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  1. Exactly because we know how great the EPS did with this last storm. It locked it in over the weekend and still failed. I'll focus on the NAM on this one.
  2. 03z HRRR continues to show very impressive amounts for northern NJ. 18-19 inches of snow for the NYC suburbs with little mixing.
  3. Holy smokes on the UKMET. 850s get to +1 but at the very end of storm so nyc may mix at that point. This is widespread 2 feet across the area.
  4. If the low was still intensifying that 700 track would be atrocious. However due to occlusion ( even if we mixes on the GGEM for a time) that's an almost all snow event.
  5. Canadian is an absolute burial for the entire area.
  6. GFS is a crippling snowstorm, cold thruout the metro , no mixing issues.
  7. That's the 12z RGEM. It shows a lot more snow than I originally thought. Only about a 2-3 hour period where nyc mixes. My apologies for jumping the gun, I wasn't being specific in my post. Northern NJ gets buried on this run.
  8. Yeh it's east and much colder . 981 east of NJ heading for the twin forks. NYC crushed
  9. NYC gets to about 0 at 850 at hour 42. Maybe a little mixing ? But mostly all snow. Edit. My apologies it was tough to see at first. Zooming in we are at -2 C, so it's all snow for NYC.
  10. 2.5 QPF on the UKMET. A crippling blizzard for many locales.
  11. Oh Jeez dude it's the middle of march. Not too often do you see a foot of snow this time of year.
  12. The UKMET is by far the slowest with the storm as well. Hopefully we can trend more that way compared to the other models.
  13. The UKMET at 42 hours. Looks tucked into the coast and wound up. Waiting for precip amounts
  14. I met him at a weather conference at Kean Universiry several years ago. What a great guy.
  15. This long term pattern we are in is going to keep Paul Kocin extremely busy