Brasiluvsnow

You guys have a legit shot at snow Tuesday it aint dead yet,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,I will be away LOL

geez I have an inch of snow,,,,,,,and what is this nonsense about Friday ????

Just for the record I am exhausted that was a workout,,,thank God it was light and fluffy

I Just came in from outside and that was a workout,,,,impossible to measure so later on someone tell me how much New City/ Rockland County received as my best guesstimate would be 15 but I really dunno could be more could be less. Wow as 4 days ago who would have ever thought that we would now have 263 pages and counting of ITS NOT COMING

Wow https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-69.52,35.71,2117/loc=-41.907,30.432

wow. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-69.52,35.71,2117/loc=-41.907,30.432

All Hail The Great, Mighty And Powerful " GFS" as We Truly Are Not Worthy - All Bow Down https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=were+not+worthy+video&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:c614d85a,vid:c3sOuEv0E2I,st:0

It is just Impossible to measure here in New City as its still coming down and just so windy,,,,,,does this still end around 3 pm as I have not looked at HRRR since last night ?

Might be time for that Jeb walk

5 1 /2 in New City ,,,,,by the way an hour ago we lost power for a few minutes but it came back on,,,,,,,,,winds are picking up here,,,,and the Fireplace is also cranking and roaring

5.5 here ,,,,,,in New City,,,,,,,,for now,,,,,,,,,,that is all

just hit 4 inches in New City,,,,,,,looks as if I have been gettin 1 inch per hour,,,,,,cant wait to see what happens after 1 or 2 am,,,,,,ps the winds seem as if they are starting to pick up here,,,,,ps 29 degrees

agreed BX

New City,,,,,,,it's coming down but not hard at all and not really windy yet,,,,,like you guys Im waiting and watching

So ,N n W crew how is it going ?

this was shared take a look While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast.

Thanks

I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone

So what would have them expand warnings and increase totals when the GFS being east and mesos were getting others into panic mode,,, is it the Hrrr or something else any guesstimates as to why ?

I've been trying to work on that

Rob,,,,,Im actually up a degree from 33 in the last half hour

Snow is looking nice out there currently but IMHO this 34 degree nonsense in New City needs to end sooner than later later

Weather PRIVILEGED Bastards they are

The Mesos might be right but they also might be wrong,,,,,,,it's nowcast time as we really won't know which guidance had it correct or wrong until tomorrow,,,,,just my opinion

Gotcha