jaydreb

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About jaydreb

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIAD
  • Location:
    North Arlington, VA

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  1. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Pretty wild if it happens. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29004498/mlb-union-focused-plan-allow-season-start-early-arizona
  2. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Everyone does it. From the doctors and politicians it’s usually “thanks for that question” or “good question.” Sometimes it’s “that’s a nasty question.”
  3. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    I hope so too. One major caveat is that the model assumes complete social distancing through the end of May.
  4. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Fairly dramatic shift on the model being used by the government, incorporating more recent data, with overall deaths in the US decreasing and peak dates for many states (including MD ans VA) moved up by nearly a month. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
  5. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    I don’t think everything will be shutdown, but I also don’t think we are going to be seeing things like MLB, college football and the NFL with live audiences, if at all. I hope I’m wrong.
  6. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    As long as the virus is out there, the economy is going to suffer. We could open everyone’s doors next month and tell them that they are free to reopen everything but do you think people are going to the movies, traveling on planes, eating at crowded restaurants, etc.? There is no economic recovery until we have a vaccine or an effective therapeutic.
  7. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Yes, Dr. Fauci has been saying this at pretty much every briefing this week (except for the one he missed).
  8. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Every day for at least the next two weeks is going to be the deadliest day.
  9. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Probably not anytime soon. https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-fauci-those-who-recover-will-be-immune-2020-3
  10. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    You may right. Dr. Birx said today that she is seeing a lot of these countries starting to bend their curves. We are not, mostly because people are not doing enough social distancing in certain areas. She specifically referred to the metropolitan areas in Louisiana, Michigan and Illinois. California is apparently doing well at this point.
  11. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    By the same token, you could ask why wasn’t Germany, France, Switzerland, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Norway, Belgium, Netherlands and Austria prepared. Because each of those countries has more cases per capita than we do.
  12. jaydreb

    COVID-19 Talk

    Well then we are (sadly) right on target.
  13. I’m probably not saying anything everyone doesn’t already know, but it’s way too early to draw any conclusions about death rates at this point. Given the wide discrepancies with testing and reporting, we probably won’t have a true figure for years, if at all. Current death rates are all over the place: Italy- 11.9% Spain- 8.9% Germany- 1.1% USA- 2.2% France - 7% UK - 8% South Korea- 1.7% Switzerland - 2.7% China (FWIW) - 4.1%
  14. Ok. Makes sense. Virginia just put out a similar order. There are so many exceptions though. For example, we can still go fishing.