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EasternLI

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About EasternLI

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KHWV
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    Riverhead, LI

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  1. EasternLI
    I'm finding this WWB more and more impressive the more I look at it. The MJO is diametrically opposed to el nino at the same time this is happening... Causing destructive interference. It's not until we close out the month and into Nov when it circles back to enhance the background state again. Causing constructive interference at that time. Expecting to see that through November much like the sequencing from the end of July through Aug. It appears similar in amplitude as that one also.
  2. EasternLI
    Another big time WWB is in progress currently. This time pushing east of the dateline. First chart are the actual zonal winds.
  3. EasternLI
    Here are the main points from the CPC MJO update posted today. No surprises, el nino is the main event. With a notable mention of the +IOD potentially beginning to show itself now as of late.
  4. EasternLI
    They seem to have downloadable archive files in addition to 3 text files which can be viewed directly on a web browser. With the downloadable ones also containing the text files. I thought that was weird too. Not sure what the purpose of that is, but I'm sure they have their reasons. The following 3 links are the text links which will be displayed on a web browser. Full list of data (since 1953): https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/qbo.dat Singapore data only (since 1987): https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/singapore.dat Singapore data for 2026 only: https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/singapore2026.dat
  5. EasternLI
    And growing..
  6. EasternLI
    Fortunately there are still alternative ways to view how the QBO is doing. The FU Berlin site (which you and some others may remember) was one of the better datasets until those updates were discontinued. Thankfully the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology has taken that same dataset and decided to continue the updates to it from where they left off. The raw data is also available there in the same format the Berlin site used to use. Here's the link if anyone is interested: https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/english/807.php
  7. EasternLI
    A few really good comparison graphics from the CPC oceans monitoring posted today. Such an impressive look this year compared to the others.
  8. EasternLI
  9. EasternLI
    Starting to wonder how much of that can be attributed to the AO which has been mainly positive for several months. Think that stubborn ridge that's been east of Japan has some relation to that at least.
  10. EasternLI
    MEI updated and has 2.4 for AS.
  11. EasternLI
    1877-78 was known as the year without a winter. Interestingly a very powerful el nino event that year.
  12. EasternLI
    Yeah, not too sure how that ultimately plays into all of this either. Unique circumstances.
  13. EasternLI
    Only one other year is remotely close to this year based purely on the VP200 charts. Similar story as a month ago. That one is 97-98, but this year is stronger...
  14. EasternLI
    Luckily there are some other ways to view the strength of enso besides SST related metrics and those are pointing at a record event as well. Record WWB's, record shear for the Atlantic hurricane season, VP anomalies that make all the other years pale in comparison. The MEI could be another and I'll be curious to see that once it updates with Sept included plus future updates. RONI vs ONI is an interesting conversation but I think both are likely useful in their own ways.
  15. EasternLI
    There's a whole different complexion to the Pacific look on modeling since a couple of days ago. Looks like a big GOA low idea was too aggressive and won't verify as was originally advertised. As a result, much more of an -EPO look coming up instead. Interesting to see the ridge east of Japan trend to be just a little bit squashed too during that time. Will be interested to see how much the current 11-15 day look transforms as we move forward with all that in mind.
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