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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
LI the warmest spot in the area with partly cloudy skies JFK continues with intra hour readings during the day - what a shame https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KJFK.html -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks mainly light/ drizzle for anyone that gets these to reach the ground, except the ACY / WIldwood areas -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
They got here SW of you -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
See if this is the beginning of more Atlantic risks around the Atlantic RIdge -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Relatively much drier week outside of any showers today/tomorrow. Looks very sunny Mon - Wed too. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro similar to the CM C with ridge centered near MO in beyond next weekend / GFS further west. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (2013) NYC: 102 (1977) LGA: 100 (2013) JFK: 97 (1963) New Brnswick: 101 (2012) Lows: EWR: 60 (1962) NYC: 57 (1924) LGA: 62 (2000) JFK: 61 (1962) New Brnswick: 52 (1923) Historical: 1850: Tropical storm to the east of DC caused trees and signs to be blown down and some buildings were damaged. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1886 - A hurricane from the Gulf of Mexico crossed Florida causing great damage from Cedar Keys to Jacksonville. (David Ludlum) 1886: The 1886 Atlanta Hurricane season was a very active year with ten hurricanes, seven of which struck the United States. During the evening hours of July 18th, a category 1 storm made landfall near Homosassa Springs, Florida. Damage was slight as the area was thinly inhabited. The hurricane weakened to tropical storm status south of Gainsville and emerged on the eastern side of Florida, south of Jacksonville during the morning hours of the 19th. This was the fourth hurricane to make landfall in the United States. 1935: Boston, Massachusetts recorded the highest average one minute wind velocity from the northwest at 52 mph. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1960 - Cow Creek and Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, reported morning lows of 102 degrees. The afternoon high at Greenland Ranch was 124 degrees, and the high at Cow Creek that afternoon was 126 degrees. The coolest low for the entire month for both locations was 82 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1972: The record coldest July temperature was tied at Billings, MT at 41° (also occurred 7/4/1972). The high for the day was a chilly 47°, the only occurrence of a July high temperature less than 50°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1974 - A severe thunderstorm with winds to 80 mph and up to two inches of rain washed out four to five foot deep sections of roadway in Lake Havasu City, AZ. Three persons in a station wagon died as it was carried 3000 feet down a wash by a ten foot wall of water. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains over parts of southwestern Pennsylvania. Some places receive more than twelve inches in a seven hour period. The heavy rains cause flash flooding along streams resulting in widespread severe damage. The cloudburst floods Johnstown with up to ten feet of water resulting in 76 deaths, countless injuries, and 424 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1983: July 19, ........"The I-94 Derecho"....ND, MN, IA, WI, MI, IL, IN 1987 - Fifteen cities in the western and the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Winnemucca, NV, with a reading of 33 degrees. Flagstaff AZ reported a record low of 34 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in New York State and New Jersey. High winds and hail two inches in diameter injured two persons and caused considerable damage to crops in the Pine Island area of central New York State. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced more than five inches of rain at Red Cloud, including two inches in fifteen minutes. Torrid temperatures continued over California, with record highs of 115 degrees at Red Bluff and 116 degrees at Redding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley produced 5.50 inches of rain south of Alexander, AR, in just ninety minutes, and flash flooding which resulted claimed the life of one woman. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.95 inches of rain in twelve hours east of Muncie. Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Las Vegas, NV, with a reading of 115 degrees, and Phoenix, AZ, with a high of 116 degrees. The low that night at Phoenix of 93 degrees was the warmest of record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: In Winnsboro, SC, lightning hit a nearby tree and resulting debris fell on a car. The driver left the car to sweep debris away, saying “lightning never strikes twice in the same spot.” He was wrong. CPR saved him. The soles of his wife's shoes were also blown off. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2005 - Severe heat gripped the region during early to mid-July. Las Vegas, NV tied their all-time record high temperature of 117 degrees, equalling the old record set on July 24, 1942. 2006 - The first of two severe thunderstorms hits the St. Louis area, causing the largest power outage in the city's history with over 570,000 people losing electricity. 2006: A derecho impacted a sellout crowd of almost 44,000 St. Louis Cardinals fans, packed into the new Busch Stadium. Winds of about 80 mph whirled around the St. Louis area, sending the fans running for shelter. The winds knocked out power and broke windows out of the press box. Nearly two minutes after the winds began at 100 mph, they stopped, and it started to rain. In all, about 30 people were injured at the stadium. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
78 / 77 cloudy. Clouds and scattered showers later mainly south = low - mid 80s not much sun. Clearing / hotter Sunday upepr 80s to low 90s in the hotter spots. Front comes through tomorrow night isolated showers/storm overnight. Drier week ahead cooler Mon - Wed before the ridge raises heights by Wed with heat , potentially stronger heat (95+) by the end of next week and next weekend. Beyond there ridge is centered in the middle of the US with an overall warm - hot look. 7/19 : Cloudy, scattered showers 7/20 : Hot / humid scattered showers storms overnight into Monday 7/21 - 7/23 : Dry / cooler (slightly below normal) 7/24 - 7/27 : Hotter - Strong heat potential 25 - 27. 7/28 - Beyond : Overall Warm - Hot -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Highs: EWR: 87 ACY: 87 JFK: 85 * no intra hour highs again 2PM/8PM 6 hour max/min missing ACY: 85 BLM: 84 TEB: 84 New Brnswck: 84 LGA: 84 ISP: 82 NYC: 82 TTN: 81 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Partly cloudy forecast vs looking out the window, looks mostly cloudy >50% cloud coverage heading in as the cloud magnet season rolls on. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Lowest dew points since Jul 4 / 5th 77 / 63 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Records: Highs: EWR: 104 (2012) NYC: 101 (1953) LGA: 101 (2012) JFK: 100 (2013) New Brnswick: 100 (1905) Lows: EWR: 58 (1946) NYC: 57 (1925) LGA: 62 (1962) JFK: 58 (1962) New Brnswick: 53 (1925) Historical: 1889 - A cloudburst in West Virginia along the small creeks in Wirt County, Jackson County and Wood County claimed twenty lives. Rockport, WV, reported nineteen inches of rain in two hours and ten minutes that Thursday evening. Tygart Creek rose 22 feet in one hour, and villages were swept away on Tygart, Slate, Tucker, and Sandy Creeks. (The Weather Channel) 1936 - The all time record high temperature for the state of Kansas was set when a 121-degree high temperature fried Fredonia. (US National Weather Service Wichita) 1936: This day marked the end of the hottest period on record for La Crosse, WI. From the 5th through the 18th, temperatures climbed to 90° or better everyday, and at or above 100° eight times. During this time six record temperatures were set and the average high temperatures for the period was 101.0°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1942: A record deluge occurred at Smethport in northern Pennsylvania, with 30.7 inches in just six hours. The downpours and resultant flooding in Pennsylvania were devastating. The following U.S. records were set at Smethport, PA: rainfall in three hours: 28.50 inches, rainfall in 4 hours and 30 minutes: 30.70 inches and 12-hour rainfall: 34.30 inches.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1942 - A record deluge occurred at Smethport in northern Pennsylvania, with 30.7 inches in just six hours. The downpours and resultant flooding in Pennsylvania were devastating. (David Ludlum) 1970: A tropical depression formed east of the Yucatan Peninsula. As the system developed into Tropical Storm Becky, it provided National Hurricane Center forecasters their first opportunity to study the evolution of a tropical cyclone with the aid of time-lapse movies of ATS (Applications Technology Satellite) photographs in real time, or, The Movie Loop. Becky moved into the Florida panhandle as a tropical storm. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1972: Heavy rain, unofficially measured at 10 to 11 inches, fell in the Mooreland and Mutual areas of Woodward County Oklahoma. The heavy rain caused severe soil erosion, but crop damage was minimal, as wheat already had been harvested. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1986 - One of the most photo-genic tornadoes touched down in the northern suburbs of Minneapolis, MN, during the late afternoon. The very slow moving tornado actually appeared live on the evening news by way of an aerial video taken by the KARE-TV helicopter crew. The tornado, unlike most, was quite the prima donna, staying visible to tens of thousands of persons for thirty minutes. It was moderate in intensity, with winds of 113-157 mph, and caused 650 thousand dollars damage. (Storm Data) 1987 - Cool weather prevailed in the western U.S. Seven cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Alamosa, CO, with a reading of 38 degrees. The low of 52 degrees at Bakersfield, CA, was a record for July. Up to eight inches of snow covered the Northern Sierra Nevada Range of California from a storm the previous day. During that storm, winds gusting to 52 mph at Slide Mountain, NV, produced a wind chill reading of 20 degrees below zero. Susanville, CA, reached 17 degrees that previous day, Blue Canyon, CA, dipped to a July record of 36 degrees, and the high of 44 degrees at Klamath Falls, OR, smashed their previous record for July by ten degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Sweltering heat continued in California, with record highs of 111 degrees at Redding and 112 degrees at Sacramento. Death Valley, CA, hit 127 degrees. Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the Central Plains Region produced baseball size hail at Kimball, NE, wind gusts to 79 mph at Colby, KS, and six inches of rain near Lexington, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma, northern Texas and Arkansas during the afternoon, and into the night. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail at Stamford, TX, and wind gusts to 92 mph near Throckmorton, TX. Record heat continued in the southwestern U.S. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 115 degrees, and a 111 degree reading at Midland, TX, was second only to their all-time record high of 112 degrees established sixteen days earlier. (The National Weather Summary) 1992: On this date through the 18th, Thunderstorms crossed Wayne County in western New York State dumping heavy rains over already saturated grounds and swollen streams. Rainfall amounts exceeded six inches in two hours on the 17th. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1993: In south central Kansas, heavy rains in and around Stafford County caused flooding of the normally dry Antelope Creek. Flooding of roads and streets began in Radium during the morning hours. The flooding continued until the morning hours on the 19th. This was the worst flooding in Radium since the spring of 1973. Flooding continued until about 9 am on the 19th. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1996: An F5 tornado struck Oakfield, WI during the evening, injuring 17 people and destroying 47 of the 320 homes in the town. Damage estimates totaled over $40 million dollars. In addition, 56 homes as well as numerous businesses and churches sustained heavy damage. A massive rainstorm in north central and northeast Illinois led to widespread flooding. Aurora reported 16.91 inches of rain, establishing a state record for the most rain in a single day. Other heavy totals included 13.60 inches at Joliet, 9.24 inches in Wheaton, 8.09 inches in DeKalb, and 7.82 inches at Elgin. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1997: Hurricane warnings were posted along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Alabama as Hurricane Danny headed toward shore, first brushing southeastern Louisiana where tropical storm force winds and high tides caused severe erosion. Grand Isle, LA recorded a wind gust to 95 mph shortly before midnight. 100 mph winds and torrential rains, downed power lines, damaged or sunk boats and left flooding in its wake. Thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong cold front and brought high winds and large hail to the western southern tier, Niagara frontier and Genesee Valley in western New York State. A 74 mph gust was recorded in Orchard Park. Hail, as large as golf balls, damaged crops in Niagara and Orleans counties. Several fires were reported as a result of lightning strikes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: Miles City, MT set their all-time high temperature record with 113°. Highs of 100° or higher occurred 6 times between the 12th through the 19th. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) . 2008: A man and a woman went outside a home in Standish, ME to get a pair of sunglasses the family dog had taken from 1 of the 3 young children inside. Unfortunately, lightning hit a nearby tree, then traveled through the ground, killing both people. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2010: Thunderstorm winds gusted to 72 mph at BWI late evening on 18th. Ref. July PRESTO Page 1 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
76 / 64 and mostly cloudy. Partly cloudy forecasts look optimistic. Cooler / drier - likely a break in the 3/4 day heatwave for many, enough sun could get the hottest spots inland there but it looks cloudy. Weekend looks 50/50 - cloudy and scattered storms Saturday warm / humid with a drying out Sunday by the afternoon. Enough Sun on Sun gets the hottest spots to 90. Drier 2-3 days - cooler Mon - Wed before ridge builds heights and heat expands east by the 24/25th, with potential strong heat later next week / weekend. Overall warm - hot / humid beyond there and likely wetter again with ridge building to our west. 7/18 - 7/20 : Warm - Storms chances Saturday, Drying out Sunday / clearing 7/21 - 7/23 : Cooler / Drier 7/24 - 7/30: Hotter / Humid wetter - potential stronger heat 25-27 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/obs.shtml?lat=40.029360&lon=-73.805139&zoom=7&type=oceans&status=r&pgm=&op=&ls=n -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Could have some of those 89 degree days miss an intra hour 90 or higher and vice versa in the winter at a important/critical station. They should make the station dynamic and update in real time like the New Brunswick station. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
amazing they cant measure between hours - seems rudimentary. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2022 from my recollection https://www.fox29.com/news/atlantic-ocean-sets-records-for-warmth-down-at-the-jersey-shore?utm_source=chatgpt.com and 2016 https://www.cbsnews.com/philadelphia/news/jersey-shore-ocean-record-warm/?utm_source=chatgpt.com -
Highs: EWR: 96 TEB: 95 PHL: 95 \\\ ACY: 94 LGA: 93 BLM: 93 New Brnswck: 92 JFK: 92 * 3rd day no intra hour highs 2pm / 8pm (likely went higher) TTN: 91 ISP: 90 NYC: 90
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Anyone have JFK 6 hour max/min My source https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KJFK.html is missing them the last few days and had similar gaps the last few years. Odd they cant just add the max each hour 2025. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Highs: EWR: 96 TEB: 95 PHL: 95 \\\ ACY: 94 LGA: 93 BLM: 93 New Brnswck: 92 JFK: 92 * 3rd day no intra hour highs 2pm / 8pm (likely went higher) TTN: 91 ISP: 90 NYC: 90 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
88 / 76 70% clouds 30% sun and increasing clearing. Next heatwave looks a lock here. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
82 / 75 More breaks but still plenty of clouds -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Will be surprised if we see this little rainfall over the next 7 days, but overall drier trend outside of later today and Sunday. Boundary south into the southern mid atlantic , AZ monsoon kicking up and what could have been Dexter into the C Gulf coast are the wetter spots -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Clouds stingy to clear 77 / 73 once / if we clear its off to the races but clouds look to persist -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
New Brunswick: 6.18 of rain (7/16) so far