MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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Rain
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Models say you might be able to sneak it in. The mid-level clouds that will be coming in from the south look like they'll hold off until midnight or so (look at the 700 RH on the GFS). Higher level (500mb) RH still gives you a window before 11pm or so. Going to the mesos, the HRRR/NAM Next look good through 10pm while the NAM parent has some clouds moving in closer to 8pm. All-in-all, you'll have to make a call on how much risk your group is willing to take.
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I'll grant you all a nice 4-6" storm while I'm gone the week of the 26th, but if there is a big dog I'm cursing every last one of you on this board!
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Sleet. Not sure I have enough to go with 0.1” of accumulation.
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Yeah, you and I have the same look outside. A hint of whitening happening now. 33.8
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35.6 and flurries
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Cloudy. 34.9
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You have to understand that us neutrals are salivating at the thought of Harbaugh in Pittsburgh and Tomlin in Baltimore.
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Missed the flakes here, but it is certainly gusty.
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Not sure if this has been covered yet, but with the snow more attached to the 500 low, the temps aloft are cold enough to put us in favorable ratio territory on the GFS. So, yes, we'd like more precip, but this could be fluffier than normal.
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For a single event, I guess I’d go with the January snow since it was only the 2nd time in 6 years that we had 6”+ on the ground. And it stuck around forever unlike the Feb snow which was gone in two days. Really though, the story was the complete lack of precip from about mid-July forward.
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How does Oct-Dec 2025 compare to past winters?
MN Transplant replied to dallen7908's topic in Mid Atlantic
The whiplash between best since 2017 and 77th overall is depressing -
Maybe a pedantic clarification, but the Euro isn't necessarily showing snow here because of a north trend. What it is doing is swinging a more potent vort through OH into our region which helps with the lift needed for a minor accumulation. The other models don't have that feature or are weaker.
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Anytime the Packers lose, it is a good day.
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Mammoth is apparently doing well via Jebman, but I didn't realize how awful the season has been so far in Colorado. Only a fraction of runs open at the resorts and way below normal snowpack.
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Light sleet, melting immediately
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There were favored areas, and it wasn’t us
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0.12” so far. Meh
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Might have happened then too, but I'm definitely thinking of one from prior to the Feb 6th, 2010 storm.
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DGEX. If only for the one run in 2010 where it nearly ran out of colors for the snow over us.
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The airports in the -8 to -9 range more than halfway through the month. Seriously legit.
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You weren't kidding, what an inversion last night. IAD at 23 and my low was 35. I'm not sure when I've ever been up on DCA by 7 degrees for a low. On the MD Mesonet, the warmest site was Frostburg at nearly 2300'.
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Models had it pegged that it would be flat overnight as the overall airmass moderated. My 14.2 low was at 12:39am.
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19.6 and the wild is howling
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12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
MN Transplant replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
QPF was good around here, but it should have been a bigger warning sign that Kucera was less than 10:1.
