Brasiluvsnow

New City,,,,,,,it's coming down but not hard at all and not really windy yet,,,,,like you guys Im waiting and watching

So ,N n W crew how is it going ?

this was shared take a look While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast.

Thanks

I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone

So what would have them expand warnings and increase totals when the GFS being east and mesos were getting others into panic mode,,, is it the Hrrr or something else any guesstimates as to why ?

I've been trying to work on that

Rob,,,,,Im actually up a degree from 33 in the last half hour

Snow is looking nice out there currently but IMHO this 34 degree nonsense in New City needs to end sooner than later later

Weather PRIVILEGED Bastards they are

The Mesos might be right but they also might be wrong,,,,,,,it's nowcast time as we really won't know which guidance had it correct or wrong until tomorrow,,,,,just my opinion

Gotcha

All team USA needs is a goalie who is standing on his head which they have and 1 more goal preferably before OT ,,,,,,miracles not needed both teams are stacked

Understood ,,,IMO the only thing that matters now is when does the real show begin and where those heavier bands establish themselves

Why are people reacting as if we did not think that this might start off as rain in many places , it was 50 degrees yesterday ?

https://radar.weather.gov/region/northeast/standard

One eye out my window the other on my TV as the Hockey Gold Medal game begins now LIVE ----USA USA USA

Reminder Olympic Hockey Gold Medal Game begins in 10 minutes = Go Team USA ,,,,,,,, now back to our program

Snow began falling at 7 am here in New City ,,,,Let's do this guys and gals

" Let The Pigeons Loose " as snow is falling in New City / Rockland County !!!!!! It is nowcast time ladies and gentleman , everyone enjoy this and stay safe, THIS is going to be epic !!!!!!

So am I correct that at 1 am we get 5 meso runs ?,,,,,if I can stay awake that long as I am spent

ps the drifts

Start time guesstimate anyone ? 8 am ?????? and when does she get cranking is it in the afternoon or at night ?

Agreed I think only Anthony and Weathergeek might have been the only 2 humans to want that to continue - I told my son " I just wish the one weather model that is holding out will cave so I can get some sleep and just end this slow pain "

Just wild to think of where we were at and what the models were showing ( besides the GFS ) 48 hours ago and where we are right now