Neblizzard
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About Neblizzard
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The models can’t even get a pattern right within 3-5 days , do you buy everything they say when they show a breakdown ?
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He never does. The La Niña has basically peaked and is becoming more east based. That could lead to a stronger MJO down the road . Just what you want to see…
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85-86 is an example
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When it shows warm you’ll believe it. When it shows cold? You’ll deny it…
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Where did I say it was a -QBO in 2010-2011? Let’s get those 5 posts in quickly today.
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Oh I do. How about the strong La Niña of 2010-2011 with a strong -PDO? The atmospheric blocking overwhelmed the pattern most of that winter. You disappear all year long and start posting every fall being a troll. There’s a reason why you’re limited to 5 posts per day. You do absolutely nothing to contribute to this board. Sorry Mods I speak the truth.
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He doesn’t understand the effects a easterly QBO can have on the stratosphere. Being primarily focused on the ENSO state and PDO is bad forecasting. We’ll have good chances at periodic blocking this year. Some extreme -NAO situations are possible.
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And if there’s enough blocking in the higher latitudes the SE ridge will be muted . Much like last winter.
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Just like your winter forecast last year . We know how horrible that was . Once again you’re putting all the emphasis on the La Niña when other factors may come into play similiar to last year.
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Nothing is a lock …
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That’s pivoting east, NYC will not dry slot
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Forky is right about the UKMET. We’re in for an assault the next 6-8 hours
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The disagreement in models up to this point is a forecast nightmare . So it’s now to now casting . We’ll have to follow the shore range HI RES data
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- heavy rain
- tropical gusts
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The overnight part of the storm still slams the metro area
