SnowGoose69

It’s been on that train to an extent now since yesterday. It’s had a different evolution to the entire process

The UKMET timing is nothing like the GFS. At 72 it’s way slower

Euro is close but its rather warm

I also like that 2nd event better

This one my hunch is won't be for the coast. Its inland or nobody. I think either its too flat and the rates are not there and mostly the coast sees precip but its not enough to get it done or it goes very amped and is an inland event.

Another 01-02 or 11-12 is probably coming soon. It seems now the US has one of those winters every 10 years or so

The Mets cancellation was more baffling for sure. I honestly think they realized nobody would come tonight and that they could position the rotation for Washington better

Yeah bad decisions by both teams because they may not get in games tomorrow either although it does look like a lull may occur in the evening

Its probably a 5 to 1 ratio right now here. .08 on the last NYC Ob this hour and there's about 0.4 out there

It looks to me like the streets are already getting some minor accumulation near Central Park

The NE wind I think pushed a pretty nasty dry layer in some layer near NYC and parts of NERN NJ. You can see so far the Obs at EWR/LGA are not translating well off the radar echoes. I'd say by 545-600 they should be though

It may end up somewhat less bandy than the higher res guidance suggests

New RGEM pretty unimpressive with totals near the NYC metro. About 3 everywhere or so.

The signal on the higher res guidance I think may simply be better initial WAA being north of the city. So we may see steady snow start sooner up there while it takes longer down here. I think there may not be any significant banding that far north however. My hunch is the heavier area over C-NJ will end up further north of NYC while areas further north see a longer period of snow overall

The Euro has been too far south with almost everything so it probably will verify more north again. Even last week where it did well it still verified slightly too far south. It may have been only 25 miles but on a straight line that’s a big difference if we shift that north