SACRUS

Dewpoint to 70 on strong SSE wind and some clearing ahead of the heavy rains later this moring/afternoon. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Humid and front coming through today and into tomorrow making way for a third spectacular weekend and into early next week. Next cold front comes through next week Wed 9/29. By later next week eyes on what will be Hurricane Sam and the western Atlantic ridge building back and backing and bogging flow/traffic. So we will likely see a progession 9/23-24 front rain 9/25 - 9/27: dry and splendid (mainy mid - upper 70s) 9/28 - 9/30 : front / bit cooler 10/1 - beyond: onshore / humid warm flow as Western Atl Ridge builds back west. (what will likely be) Sam : around the southeast coast 9/30- 10/5(ish)

9/22 (highs) 9/22 PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 84 EWR: 83 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 TEB: 82 ACY: 81 BLM: 80 JFK: 80 ISP: 80 NYC: 79

Easterly flow https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

9/19 EWR: 80 PHL: 80 JFK: 79 ACY: 79 New Brnswck: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 77 TEB: 77 BLM: 76 ISP: 76 NYC: 76

Sunset before 7PM today at 6:58 PM

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Shaping to be a splendid Sunday and making two great weekends back to back and longer ranger guidance hints a trifecta next weekend. Before then more of the same tomorrow (Mon) 9/20. By Tue a trough is digginng into the GL and a with a ULL cutting off by Wed (9/22) pushing a southerly flow along the EC. Clouds and humid with rain and potentially a soaking Wed late into and through Thu (9/23) wit >1.5 - 3 inches of rain widespread before the ULL pushes north and aloows the front to push through Fri (9/24). Should setup a fantastic first weekend of fall. Beyond there as we end Sep and open Oct it looks like ridging is likely to build back by Tue (9/28) and warmer overall returns.

9/18 EWR: 88 PHL: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 86 TEB: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TTN: 85 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 84

looks like we warm back up after any transitory cooldown in the Sep 23 - 25 period. We'll see if the guidance continues to show warmer for and by the final week of Sep. (9/227th

Sat 9/18 looks like the next shot at 90 for EWR, next week could feature too much onshore flow.

Onshore flow / low spinning east of Carolina https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

MMU: 87 HPN: 84 SWF: 84

9/15 EWR: 91 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 81 ISP: 81

9/15 EWR: 91 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 81 ISP: 81

9/14 PHL: 88 TTN: 84 ACY: 82 New Brnswck: 82 EWR: 81 LGA: 81 TEB: 81 NYC: 80 BLM: 79 ISP: 78 JFK: 78

The puppy days of late summer as we ride above normal overall into the longer range. After today's cooldown Wed (9/15) looks to reach 90 , especially in the warmer spots in what will end a 2 + weeks period without 90s. Beyond there - warm and we watch cut off lows from the ridge producing onshore and keeping it warm but next shot at 90s would likely come Sat or Sun (pending on clouds and easterly flow). Nicholas remnants look aimed at GL/OV but at some point those storms and precip comes east. ULL in the Atlantic nearby the coast as well. So we have to see how much of the period 9/18 - 9/22 is clouds and onshore and potentially showery, rainy.

9/13 ACY: 88 EWR: 88 PHL: 88 BLM: 87 JFK: 87 New Brnswck: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 83

Smoke looks most prevalent into the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic currently https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

82 / 70, summer feel. Warmup ongoing with chance of 90s (last one 8/30) for many today and Wed in the warmer spots.

9/12 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 New Brnswck: 84 ACY: 84 BLM: 84 TTN: 83 JFK: 82 TEB: 82 NYC: 81 ISP: 79

Warm up on with next show at 90s, especially i the warmer spots Sun - Mon and Wed/Thu. Overall looking warmer than normal for the long range. GFS still back and forth with low undercutting the ridge next week bringing rain on various runs while the ECM is mainly well east of the coast with the low.

From 51 now up to 70 with bright sunshine. Just a gorgeous day ahead. We Warm things up tomorrow Sun (9/12) through Thu (9/16) with chance for 90s in the warmer spots adding to those 90s totals. Will have to deal with more rain from as low cut off under ridge brings rain and stiff onshore breeze later Fri (9/17) into next weekend 9/19. beyond there warmer overall and woudlnt shock me for a run at some more late 90s.

Clearing out and looking dry through Thursday (9/15). Just terrific weather today and tomorrow highs near 80 and low humidity. By Sun (9/12) through much of the next work wek warmer times coincide with ridging along the east coast and what played very similarly as the late july cool down / near or below normal week transitioning to a another sustained warm period is likely happening here for the next few weeks. Mon (9/13) - Wed (9/15) warm spots with 90s possible or likely as 850 temps get >16c. Some storms/showers Thu (9/16) and late next week may limit warmth before the ridge builds back next weekend 9/17 - 18 and beyond with overall warmer than normal into the second half/late month.

69 degrees front moving through and so far .27 in the bucket in CNJ. Front slow to clear today setting up and beautiful end of the week and this weekend. Fri (9/10) / Sat (9/11) gorgeous sunny days low humidity and highs near 80. Warmup starts Sun (9/12) and continues through next week. Ridge builds next chance at 90 in the warmer spots Mon (9/13) - Wed (9/15). Beyond next week and into next weekend 9/17, overall warm looks to be sustained.