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SACRUS

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Everything posted by SACRUS

  1. Euro with the proverbial kick in the groin
  2. 2/18 12z EUro AI AIFS Total QPF
  3. 2/18 12z UKMET closer and close to the GFS/GEGM Solution - UKMET does have a suppressed bias (at least it used to)
  4. GFS AI AIGFS total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24
  5. 2/1 12z Summary NYC ICON: 0 GFS AI AIGFS: 0.2 GFS: 0.7 GGEM: 0.8 UKMET: 0.1 GEFS: 0.3
  6. ICON north of 00z but still a miss
  7. Seasonal numerical forecasting euphoria to the doldrumms . if you go back and check the threats / discussions from Jan 17/18 and the NC storm similar challenges with coastal formation and even some of the same models run to run changes. Each situation is unique and perhaps as we go deeper into the season we can ween off the seasonal trends.
  8. yeah just a little south of 12z by 850 miles
  9. 2/18 00z Summary Total QPF NYC ICON: 0 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 GFS: 0.3 GGEM: 0.3 UKMET: 0.2
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