Wxoutlooksblog
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The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. WX/PT
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I just got it two hours ago and it is very hot. WX/PT
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For the next 2 weeks or so, storms passing north of us with warm fronts/cold fronts fairly fast moving with a cool pool of air aloft and big upper low over the Great Lakes. This pattern can produce outbreaks of severe weather for us if things time out right and we get into (however briefly) the warm sector. I think the pattern locks into a steamy summer pattern around June 28th give or take a day or two or three. Things will change as we know. WX/PT
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It didn't have much two weeks ago on Wednesday and we know what happened in parts of Queens and Nassau. WX/PT
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For parts of the NYC Metro these few days right now are marginally hot. I think before this month is out we will see some more genuine heat. The incoming air mass (Sunday-Monday) really is not a cool one and it should heat up very quickly as it passes slowly from nw to se just south of us Tues-Wed. I expect more widespread 90 degree readings Wed-Friday and IMO the only thing that could hold temperatures lower is if more moisture from the south gets this far north than I expect. The 90 degree readings could last into next weekend. WX/PT
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The latest model data to me is suggesting the Omega block sticks around a while longer but at times its position shifts a bit east allowing pieces of the hot high pressure ridge to move east and into and out of the NYC Metro region. So we go back and forth with 2 days of warmth/heat and then 2-3 days of cool weather. I suspect over time later in June or early July that the warmer/hotter weather may tend to own a little more of the time but I think the unusually amped flow will continue to allow cold fronts to move across the northeast. WX/PT
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Only if this pattern holds. I'm skeptical. WX/PT
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In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now. WX/PT
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I think a period of heat returns to our region during the third of fourth week of May, leaning towards the third week. WX/PT
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Not where you are. LI, Ct maybe. Models are going back and forth with the fronts location. Quite uncertain how far southwest this gets. WX/PT
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BDCF is going to be awfully close Wednesday splitting the region between 80s south of it and 40s/50s/low 60s north of it. WX/PT
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The power of the sun and the fact that a good number of nights the temperature stayed above freezing all night. WX/PT
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It's got to be one of the fastest meltdowns ever. Snow piles are mostly what is left. WX/PT
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Wxoutlooksblog replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
March 3rd-4th arctic intrusion?? I do not think so though it looks most likely below normal with a few additional snow threats. I could see daytime highs low-mid 30s overnight lows upper teens or lower 20s a day or two. WX/PT -
New Orleans is my favorite city. I've been there 23 times. Have fun!! WX/PT
