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About CIK62

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    Amateur meteorology, guitar, handball, swimming,chess,Russian,Spanish.

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  1. The next 8 days are averaging 82degs., or 6degs. AN. 74*(87%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 87*(52%RH) by 4pm.
  2. The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or 7degs. AN. GOING TO BE THE WIND AND NOT THE RAIN HERE TODAY. MAYBE 1.5" ONLY, BUT 60-70MPH GUSTS NEAR 2PM. TURNED OUT TO BE NEITHER AROUND HERE! 7am: near 36.1N 77.7W Passing 50 miles to our west right now, 2pm------just a Flop here? Any good Thunder Storm could out punch this guy. 77*(94%RH) here at 6am, gloomy low stratus. 71*(93%RH) at 2pm. Sun and 79*(68%RH) at 4pm.
  3. The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or 7degs. AN. TROPICAL STORM W A R N I N G IN EFFECT! Looks mostly like a 6 to 9 hour affair of SE>S>SW winds of up to 60mph gusts. This is from 1pm-10pm tomorrow afternoon. Rain is up to 2" for the City, from Tues AM to Wed AM. 79*(65%RH) here at 6am, scattered overcast. 86*(62%RH) by 4pm.
  4. Are you sure about that 88*DP on Aug. 19, 1997? The 2M High T that day was not even 88*. Maybe a different year? ISLIP was 59/75 that day.
  5. FLASH FLOOD WATCH for TUESDAY! Up to 6" in places. SREF still says NYC will have trouble reaching 1.5". Got to go west for the higher totals, minus an isolated convective event within the city.
  6. The next 8 days are averaging 83degs., or 6.5degs. AN. [GFS has been off by +5 from reality]. 75*(93%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. Isiais: Looks like 1" to 4" (least to the E) around here on Tues. Winds 30 knots+ for a while. Goes by fast it seems---- central NJ to Cape Cod in 6 hours.
  7. KWO-35 did not sound very scary about wind or rains here on Tues, in the this morning's broadcasts. Aren't we in for up to 1" of rain not directly connected to storm? Then maybe 3"-4" more by Wed. AM?. Wind gusts at least 30 knots+? EURO has a total of 5.3" by Wed AM.
  8. The first 8 days of August are averaging 83degs., or about 6.5degs. AN. The idiot GFS has +5 bias, I have found. 74*(84%RH) here at 6am, m. clear. 75*(83%RH) at 7am. 79*(78%RH} by Noon. 80*(75%RH) at 1pm.
  9. The last day of July is averaging just 77degs., assuming the sun does not appear early. Month to date is +3.6[80.2]. July should end at +3.4[80.0]. 72*(93%RH) here at 6am., gloomy with moderate rain. 75*(86%RH), just cloudy by Noon.
  10. Maybe Cat. 1, but a 175 mile miss apparently: BUT AVERAGE THIS POSITION WITH THE CMC, and we could have a problem here:
  11. The last 2 days of July are averaging 80.5degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.5[80.1] and should end there. As far as the tropical system is concerned, the GFS is the furthest east of us and the CMC the western most. EURO gives 20% chance of hurricane winds near Cape May, but not here. The GFS-Para which started it all, has dropped out of the race. 77*(70%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 82*(66%RH) by 10am. 82*(72%RH) by Noon *was 83* earlier. 84*(73%RH) at 1pm.
  12. The last 3 days of July are averaging 87degs., or 9.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.4[80.0]. July should end near +4.1[80.7]. Feel like betting on a BN (ASO)? You'll have to put up $4.00 to win $1.00. Going into the summer the odds were worse, you needed to wager $4.50. I think August itself will be near Normal with a + bias. But Alas, the odds on a BN winter are just $1.40:1.00 as of now. 80.0*(65%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 82*(62%RH) by 9am.
  13. The last four days of July are averaging 87degs., or 9.5degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[79.7]. July should end near +4.1[80.6]. GFS-Para refuses to play second fiddle to the CMC when it comes to this possible tropical blowup. The GFS has no organization at this point any more. 79*(79%RH) here at 6am, scuzzy sky. 82*(75%RH) by 9am. 85*(65%RH) at 10am. 86*(66%RH) by Noon.