You can see on the 12z HRRR how an initial cell kicks off an outflow boundary and then new cells fire on that this afternoon. Not saying that’s exactly what will happen, but it is cool to see those processes on the models.
We have had weeks with more precipitation than this, but I cannot remember a time where everything has been wet for nearly a week straight. At no point since Friday could I have mowed the lawn or sat on a chair outside without wiping it off. Maybe 2018?
If you select a spot away from the metros, it looks more reasonable (Reston 99 on GFS, 102 on Euro). The models got too good and are projecting the tarmac temps
The rain is great, if it wasn’t surrounded by the persistent mist for the past 2 days. It has not dried out since it started raining on Friday.
Flood watch for Fairfax Co and west today.
Third consecutive 1”+ CoCoRaHS report. That’s a rarity. Just shy of 4” total.
Will be interesting to see the ground truth totals from Burke to Ft Belvior.