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SACRUS

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Everything posted by SACRUS

  1. SACRUS
  2. SACRUS
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  6. SACRUS
    ICON only at 18zgoes to 120H FWIW and maybe not much
  7. SACRUS
    ICON (iconic flip flop)
  8. SACRUS
    Euro with the proverbial kick in the groin
  9. SACRUS
    2/18 12z EUro AI AIFS Total QPF
  10. SACRUS
    2/18 12z EURO AI AIFS: 2 3 4
  11. SACRUS
    updated
  12. SACRUS
    GEFS still lean right of the gfs
  13. SACRUS
    2/18 12z UKMET Total QPF
  14. SACRUS
    2/18 12z UKMET closer and close to the GFS/GEGM Solution - UKMET does have a suppressed bias (at least it used to)
  15. SACRUS
    Updated
  16. SACRUS
    2/18 12z GGEM Total QPF
  17. SACRUS
    2/18 12z GFS Total QPF
  18. SACRUS
    GFS AI AIGFS total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24
  19. SACRUS
    GFS AI AIGFS
  20. SACRUS
    2/1 12z Summary NYC ICON: 0 GFS AI AIGFS: 0.2 GFS: 0.7 GGEM: 0.8 UKMET: 0.1 GEFS: 0.3
  21. SACRUS
    2/18 12z ICON Total QPF
  22. SACRUS
    ICON north of 00z but still a miss
  23. SACRUS
    Seasonal numerical forecasting euphoria to the doldrumms . if you go back and check the threats / discussions from Jan 17/18 and the NC storm similar challenges with coastal formation and even some of the same models run to run changes. Each situation is unique and perhaps as we go deeper into the season we can ween off the seasonal trends.
  24. SACRUS
    yeah just a little south of 12z by 850 miles
  25. SACRUS
    2/18 00z GGEM also a miss
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