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Neblizzard

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  1. Don’t need true Arctic cold for storm chances, we learn that in meteorology 101
  2. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    That’s quite a robust -AO/-NAO. Too bad we are losing the pacific but this time of year we can get the job done. I doubt anything will cut as long as that block is in place
  3. We have transient blocking on the 12z GFS so something may materalize around the 17th , after that it’s very warm for about a week. The GFS wants to bring back the +PNA at the end of the run and shows a huge trough In the east. To be honest this warm up is going to feel great ..but how long it lasts is the question.
  4. 1/4 Mega Bomb obs.

    Heavy snow and near blizzard conditions Elizabeth NJ, just ripping as the deform bands start to push thru
  5. 1/4 Mega Bomb obs.

    All it takes was some patience , that band will make it west of the Hudson . NE NJ will get hit hard
  6. 1/4 Mega Bomb obs.

    These posts are unbearable . It’s snowing to beat the band in port Elizabeth NJ ...the bands will be making it onshore within the next hour
  7. 1/4 Mega Bomb obs.

    It’s always been the case. It’s pouring snow here near Staten Island , all the short range models are locked in ...not sure what you’re looking at
  8. 1/4 Mega Bomb obs.

    I work at the port in Elizabeth . It’s coming down hard now ...some intense bands sitting just offshore will get here within the hour
  9. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    Reminds me of the Presidents’ Day storm of 79. Just an epic shot
  10. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    That’s a major improvement for most of the area. Getting the precip shield further inland this run really helps the city on east.
  11. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    I met him at the Paul Kocin conference at kean several years ago . He’s a real cool dude
  12. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    It’s the lack of blocking upstream. All we need is for this to slow down just a tad then it would phase in.
  13. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    The writing is on the wall with this one. The pattern is just too progressive for everything to slow down in time. At least I won’t have to stay up for tonight’s runs
  14. January 2018 Model Discussion Thread

    The PNA ridge out west is in a perfect position on the 12z European. Talk about a 180 from just 24 hours ago when this storm was near the azores lol
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