MN Transplant

People in costumes at the Halloween parties today looked absolutely miserable. Obscene weather.

Dud of a month precip-wise for most of us

So far DCA 82 IAD 83 BWI 82 (tie)

Casually on record high watch today. DCA - 83 (1963) IAD - 84 (1963) BWI - 82 (1963)

Damn! Hurricane Otis Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182023 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 25 2023 Satellite data indicated that Otis continued to strengthen to near the time of landfall in southern Mexico. Subjective Dvorak data T-numbers were around T7.0 (140 kt) around 04-05Z while raw objective ADT numbers were in the T7.2 to T7.6 range between about 01-05Z. Based on that data, Otis is estimated to have made landfall around 0625 UTC as a category 5 hurricane with maximum winds of 145 kt. The core of the hurricane moved onshore in the greater Acapulco area.

Well, crap. Two more degrees this morning and this would have been in really good shape with the front coming through next week.

Huge swing day for the cold spots. IAD up to 73 after a 34 low. Like DCA, I only hit 43 this morning.

Really fun game to watch. The OL gave Kirk enough time and he balled out, even without JJ. The schedule is very manageable going forward, with the hardest games behind us (KC, Philly, SF).

Enjoying the beat down. The Lions were getting a little too full of themselves.

0.09” yesterday. Very dry October. Pines are shedding in the wind today.

63/43. A nice October day. The Euro really is playing the grinch (or Santa based on your perspective) for the rain on Friday. Basically no precip through 10 days.

Hamilton deserved that ejection. That was as dirty as it comes.

The last burst got us over a half inch, at 0.53". That'll work.

I actually know a fair bit about this. This is the first S-Band phased-array mobile radar. The beamwidth is quite wide because an S-band requires a huge antenna, but since it is mobile it can get closer to storms making the wide beam less relevant. The phased-array aspect is amazing. Every one of the individual elements that makes up the radar panel is technically a separate radar. The panel spins mechanically but the tilting is done electronically. So you can get a whole volume update on the time it takes to go 360 degrees. It is almost a certainty that this technology is what the next NWS network will be. The holdups right now are finding ways to make the dual-pol variables more robust and, of course, cost.

Apparently all the weather is going to be on weekends. The coastal the following weekend looks wet.

All I can remember is Ji stating in mid-January that the winter was a disaster because we only got one HECS. If that indicates the expectations.

Breaking the playoff losing streaks was the best we could really hope for this season. Need some better plate discipline next year. Leading the majors in Ks and then striking out 14 times in an elimination game was foreseeable.

There’s been a lot of discussion about this, but somebody made the point that if the top seeds had their choice of playing in the WC round or having a bye, they’d take the rest and the bye 100% of the time.

The Vikings whipsaw from the luck/clutchness last year to becoming a fumbling machine with bad clock management is jarring. I think this team might be a bit better than last year's 13-win team, but my goodness, stop fumbling! The Twins are a lot of fun to watch. Pablo Lopez was such a great trade pickup and Correa is unbelievably clutch in the postseason.

Down to 54 here. Only 0.15” on the day, so a bit less than others are reporting.

BWI: Oct 31 IAD: Oct 24 DCA: Oct 31 RIC: Oct 31 BWI departure -0.7

Twins win! Finally.

I couldn't really comprehend how this was going to look until the first real concerts. Insane.

CoCoRaHS just came in with a new visualization tool. The 2nd half of 2018, LOL. https://dex.cocorahs.org/

I had to search for the actual press release. Despite the hindcast successes, I am skeptical of a climate model for seasonal forecasts. https://news.ucar.edu/132912/ncar-experimental-prediction-system-calls-super-el-nino-winter