Consistent lows over the last few days: Sat - 45.7 Sun - 45.9 Mon - 44.2
  2. MN Transplant
    Adorable!
  3. MN Transplant
    I’ve actually read the papers on this one. Effectively, they define a vector from the big raindrop region (Zdr) to the heavy precipitation region (Kdp). If the vector is closer to 90 degrees from storm motion, there is much more likely to be a tornado. The thought is that a narrower vector puts the Kdp region (negative buoyancy from the heavy rain) too close to the updraft.
  4. MN Transplant
    The HRRR continues to have a very sharp cutoff on the north side of Sally today, while the other models have some rain making it north of 66. I'd take a few drips for my grass seed.
  5. MN Transplant
    ~100 w/m2 reduction from last year's Sept. 15th (800 to 700, both sunny days) on my VP2.
  6. MN Transplant
    10am and still in the 50s. Excellent.
  7. MN Transplant
    This upcoming weekend looks like legit Fall. Fantastic.
  8. MN Transplant
    That N/S train was like a mini-Lee.
  9. MN Transplant
    Saw a tweet that said that the 29-9 was the first "new" final score (a scorigami) in MLB since 1999. Conversely, 3-2 has happened 11,976 times.
  10. MN Transplant
    Modeling had it pretty spotty, and that verified. I got 1.54".
  11. MN Transplant
    That looks awesome.
  12. MN Transplant
    The forecast for the CO front range is mind-boggling. 90s on Monday, and a snowstorm on Tuesday. The Euro has a 40 degree drop in 6 hours at Boulder.
  13. MN Transplant
    Boundary from the current storms is sitting just S of 66.
  14. MN Transplant
    It isn't really putting out the outflow boundaries that we see sometimes. Check out the clear air returns on radar. All our air is still coming from the S.
  15. MN Transplant
    We have to wait for the stuff back in WV. The 2nd round was always 7pm-ish.
  16. MN Transplant
    84.1 here just a bit west of you. Plenty of sun now, though it will cloud up for a period soon. Should be transient, though.
  17. MN Transplant
    Did the same just 15 minutes ago. I remain unconvinced that my kid will be able to pay attention during 1st grade online, but they seem to be putting in the effort.
  18. MN Transplant
    The new background map is nice.
  19. MN Transplant
    In EJ's world, we only hit these if they are billion-dollar disasters. So, still due
  20. MN Transplant
    0.39” and still steady. Definitely a blend of the models. Didn’t dry up like the mesos thought, but the Euro was way too aggressive.
  21. MN Transplant
    06z HRRR is effectively sprinkles. Meanwhile the 00z Euro still douses us.
  22. MN Transplant
    Boom
  23. MN Transplant
    CGs are cracking.
  24. MN Transplant
    Have you looked at a map of the landfall area? Can you see how a landfall 30 or so miles to the west would have put the fetch straight up the waterway to Lake Charles? Are you willing to bet that the landfall forecast was going to be so perfect that a 30 mile error wasn't in the realm of possibility?
  25. MN Transplant
    Now 81 mph KAEX 271153Z AUTO 13045G70KT