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CIK62

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About CIK62

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KJFK
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    ConeyIsland
  • Interests
    Amateur meteorology, guitar, handball, swimming,chess,Russian,Spanish.

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  1. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Is this the 'Great White Christmas Hope' slipping by to the south on XMAS EVE? Tell Santa to put some batteries in his GPS. he is too far south lol.
  2. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 42degs., or about 4 or 5degs. AN. Really no Snow showing for the next 15 days. Hey!, that is already Chirstmas. November curse is in gear. Is 15degs. and 6.4" of Snow going to hold till 2019?
  3. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 41degs., or about 3degs. AN. Looks like the first half of Dec. will end up a little AN with this 8 day performance. The month to date is -2.4[38.8]. GEFS is 50/50 on at least 2" by the 25th. EPS is completing 5 or 6 days of showing no snow for the next 10 days. The 5 weeks beginning next weekend look ugly warm on the CFS.
  4. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    The call by WxRISK.COM. Snow up to Washington DC and that is it.
  5. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 37degs., or about 1deg. BN. EPS/GEFS both basically Snowless for the periods they cover.
  6. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 37degs., or about 1deg. BN. Just a 35% chance of at least 2" of Snow during the next 15 days----GEFS. EPS has had empty 10-day periods for 3 days now.
  7. CIK62

    Meteorological Fall 2018 Banter

    Hey Guess What This Is: HINT: It A'int Ours! https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/winston-salem-nc/27101/daily-weather-forecast/329824?day=3 18-20 out of the next 30 days here will be AN. GEFS has us greeting winter on the 21st. at 20degs. AN. This better be as a good a forecast as the CFS for Nov. was. lol As of today (Fri), the CFS is basically AN starting the 14th., until Jan. 4----seemingly with little to break the monotony.
  8. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    EURO and GFS both in the fifties with the mid-month storm temps., but EURO has 3x the Rain at 4.5". Watch how many times this changes.
  9. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 37degs., or about 2degs. BN. Next 2 weeks not looking very interesting at the moment. A lowly 20% chance of seeing at least 2" Snow by the 22nd. 300mb "hitman jet" 'taking system out' at Cape Hatteras, on current threat. I am sure talk of how cold air will somehow get ingested into the mid-month low will start soon. What a glorious storm it could be.
  10. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    For some reason the 18Z GFS got hung up around hour 114 on PIVOTAL WEATHER, TROPICAL TIDBITS and TWISTER sites, but ran properly on the government website. Did anyone else notice this? Hate to have to rely on the crappy government graphics. It seemed little changed anyway.
  11. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 34degs., or about 5 to 6degs. BN. EPS had its 6th straight run with no Snow within 10days. GEFS stays with 2" to 3" by the 20th. already. CMC has caved too. 30 here at 6am.
  12. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 35degs., or about 4 or 5degs. BN. EPS, last 4 runs 0" Snow. GEFS running 0" to 3" Snow. GFS has had four runs w/o any precipitation period!---for the next 10 days. The CMC probably thinks it is dealing with a tropical system, so it is blowing it up as usual. lol. Giving the models another 48 hours to straighten up and live right on this potential Dec.9-11 event .
  13. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    The MJO wave looks to go COD when it reaches the warm phases. Something else may be a more important factor by then and keep the lid on the 2MT's. But the TeleConnections all look bad too, during the second half of Dec. That leaves the stratosphere as the Lone Ranger for us.
  14. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Next 8 days averaging 36degs., or about 4degs. BN. EPS and GEFS, both look snow free.
  15. CIK62

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    The next 30 days breakdown as of today to: 21AN 9BN and streaky. Warming of the Stratosphere might change week 3-4, I hope. Like the last 62 months: 41AN 21BN, including 20 straight AN months at one point.
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