SACRUS

Today's split EWR: 37 / 30 (-0) NYC: 36 / 29 (-2)

The last time it was EWR: >50 : Jan 14 >60 : Nov 26 >70 : Nov 5 > 80: Oct 7 NYC: >50: Jan 14 >60: Nov 9 >70: Oct 19 >80: Oct 7

Sun now building in from the NE

Dep through the 11th EWR: -9.2 (0.02) NYC: -10 (0.08) LGA: -9.8 (0.03) JFK: -9.8 (0.01)

Records: Highs: EWR: 70 (1999) NYC: 62 (2018) LGA: 63 (2018) JFK: 61 (2022) Lows: EWR: -1 (1979) NYC: -2 (1914) LGA: 4 (1979) JFK: 4 (1979) Historical: 1784: Ice floes were spotted in the Gulf of Mexico after passing out the Mississippi River in February 1784. Ice blocked the river in New Orleans, Louisiana. The ice in New Orleans is one of two times that this occurred during the Great Arctic Outbreak of 1899. The eruption of Laki in Iceland from June 8, 1783, through February 7, 1784, is the likely cause for the severe winter of 1783 - 1784. 1899 - Texas and the eastern plains experienced their coldest morning of modern record. The mercury dipped to 8 degrees below zero at Fort Worth TX, and to 22 degrees below zero at Kansas City MO. The temperature at Camp Clarke NE plunged to 47 degrees below zero to establish a record for the state. In the eastern U.S., Washington D.C. hit 15 degrees below zero, while Charleston SC received a record four inches of snow. (David Ludlum) 1899: The bitter cold outbreak of February 1899 continued across the southern Plains, Texas, and the Deep South. The mercury dipped to 8 degrees below zero at Fort Worth, Texas, and 22 degrees below zero at Kansas City, Missouri. Nebraska’s temperature at Camp Clarke plunged to 47 degrees below zero to establish a state record. The all-time record low for Oklahoma City was set when the temperature fell to a frigid 17 degrees below zero, breaking the previous record low of 12 below zero, set on the previous day. Washington D.C. hit 15 degrees below zero, while Charleston, SC, received a record four inches of snow. Snow was also reported in Fort Myers, Tampa, and Tallahassee in Florida. 1958 - Snow blanketed northern Florida, with Tallahassee reporting a record 2.8 inches. A ship in the Gulf of Mexico, 25 miles south of Fort Morgan AL, reported zero visibility in heavy snow on the afternoon of the 12th. (12th-13th) (The Weather Channel) 1960 - A snowstorm in the Deep South produced more than a foot of snow in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A storm in the eastern U.S. produced high winds from North Carolina to Maine. A storm in the western U.S. produced up to thirty inches of snow in the Sierra Nevada Range of California. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A classic "nor'easter" formed off the Carolina coast and intensified as it moved up the Atlantic coast bringing heavy snow to the northeastern U.S. Totals ranged up to 26 inches at Camden NY and Chester MA. Arctic cold gripped the north central U.S. Duluth MN was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 32 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably mild weather prevailed across Alaska. Morning lows of 29 degrees at Anchorage and 31 degrees at Fairbanks were actually warmer than those in northern Florida. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Strong southerly winds ahead of an arctic cold front pushed temperatures into the 70s as far north as Iowa and Nebraska. Twenty-one cities in the central U.S., seven in Iowa, reported record high temperatures for the date. Lincoln NE reported a record high of 73 degrees, and the afternoon high of 59 degrees at Minneapolis MN smashed their previous record for the date by twelve degrees. Springfield IL reported a record forty-eight consecutive days with above normal temperatures. (The National Weather Summary) 2006 - An intense snow squall off of Lake Michigan cuts visibility to zero along a section of US 31. The resulting whiteout causes 96 cars to pile up. 25 were injured. 2017: There was an imminent failure of the auxiliary spillway on the Oroville Dam in California.

35 / 18 - Today / tomorrow should be the coldest days of the next 10. Overall dry (outside next Thu-Fri) as the storm misses 2/15. Overall warmer above avg 2/14 - 2/20 with the first shot at 50+ between 2/17 - 2/18. 2/12- 2/13 : near to below avg 2/13 - 2/20 : Moderation to / above avg first 50+ possible for some TueWed next week, Rain 2/19-20 2/21 : Moderation back colder 2/22 - beyond : perhaps more activity to track with an overall colder close to the month - at this point it doesnt look significantly strong cold.

Todays split - first 40s since 1/22 EWR: 43 / 26 (+1) * First above avg day since 1/22 NYC: 41 / 33 (+2) first above avg day since 1/22

NYC to 40 as well

43 here quickly with sun about to give way to clouds for a bit

Records: Highs: EWR: 66 (1960) NYC: 65 (2009) LGA: 63 (2009) JFK: 62 (2009) Low: EWR: -1 (1979) NYC: -2 (1899) LGA: 2 (1979) JFK: 3 (1962) Historical: 1895: The low temperature was 11 degrees below zero at Moline, Illinois, marking the last of 16 consecutive days on which the low temperature was at or below zero. During the first 11 days of February, Moline's highest temperature was only 13 degrees above zero. Their current average high temperature for early February is in the lower 30s. 1899 - Perhaps the greatest of all arctic outbreaks commenced on this date. The temperature plunged to 61 degrees below zero in Montana. At the same time a "Great Eastern Blizzard" left a blanket of snow from Georgia to New Hampshire. The state of Virginia took the brunt of the storm, with snowfall totals averaging 30 to 40 inches. (David Ludlum) 1983 - The Middle Atlantic Coast States and southern New England were in the midst of a major snowstorm. In Pennsylvania, the storm produced 21 inches at Philadelphia, 24 inches at Harrisburg, and 25 inches at Allentown, establishing record 24 hour totals and single storm totals for those locations. New York City received 22 inches of snow, and 35 inches was reported at Glen Gary, located in the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia. Windsor Locks CT received a record 19 inches of snow in 12 hours. The storm resulted in forty-six deaths, thirty-three of which occurred when a freighter capsized and sank off the Maryland/Virginia coast. Heavy snow was reported from northeastern Georgia to eastern Maine. (10th-12th) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel) 1983: Called the "Megalopolitan blockbuster snowstorm," this major snowstorm impacted the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. Snowfall up to 25 inches fell at Allentown, Pennsylvania. Snowfall amount of 35 inches occurred in parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia at Glen Cary. Windsor Locks, Connecticut, recorded a record 19 inches in 12 hours. A ship sunk off the Virginia/Maryland coast, killing 33. There were 46 total storm-related fatalities. New 24-hour snowfall records were set in Philadelphia, Harrisburg, Allentown, Pennsylvania, and Hartford, Connecticut. Five inches of snow in one hour was recorded at Allentown and Hartford. 1987 - Denver, CO, reported only their third occurrence of record of a thunderstorm in February. Ten cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Huron SD reported February temperatures averaging 19 degrees above normal. Williston ND reported readings averaging 24 degrees above normal for the month. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Bitter cold air gripped the north central U.S. Morning lows of 35 degrees below zero at Aberdeen SD, Bismarck ND and International Falls MN were records for the date. Bemidji MN was, officially, the cold spot in the nation with a low of 39 degrees below zero, however, a reading of 42 degrees below zero was reported at Gettysburg SD. In the Northern High Plains Region, Baker MT warmed from 27 degrees below zero to 40 above. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - While much of the continental U.S. enjoyed sunshine and seasonable temperatures, a strong weather system over the Hawaiian Islands deluged Honolulu with 2.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A winter storm produced up to ten inches of snow in Vermont, and up to nine inches of snow in Aroostook County of northeastern Maine. A three day snowstorm began to overspread Oregon, and the winter storm produced 29 inches of snow at Bennett Pass. Mild weather continued in the central U.S. La Crosse WI reported a record forty-seven consecutive days with temperatures above normal. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1994: THE GREAT SLEET STORM OF FEBRUARY 10-11 1994 This winter storm was most unique in that produced almost entirely sleet for the immediate DC metro area. To the north, heavy snow fell and to the south and east, freezing rain occurred producing a devastating ice storm. In the Washington area, the sleet accumulation averaged between 3 to 4 inches. The maximum sleet accumulation occurred over Central and western Fairfax County, with over 4 inches of sleet measured at several locations. Only two other sleet storms in Washington's history have compared to this storm-one occurred in 1920 and the other in 1927. The average sleet depth for the 1927 storm was 4.5 inches. Washington was lucky it was sleet and not a glaze as they received south of DC. In areas to the south where the ice storm (glaze) occurred there were some areas without electricity for nearly a month and most had no power for a week. (p. 95-96 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) The Northeast was suffering under its 2nd winter storm in 3 days. Newark, NJ picked up 18 inches of snow on top of the foot that had fallen just a few days earlier. 18 inches fell at Newark, NJ & New Bedford and Hyannis, MA. 3 to 4 inches of sleet was reported at and around the Baltimore, MD – Washington, DC area.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 17th Worst Snowstorm 1999: An F1 tornado did much damage to the ET Dunlap Center and nearby Kiamichi Tech Center in Idabel, Oklahoma. An instructor called in sick; the class was canceled; a damaged roof collapsed into the empty classroom. Good time for sickness! (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2004 - North Dakota Governor John Hoeven declares a snow emergency as winds gusting over 70 mph along with heavy snow produces low visibilities and drifts up to 20 feet in northwestern North Dakota. Amtrak train service is interrupted in the region. The Weather Doctor 2006 - Snowfall records fell in Philadelphia and Allentown, Pennsylvania, Bridgeport and Hartford, Connecticut, Newark, New Jersey, and Worchester and Boston, Massachusetts. The highest total reported was 30.2 inches at Fairfield, CT. New York City set a record one-day snowfall record of 26.9 inches in Central Park. 2010 The Nor'easter that blasted the region on February 10-11 was a true blizzard, with powerful winds that caused whiteout conditions. The 10 to 20 inches that smothered the urban areas from Washington, D.C. to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, added to the deep snowpack already on the ground, resulting in depths (two-three feet plus) rarely if ever seen in this part of the country. Due to the amount of snow deposited on populated areas, this was also rated a Category 3 storm, the third since December. In addition, the new snowfall totals took the winter season numbers over the top, upsetting records established more than a century ago. Over 55 inches fell from December to February in Washington, D.C., while the northern suburbs picked up officially as much as 98 inches, including 55 inches in nine days—numbers that seasoned weather observers thought they would never see in their lifetimes. From Washington, D.C. to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and Atlantic City, New Jersey, this was not only the snowiest February on record, but the snowiest month ever. And, despite March being essentially snowless, Richmond, Virginia (28.0 inches); Washington, D.C. (56.1 inches at DCA and 73.2 inches at lAD); Baltimore, Maryland (77.0 inches); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (78.7 inches); Wilmington, Delaware (72.7 inches); and Atlantic City, New Jersey (58.1 inches) all set records for the snowiest winter since modem recordkeeping began more than 130 years ago. (Ref. U.S. Weather Highlights of 2010 page 2 ) 2012: Thunder Snow with thunder heard at 1525 and 1526 and at 1528 during a snow squall. This was the first thunder snow we have observed at this station. (Records since August of 2008.) There was about a 3 to 5 minute period of snow pellets between 1506 and 1510. Heaviest snow was from 1525 to 1533 but some snow was melting as it fell as the temperature was above freezing during the even which started at 1505 and ended at 1545. The yard was becoming white around 1525 with snow and the deck is white and already covered but as hard as it snowing the street never became white as it was so warm. The low temperature during the snow was 34 °F and as soon as it was over it rose to 35 before falling again. This 0.5 inches was the most snow since January 25 and 26th of 2011 when 0.5 inches also occurred. (West Henrico Co. - Glen Allen Virginia Weather Center) 2013 :| The Hartford Courant Staff, The Hartford Courant on 2 - 12 - 2013 giving news from the 11th. As many businesses reopened after the weekend blizzard, snow-choked roadways in Hartford slowed the commute and caused traffic to backup onto highways. Traffic would have been worse but for the federal holiday that closed state government for the day. Hartford officials said snow clearing efforts continued Monday and Tuesday, but several main thoroughfares, including Asylum Avenue, were substantially restricted by snow that not yet been pushed off the street. People Go Back To Work After the Storm (Ref. The Hartford Courant)

36 / 24 - warmest day since 1/22 in store with 40 - low 40s for many. Outside of tomorrow and storm track Sun (2/15), 9 or 10 of next 11-12 days may get to or exceed 40s as we enter a warmer period - but still hovering closer to normal more north and east as ridge builds into the eastern 2/3 of the country. Shot at exceeding 50 since January in the 2/17 - 2/20 period. Euro/ GGEM / German have robust QPF / rain - mix ay 06z / snower 00z / GFS/UKMET misses. 2/15-2/16 period to watch otherwise mainly dry. Beyond there in the 2/22 period looks to revert colder - below avg to close the month.

Todays split EWR 36 / 22 (-5) NYC: 36 / 24 (-5)

36 / 7 here

Period to watch if we could sneak a warm (50+) day in 2/17 - 2/20 period or will warmth be shunted south of PHL

Records: Highs: EWR: 63 (1990) NYC: 61 (2023) LGA: 60 (2024) JFK: 60 (2023) Lows: EWR: 8 (1968) - Unofficial record -9 (1899) NYC: -6 (1879) LGA: 4 (1979) JFK: 6 (1979) Historical: 1899 - The temperature at Monterey plunged to 29 degrees below zero, establishing record for the state of Virginia. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1899: The minimum temperature for the date was -8 °F and the high was + 4 degrees F. in Washington, DC. The + 4 degrees F. high was the lowest maximum ever recorded in Washington. That makes this day one of only five days in the official climate history of Washington (11-1-1870- present 2003) to have a maximum temperature less than 10 degrees F. The first time was on 12-30-1880 when the high was 9 °F and the second was 12-30-1917 when the high was 9 degrees F. A high temperature of 8 degrees has occurred twice also - the first time was this date (1-13-1912) and the second time was 1-19-1994. (Stanley Rossen email of December 31, 2002)(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Coldest ever in Virginia it was -29°F Monterey in 1899 a record that stood until Jan. 22nd, 1985 when it was -30° below zero. This is still the VA all time record low temperature. The temperature in Milligan, Ohio plunged to -39° below zero in 1899, for a all time state record to the present (2010). (Extreme Weather p. 54, by Christopher C. Burt) 1921 - Gardner, Georgia, was devastated by a massive, estimated F4 tornado that caused an entire small town section to disappear. The tornado killed an estimated 31 people and injured 100. 1921: Gardner, Georgia, was devastated by a massive, estimated F4 tornado that caused an entire small town section to disappear. The tornado killed an estimated 31 people and injured 100. 1933: The temperature in Seneca, Oregon plunged to -54° below zero, for a new state record. It would be over 100° warmer the next day with a high temperature of 45°. (Extreme Weather p. 54, by Christopher C. Burt) (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1959 - St. Louis, Missouri, was hit by a massive F4 tornado that killed 21 and injured 345. Over 2000 buildings were damaged or destroyed, including the St. Louis Arena. 1973 - A major snowstorm struck the southeastern U.S. It produced as much as 18 inches in Georgia, and up to two feet of snow in South Carolina. (David Ludlum) 1978 - As much as eight inches of rain drenched southern California resulting in widespread flooding and mudslides. The heavy rainfall produced a wall of water which ripped through the mountain resort community of Hidden Springs drowning at least thirteen persons. The storm was one of the most destructive of record causing fifty million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1981 - A morning tornado at Bay Minette, AL, struck the local middle school severely damaging the gymnasium. 62 people were injured, 44 of whom were students. 1982 - Bismarck, ND, experienced its 45th consecutive day of subzero temperature readings which tied the previous record long string of subzero daily lows ending on the same date in 1937. (David Ludlum) 1983: On February 10, 1983 a huge snowstorms swept up the eastern seaboard, burying the Virginia Washington area in a swath of very heavy snow. During the late evening of February 10th a low over Georgia started giving a light snow to the Washington, DC area. The snow slowly picked up in intensity during the overnight hours and by morning the surface low was positioned just east of Wilmington, North Carolina. A tight pressure gradient between the storm and a high-pressure area to the north causing winds to increase to gust over 40 mph and snowfall rates of 3 inches per hour were common. Many observers particularly in the Maryland suburbs reported several episodes of lightning and thunder. Most of the southern and eastern suburbs recorded 15 to 20 inches of snow while 20 to 30 inches of snow fell in the northern and western suburbs. National Airport received 16.6 inches while 22.8 inches fell at both BWI and Dulles Airport. In Northwest Montgomery and Frederick Counties the storm was the greatest ever recorded easily exceeding the totals received during the famous Knickerbockers storm of January 1922. Germantown and Frederick both receive 30 inches of snow and western Loudoun County, Virginia, up to 38 inches. Braddock Heights, just west of Frederick, Maryland, received 34.9 inches. Areas to the east and a little south of Washington received snow pellets mixed with snow thus reducing the accumulations there. (p. 90 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) (Ref. Wilson Wx. - More Information About This Storm) Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 10th Worst Snowstorm 1987 - A storm in the northeastern U.S. produced heavy snow in southeastern Maine. Grand Falls and Woodland received 15 inches, mainly during the early morning hours, while most of the rest of the state did not even see a flake of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Bitter cold arctic air gripped the north central U.S. International Falls MN was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 35 degrees below zero. Record warm readings were reported in southern California, with highs of 78 at San Francisco and 88 at Los Angeles. San Juan Capistrano CA was the hot spot in the nation with a high of 92 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - For the first time all month winter relaxed its grip on the nation. The temperature at Brownsville TX warmed above 60 degrees for the first time in six days, ending their second longest such cold spell of record. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front continued to produce severe weather across the southeastern U.S. through the morning hours and into the late afternoon. There were a total of twenty-nine tornadoes in twenty-nine hours, and 245 reports of large hail or damaging winds. Pre-dawn thunderstorms produced high winds which injured at least seventy persons in Alabama and Georgia, and caused more than twelve million dollars property damage. A tornado at Austell GA prior to daybreak injured two persons and caused two million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2010 - A second major snowstorm, dubbed Snoverkill and Snowmaggedon 2.0, further buries the Nation's Capital with 10.8 inches of new snow. Schools, businesses and even parts of the Federal government are shut down by blizzard conditions. The city now has a deeper snowpack, 28 inches, than the 20 inches in Anchorage, AK, or 27 inches in Marquette, MI. 2011 - The coldest day in Oklahoma history sees the temperature plunge to -31°F at Nowata, OK. A US National Weather Service station at Bartlesville recorded a reading of -28°F. Both locations break the previous low temperature mark of -27°F set in 1905 and tied in 1930. The Weather Doctor 2017: An atmospheric phenomena know as "moonbow" was seen in the Seattle area. 2017 - Denver saw their all-time warmest temperature in February with a reading of 79 degrees.

23 / 11 the ascent from the ice box continues mid / upper 30s today and Some areas to or low 40s on Wed (last time 1/22). Overall drier through the yet to be sorted out 2/15-2/16 storm system which looked mainly mix/wet. Moderation and warmer next week - still hovering between cold to the north and much warmer to the south and we'll see if one or two days between the 2/17 - 2/21 period gets to 50(s) - last was Jan 12-14th. Beyond there overall near normal to below.

Yep - 11/1 today. Halloween equivalent tomorrow Feb 10

Feb 9 , 2017

Today's EWR: 33 / 11 (-12) NYC: 31 / 10 (-15) Mid 30s Tuesday - 40 or above Wed

12z again with robust QPF 2/15-2/16 period

Just touched 33 here

Bright sunshine and to 22 here, what a difference when the winds calm ,almost shorts weather

Most of this or nearly all of this is from 2/15 into 2/16 Sun / Mon

Lets hope when the forecasted proverbial flood gates open 2/15-2/16 we can hold onto the cold for some duration.

Chill Ice box 2/7 EWR; 28 / 7 (-16) NYC: 27 / 6 (-17) LGA; 28 / 7 (-17) JFK: 28 / 6 (-16) 2/8: EWR: 19 / 5 (-22) NYC: 18 / 3 (-24) LGA: 20 / 5 (-22) JFK: 18 / 3 (-22)