Brasiluvsnow

Had to drain the pool twice today ,,,just did it again after I walked the dog,,,,and still raining here in New City

well all the prayers paid off as we had to take 2 breaks but we were able to get the the party and the fireworks in,,,,, that said Northern New City lost power for a while and congers also,,,,,,that first batch of storms passed thru with some serious wind that brought trees and branches down,,,,,,,afterwards the wind never got crazy here and the rain for the most part held off,,,,,I hope everyone has their power back ,,,Happy 4th All

The radar is NOT our friend,,,,,hoping and praying for the best = rain rain go away

I have the rosary beads in hand now so who is the patron " saint of good weather" as I need to start a novena ,,,,,,,,like most of you I need it to remain dry until midnight then all hell can break loose

right now it looks like rain and scattered T storms after 6 pm today and that is no bueno as we plan on watching fireworks tonight and rain and lightning is not on my bingo card,,,,,,,,,,btw I hope you guys who lost power yesterday get it back sooner than later

Common weather gods we need good weather for Saturday especially Saturday night !!!!

Terrible news Anthony Thank You for letting us know RIP Roger you will be missed here

You guys have a legit shot at snow Tuesday it aint dead yet,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,I will be away LOL

geez I have an inch of snow,,,,,,,and what is this nonsense about Friday ????

Just for the record I am exhausted that was a workout,,,thank God it was light and fluffy

I Just came in from outside and that was a workout,,,,impossible to measure so later on someone tell me how much New City/ Rockland County received as my best guesstimate would be 15 but I really dunno could be more could be less. Wow as 4 days ago who would have ever thought that we would now have 263 pages and counting of ITS NOT COMING

Wow https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-69.52,35.71,2117/loc=-41.907,30.432

wow. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-69.52,35.71,2117/loc=-41.907,30.432

All Hail The Great, Mighty And Powerful " GFS" as We Truly Are Not Worthy - All Bow Down https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=were+not+worthy+video&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:c614d85a,vid:c3sOuEv0E2I,st:0

It is just Impossible to measure here in New City as its still coming down and just so windy,,,,,,does this still end around 3 pm as I have not looked at HRRR since last night ?

Might be time for that Jeb walk

5 1 /2 in New City ,,,,,by the way an hour ago we lost power for a few minutes but it came back on,,,,,,,,,winds are picking up here,,,,and the Fireplace is also cranking and roaring

5.5 here ,,,,,,in New City,,,,,,,,for now,,,,,,,,,,that is all

just hit 4 inches in New City,,,,,,,looks as if I have been gettin 1 inch per hour,,,,,,cant wait to see what happens after 1 or 2 am,,,,,,ps the winds seem as if they are starting to pick up here,,,,,ps 29 degrees

agreed BX

New City,,,,,,,it's coming down but not hard at all and not really windy yet,,,,,like you guys Im waiting and watching

So ,N n W crew how is it going ?

this was shared take a look While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast.

Thanks

I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone