The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[MJO812]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Craig Allen's forecast aligns with TWC.

I like his forecast although if we get into the banding then all bets are off.

[WXNewton]

Checking in from NC...anyone have a good webcam link to watch?

[Brasiluvsnow]

I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone 

[SACRUS]

Just need it to stick everywhere

 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Moderate snow currently,31/30f. Temps are a tick cooler then was expected,diurnal heating is almost done. Snow is going to pile up fast tonight.

[EastonSN+]

Still snowing light to moderate....

[BxEngine]

3 minutes ago, Nibor said:

For north and west folks that deform band on the latest HRRR is also modeled on the RAP and FV3. No guarantee but I think that's the back edge of the big totals.

It was discussed earlier in the interior thread, but up until the very short term models, most models miss or misalign the northern edge which always ends up another jackpot area. There always seems to be a stronger area of lift right at the area where the strongest precip starts to fade. 

[NJwx85]

The 18z HRRR beefed up totals several inches for inland areas compared to 12z, which was still great.

[winterwarlock]

29 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Wasn't expecting 20" anyway. Anything over 12" will be bonus

im shocked they are still 19 for Philly when mets down there are forecasting 8-12

[SACRUS]

 

SREF -

 

[sussexcountyobs]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

The 18z HRRR beefed up totals several inches for inland areas compared to 12z, which was still great.

What was it beefed up to?

[Jt17]

I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone 

Ratios is a big part of it. People in here always dismiss them. This will have them up north where you are. And further south and southeast there's more QPF in general to get them to their forecast. And then banding is sure to set up somewhere relentlessly allowing select areas make it to the high ends of their forecast.


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[MJO812]

Upton upgraded NYC to 17-24 inches.

[Winterweatherlover]

Light snow not sticking much except on old snow, Winds really pick up. 

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

What was it beefed up to?

I’ll post once it’s done. 

[RU848789]

After a few hours of light rain/snow/mix with temps in the 35-36F range, the temp has dropped to 33F over the last hour or so and the snow intensity picked up then and accumulation just started on grass/cars/colder surfaces; paved surfaces might take another hour or so. If you're thinking of heading out now, you might want to reconsider - even if salted roads are ok for a few more hours, visibility is becoming an issue now.

Also, here's our starting point for snowfall, as we still have 1-2" of snow/sleet on our property, which admittedly is on the shady side, but damn, that's about 35 days straight with <1" on the ground and that's going to go for at least another 7 days now. Sweet!

[Jt17]

 
SREF -


 

Awesome!


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[JustinRP37]

Big update, the LIRR will be shutting down on many branches this evening. That is the first big change to MTA service. 

[lee59]

10 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Checking in from NC...anyone have a good webcam link to watch?

https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/new-york/montauk-downtowncircle.html#google_vignette

 

This is Montauk at the very end of Long Island, hasn't started yet but will be cranking later.

[cdog127]

[SACRUS]

1 minute ago, Jt17 said:

Awesome!


.

All just tools for trends not exact qpf or snow totals as the storm is in progeess - go with the actual obs

[WeatherFox]

6 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Just need it to stick everywhere

 

that radar in motion shows the storm beginning to wrap up (fill in, organize & strengthen). Moderate snow over central & southern NJ, Delaware

[Jt17]

All just tools for trends not exact qpf or snow totals as the storm is in progeess - go with the actual obs

Just a lot of support from better near term guidance showing the major global models were too east


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[EasternLI]

Gusts to 70mph...

 

Southern New London-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
122 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations between
  18 and 23 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. Isolated gusts
  up to 70 mph are possible late tonight into early Monday morning.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern New London County. In New York,
  Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties.
 

[NJwx85]

18z 10:1

[Rjay]

9 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

It was discussed earlier in the interior thread, but up until the very short term models, most models miss or misalign the northern edge which always ends up another jackpot area. There always seems to be a stronger area of lift right at the area where the strongest precip starts to fade. 

There's going to be a big band somewhere just north of you into Sussex County imo

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Do you happen to have the link for that radar?

just right click the image and copy url link paste into your browser 

 

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

[sussexcountyobs]

Still light snow falling. Not sticking in street with all the salt. Temp down to 29.9F.

Kind of glad we haven't had any heavier snow yet. I want my temp to go down to 25-28 so it will be powdery like usual.

[Metasequoia]

16 minutes ago, Nibor said:

For north and west folks that deform band on the latest HRRR is also modeled on the RAP and FV3. No guarantee but I think that's the back edge of the big totals.

Looks like a nice path to the Benchmark.

[steve392]

Finally starting to stick and accumulate.