Jump to content


Ad-Free Secondary Group
  • Content count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

About CIK62

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
  • Interests
    Amateur meteorology, guitar, handball, swimming,chess,Russian,Spanish.

Recent Profile Visitors

2,387 profile views
  1. Spring 2018 banter

    First 11 days of May have an average high of 78 on the GFS. This would be a solid +8.
  2. Next 8 days averaging 61degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is -3.9. Remainder of month maybe 1deg. BN. Should end month at -3.4.
  3. Spring 2018 banter

    GFS early May warmup has crashed and froze. Just 3 really warm days now. Still warms at mid-month in contra distinction to EURO WEEKLIES. We will see which l.r. model wins shortly.
  4. Next 8 days averaging 59degs., or about Normal. Month to date is -4.1. Remainder of April is maybe 1deg. BN. Should end month at -3.5.
  5. Spring 2018 banter

    Are you a reincarnated Jack Benny comedian type? We ain't talking about temperatures here---the Sun's angle above the horizon man. If the temps. do not pan out, then I will need much BULL Frog,---since I will not be at the beach.
  6. Spring 2018 banter

    Gee. Just a figure of speech, like a nice waistline. Know all about 45 to 73 degrees Mar. 8---Oct. 10 being dangerous around here.
  7. Spring 2018 banter

    GFS average high temperature for first 7 days of May is an astonishing 84 degrees. Must be a +14. CFS does not support such a +++++ departure. Scary thing is that it does by Week 3 of May. I suppose that would be 7 90's in a row by then. Latest (06Z)GFS has an average high of 81 for the first 9 days of May. If above happens (and pattern favors even stronger ridges latter in month), we would be looking at another knockout above normal, all-time warm month. Record is 68.7 in 1991. This is just +6.3. Supposedly we are starting with +10 and more to come. Something not Kosher here.
  8. Next 8 days averaging 58degs., near Normal or better.
  9. Spring 2018 banter

    Well, the EURO WEEKLIES-4/23 have arrived, and they hardly support a great heat ridge around here during the start of May. Mixed bag on temperatures which may not even net out AN. However, it is dry during the period in question, and stays near normal precipitation till about late May. Meanwhile the 6-10 & 8-14 Outlook has near zero confidence level associated with its output. So, Sun Tan Lotion not needed? Who knows.
  10. Spring 2018 banter

    Where and when was that above waterspout video made? Back to our business. GFS bent on becoming a star or a laughing stock with its May opening heat salvo. GFS has 6 '80-degree days' in a row at the start of May, and looks like it means business. (THK >5700M) CMC not fully on board.
  11. The first week of May is looking +10 degs. (GFS) overall on the highs. A possible +20 day could occur with so many consecutive AN days. Climate models do not agree with this. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2018042306&fh=252
  12. Next 8 days averaging 57degs., or just Normal. Month to date is -4.5. Should end month at -3.3. The first week+++ of May looks like a heat wave of sorts on the GFS, if clouds and precip. stay out of the act. Both coasts look AN, with center of country BN. Output from the long range models gives only half-hearted support.
  13. Spring 2018 banter

    Next 8 days averaging 57degs., or just about Normal.
  14. Spring 2018 banter

    Sorry. I believe you are correct. I must have hit the Day 45 spot and thought it was the 45-day period. This was the 0Z run. But the EURO is BN all the way on the 7-day, becoming iffy by Memorial Day Weekend, thankfully. Also, note the CFS has a pesky upper level pocket of cold air at 500mb of 5400M, overhead 5/12-16.
  15. Spring 2018 banter

    Back to a long wait for an AN stretch on the CFS, in agreement with the EURO WEEKLIES. CFS did have some warm looking runs. Next 45 is BN again.