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CIK62

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About CIK62

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KJFK
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    ConeyIsland
  • Interests
    Amateur meteorology, guitar, handball, swimming,chess,Russian,Spanish.

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  1. Last 6 days of April should average +9 (66 vs. 57) 3.7x24 = 89 9.0x6 = 54 This is still just shy of the 150 estimate we need to be the warmest April ever. Average April 53.0 April 2010 record is 57.9. So we need +5x30 = 150degs. surplus.
  2. Looks like we will miss out on being the warmest April ever, unless we can get more sun than clouds on those potential 80+ days. Next 8 days are about +8 (64 vs. 56) 3.9x23 = 90 8x7 = 56 Together they are a little shy of 150 surplus we need to become number 1.
  3. I think May could be our next accidental below normal month, after April finishes near---or at the top of its stack. CFS sub-monthlies are undecided for the EC, but have most of the USA BN in May.
  4. Latest GFSx is +8 (64 vs. 56) for the next 7 days and this would complete the month of April. 22x4.1 = 90 8x7 = 56 and making today neutral, would get us close to the 150deg. surplus we need to finish April as the warmest ever.
  5. Next 8 days keep monthly record alive at +5 (60 vs. 55) 20x4.9 = 98 8x5.0 = 40 or =+138 surplus with two days left to reach +150, ie. +6 on those last two days of the month.
  6. Month could end with three 80 degree days, and maybe put us over the top for #1.
  7. Go to the WeatherBell public video area and see what JB has been saying about this out of season, warm at the base only core low. https://www.weatherbell.com/
  8. Next 8 days to be about +4degs. (59 vs. 55). FWIW: The CFS sub-weeklies show only BN 5day/10day chunks starting May 5th. The monthlies still have not caved for May however. But,, unless you think we are headed for the warmest year in history, some of the next 8 months are going to surprise as BN.
  9. Target for this April to be the warmest ever is a positive surplus of 5x30=150 degrees. So far5.5x18 = 99 GFSx 2.0 x8 = 16 predicted, for a total of 115 through the 26th. So, last four days of the month are going to have to soar at about +8degs. (35/4) to become #1.
  10. Next 8 days still hovering AN at about +2 (57 vs. 55).
  11. Even next 8 days may eke out a +1 or a +2 (55,56 vs. 54).
  12. Next 8 days jump to +9 (62 vs. 53). Most of the days are just cloudy with a chance of showers however +4.3 x 13 = +56. + 9 x 8 = +72. or +128/21 = +6.1 by the 22. If rest of month is then just normal, we would finish April @ +4.3.
  13. Next 7 days are still coming in @+5 (57 vs. 52). Last 10 days of month probably normal T and wet.
  14. Next 8 days are now +12 (62 vs. 50). No BN day till the 20th.
  15. Next 8 days to be about +8 (59 vs. 51)