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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    That is a depressing stat on a happy day!
  2. MN Transplant
    Lightning or a transformer? Snow is sticking to the pine trees. 5 1/4” and modeling indicates about 2” more. That would be almost equivalent to last month’s event (7.7” here).
  3. MN Transplant
    4”. Nice steady 1”/hr rate.
  4. MN Transplant
    3.0”, >1”/hr rates. Zero wind. 28.6
  5. MN Transplant
    29.1. 1 3/4”. This is going great.
  6. MN Transplant
    He's been fighting sleet per earlier posts.
  7. MN Transplant
    @mattie g It wasn't me!
  8. MN Transplant
    I'm at 18 W/m2. It is done. 31.1 and a nice coating on all non-paved surfaces.
  9. MN Transplant
    Huge win. Congrats!
  10. MN Transplant
    More on track. I'm still thinking 5", with 6-7" being a good "reach" amount.
  11. MN Transplant
    32.0. Lost very little precip cooling us down and now we are off and running.
  12. MN Transplant
    32.5 and light snow. Everything looking good. Radar out of Charleston WV is nice.
  13. MN Transplant
    And now we are at light snow. Nice quick transition.
  14. MN Transplant
    I had to stare really hard, but I saw some flurries. 34.9 and soon to drop.
  15. MN Transplant
    37/18 on the ob at DCA. 34.6 here. Almost completely irrelevant. mPING reports from Winchester and Front Royal, and even one in the last couple of minutes from The Plains along 66.
  16. MN Transplant
    5” is a very realistic target for us
  17. MN Transplant
    Parent NAM is an inch an hour from 4-10pm. Always fun to get a NAM’ing.
  18. MN Transplant
    I consider the 12z HRRR to be a complete cave. 0.5” precip up to DC.
  19. MN Transplant
    It is amazing that every model puts the heaviest axis of precip between Richmond and Fredericksburg, and the HRRR just insists that it’ll be Richmond and south.
  20. MN Transplant
    Maybe no shock that the NAM over amps this one. 3k with 0.75” precip, which plays
  21. MN Transplant
    Steady as she goes
  22. MN Transplant
    Let’s be clear about the HRRR. There have only been 3 runs that take it to 6z Wednesday and 2 through 12z. The 06z run at 48 hours had 0.11” precip through 48 at DC. The current run has 0.40” through the same period.
  23. MN Transplant
    Not that it matters, but the QPF around DC is 0.45”, which is about the RGEM/ICON/Ukie.
  24. MN Transplant
    It is locked in. Can barely tell any difference in the precip fields from 00 to 06 to 12z.
  25. MN Transplant
    The HRRR is great - when it confirms what every other model is saying.
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