Tekken_Guy

I am not seeing any evidence of another cooldown next week.

Does that mean May is likely to be below normal, or possibly cooler than April?

I’m cautiously optimistic we’ll be warm again in Week 2 of May. If we’re lucky the pattern will break by next Thursday.

Yeah this is typical. Last year April 14 was almost a 90-degree day. Didn’t crack 80 again for a month, or even 75 for three weeks. Warm-ups this time of year are usually very fleeting. Cooldowns on the other hand generally last much longer.

Is it possible we fall slightly below the record of 2010?

As of right now, I’m sensing that we move out the BN range sometime around May 4-5.

The BN pattern in May could last like 3 days before shifting to more seasonal. I can’t see this holding for more than two weeks.

I think you got that backwards. Next week will be the big cooldown and it returns to normal as May arrives.

I'm starting to get the feeling we might not break the record for warmest April. Next week could shave 2-4 degrees off the average and tomorrow was supposed to provide a buffer.

Wasn't it supposed to hit 80 tomorrow?

We likely needed that warm day to lock in the warmest April record. Now there’s a very strong chance 2010 keeps it, especially if it stays below 60 for most of next week.

There’s really no consensus on what’s going to happen past the 19th. The Euro ensembles show everything all over the place the following four days. And it’s way too early to make any predictions on anything in the last week of April.

Probably because it’s too early to make any forecast as to what the final week of April will look like. I mean two weeks ago there was no sign of any warmth for this upcoming week.

That’s exactly what happened last April. Anyway, models are suggesting that the cool-off peaks around the 19th then it trends warmer again.