SACRUS

Today's split EWR: 42 / 28 (0) NYC: 40 / 32 (0)

Daylight: 10H:41M Surise: 6:50 AM / Sunset: 5:31 PM Roughly equivalent to 10/25 We've gained 1H26Mins from the winter lull

Wetter week ahead

Midway mark 14 days / 2 weeks Dep EWR: -7.6 (0.03) NYC: -8.4 (0.008) LGA: -8.1 (0.003) JFK: -8.3 (0.01)

Records: Highs: EWR: 76 (1949) NYC: 73 (1949) LGA: 74 (1949) JFK: 64 (1954) Lows: EWR: -7 (1943) NYC: -8 (1943) LGA: -7 (1943) JFK: 5 (2015) Historical: 1895 - A big Gulf snowstorm produced six inches at Brownsville TX and Mobile AL, 15 inches at Galveston TX, and 24 inches of snow at Rayne LA in 24 hours. Snow fell at the very mouth of the Mississippi River. Houston TX received 22 inches of snow, and nine inches blanketed New Orleans LA. (David Ludlum) 1936 - The temperature at Parshall ND plunged to 60 degrees below zero to establish a state record. On the 6th of July that same year the temperature at Steele ND hit 121 degrees, also a state record. (David Ludlum) 1982 - An intense cyclone off the Atlantic coast capsized a drilling rig killing 84 persons, and sank a Soviet freighter resulting in 33 more deaths. The cyclone produced 80 mph winds which whipped the water into waves fifty feet high. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A storm crossing the central U.S. produced severe thunderstorms which spawned tornadoes in Louisiana and Mississippi. Tornadoes injured four persons at Pierre Pass LA, three persons at Tangipahoa LA, two persons at Lexie MS and two persons at Nicholson MS. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph killed one person south of Sulphur LA. Jackson MS was drenched with 1.5 inches of rain in ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Low pressure brought heavy snow to parts of Michigan, with eleven inches reported at Rogers City. A cold front crossing the Northern Rockies produced wind gusts to 74 mph at Livingston MT, and created blizzard conditions in Idaho. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thirty-seven cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Atlanta GA was a February record. Highs of 79 degrees at Chattanooga TN, 84 degrees at Columbia SC and 85 degrees at New Orleans LA equalled February records. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Snow, sleet and freezing rain along an arctic cold front prevailed from the north central U.S. to the Northern Atlantic Coast Region. High winds created near blizzard conditions in southern Wyoming, closing Interstate 80, while up to eleven inches of snow fell across central Minnesota. 1990 - Heavy snow also blanketed the Northern Atlantic Coast States, with ten inches reported at Buffalo NY and Mount Washington NH. Freezing rain over southern New England knocked out electricity to more than 10,000 homes in the western suburbs of Boston MA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2000: Amarillo, Texas, set unusual temperature records today. The high of 82 degrees smashed the old daily high of 76 degrees set in 1921. Likewise, the morning low of 41 degrees broke the old high-low record of 40 degrees, established in 1921. 2004 - Up to 11 inches of snow fell in areas south of Nashville, TN, causing power outages and producing hazardous driving conditions. The Weather Doctor

37/ 27 clouds from the system that will mainly miss. Rain already into SPA. Overall above avg this week but 3 o4 of the 5 days may see some precip. Perhaps some will get to or exceed 50 Tuesday wit enough afternoon clearing. Clouds and light rain Wed - Sat.

Today's split EWR: 47 / 28 (+3) NYC: 46 / 29 (+2)

47 / 24 here - warmest since Jan 22nd (49)

UKMET

Records: Highs: EWR: 65 (1946) NYC: 63 (1946) LGA: 60 (20000) JFK: 62 (1990) Lows: EWR: 0 (2016) NYC: -1 (2016) LGA: 1 (2016) JFK: 1 (2016) Historical: 1798: The Norfolk Herald on Feb. 17 and the New York Spectator on March 3 reported snow in Norfolk "in many places up to six feet deep," the greatest snowfall ever experienced. Some accounts claim that 40 inches of snow fell in one night in Norfolk and along the coast, but no snow fell 25 miles inland. Over northeast North Carolina, 16 inches of snow was reported. Wind blowing from the north to northwest off the Chesapeake Bay may have enhanced the snowfall in the Norfolk area, much like the winds blowing across Lake Erie produce "lake effect snow" in New York. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1895: The most significant snowfall in the history of Houston, Texas, occurred on the 14th and 15th. The Houston area saw 20 inches of snow. 1895: One of the Deep South's greatest snowstorms took place with the following reported snow totals: Rayne, LA: 24 inches, Glaveston, TX: 15 inches and 8.2 inches at New Orleans, LA. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1899 - A great blizzard struck the eastern U.S. Washington D.C. received 20.5 inches of snow to bring their total snow depth to nearly three feet. The storm produced 36 inches of snow at Cape May NJ. (David Ludlum) 1899: A great blizzard ended along the eastern United States giving Washington DC 20.5 inches of snow to bring their total snow depth to nearly three feet and ended here late in the evening of the 14th. The storm produced 36 inches of snow at Cape May NJ. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) (David Ludlum) The blizzard ended on Valentine's Day, dropping 16.3 inches of snow in Richmond and giving Washington, DC a snow depth of 34 inches. The city recorded its greatest monthly total with 35.2 inches and its greatest seasonal snowfall total with 54.4 inches. For the month, Harrisonburg recorded 47 inches, Winchester 39 inches and Fredericksburg 35 inches. Warrenton recorded the state monthly snowfall record with 54 inches. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1940 - A "Saint Valentine's Day Blizzard" hit the northeastern U.S. Up to a foot and a half of snow blanketed southern New England, and whole gales accompanied the heavy snow stranding many in downtown Boston. (David Ludlum) 1940: A St. Valentine's Day Blizzard blankets New England with up to 18 inches of snow. Gale force winds associated with the storm strand many in downtown Boston. 1947: The Weather Bureau commissioned its first weather radar at Washington, DC. The radar network would only grow slowly over the next few years, but eventually would become the backbone of the National Weather Service's warning system. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1949: Late afternoon heavy snows began on Valentine's Day in Boise, ID and by 5:00 am the following morning, 14 new inches of snow had fallen. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1978: A winter storm brought freezing precipitation and high winds to eastern Colorado, knocking out power to thousands of people, some for more than a week. The ice accumulated to a thickness of five inches in some locations. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - A powerful storm spawned severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma, and produced heavy snow in the Rocky Mountain Region. Snowfall totals in Colorado ranged up to 27 inches at Telluride. Straight line winds gusting to 104 mph howled through Guadalupe Pass in West Texas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong northerly winds ushered arctic air into the north central U.S. Snow and high winds created blizzard conditions in Minnesota and the Dakotas. Winds gusted to 56 mph at Rapid City SD, and reached 65 mph at Cody WY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - While "Valentine's Day" was a soggy one in the Ohio Valley and the Tennessee Valley, unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the southeastern U.S. Seventeen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 70s and 80s. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Valentine's Day was a snowy one for many parts of the western and central U.S. Five to ten inches of snow fell across Iowa, and 6 to 12 inches of snow blanketed northern Illinois, and strong northeasterly winds accompanied the heavy snow. Air traffic came to a halt during the evening at O'Hare Airport in Chicago, where 9.7 inches of snow was reported. More than 250 traffic accidents were reported around Des Moines IA during the evening rush hour. An icestorm glazed east central sections of Illinois, causing twelve million dollars damage in Champaign County alone. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2004 - Dallas receives 3 inches of snow, wreaking havoc with Valentine's Day flower deliveries. The greatest snowfall since 1978 caused numerous traffic accidents, power outages and flight cancellations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport. 2007: The Valentine's Day Storm was a massive winter storm that affected most of the eastern half of North America, starting on February 12, 2007 and peaking on Valentine's Day, February 14. The storm produced heavy snowfalls across the midwestern United States from Nebraska to Ohio and produced similar conditions across parts of the northeastern United States. Significant sleet and freezing rain fell across the southern Ohio Valley and affected portions of the east coast of the United States, including the cities of Boston, Baltimore, Washington, DC., New York City and Philadelphia.(Ref. Wikipedia.org (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_2007_North_America_Winter_Storm) Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 14th Worst Snowstorm

GGEM north of 00z but still mediocre

12z GFS AIGFS Total QPF

GFS QPF 10:1

RGEM remains south

12z RRFS Total QPF 10:1

12z ICON total QPF and 10:1

34 / 18 on the way to mid / upper 40s in the warmest areas. Storm may be back on Sunday evening into Mon, then overall warmer and perhaps wetter week (thu-fri) , first shot at 50s Tuesday after a possible snowstorm. Looks to continue an active period 2/22 and beyond hovering near avg.

NAM 10:1 not sure id use this area wide but none the less

12z NAM total QPF Maringal temps so enhanced rates will help deliver in the SE sections

And 2/14 12z - we're off QPF SERF

Snowpack still (realtime) evident on the satellite loop, we'll see how much is intact by Tue pm / wed Am when the area could see the first 50s since mid Jan.

Records: Highs: EWR: 65 (1957) NYC: 64 (1951) LGA: 65 (1951) JFK: 56 (2023) Lows: EWR: 4 (1979) NYC: -1 (1914) LGA: 8 (2016) JFK: 0 (1967) Historical: 1784 - Ice floes blocked the Mississippi River at New Orleans, then passed into the Gulf of Mexico. The only other time this occurred was during the "Great Arctic Outbreak" of 1899. (David Ludlum) 1885 - The "Friday the 13th" avalanche at Alva, UT, killed sixteen persons, and left thirteen others buried for twelve hours before being rescued. (David Ludlum) 1887: Chicago, Illinois: Chicago's temperature rises from 0 °F on the 13th to 58 °F on the 14th. The 58 °F rise is the biggest day-to-day rise on record. The city will experience a similar jump in temperature in March 1972. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1899 - It was the coldest morning of record along the Gulf Coast. The temperature dipped to 7 above zero at New Orleans LA and Pensacola FL, and plunged to -1 degree at Mobile AL. The mercury dipped to -2 degrees at Tallahassee, the coldest reading of record for the state of Florida. (David Ludlum) Minden, LA -16°, trace of snow recorded in Fort Meyers, the farthest south that snow had been officially recorded in the US until the Miami snow of 1977.(Bob Ryan's 2002 Almanac) The temperature in Louisiana plunged to -16° below zero, a record for the state. (Ref. High and Low Temperature for the US ) New Orleans, Louisiana: After weeks of bitter cold, residents of New Orleans find ice 2 inches (5 cm) thick on the Mississippi River. The river reportedly is frozen from its source in Minnesota almost to its mouth in the Gulf of Mexico. Chunks of ice float out into the Gulf. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1899: The "Snow King" storm was a its peak on the afternoon of the 13th with wind speeds of 35 mph and gust of 48 mph and a temperature that remained in the single digits throughout the storm. By the evening of the 13th the storm had ended with a total of 34.2 inches of snow on the ground in Washington. Of that amount, about 20 inches of snow fell during the blizzard. The water equivalent of all the snow events was 3.69 inches. Over 40 inches of snow was on the ground in areas south and east of DC. Drifting was generally 4 to 6 feet ;however, some drifts were as high as 15 feet. In areas of upper Montgomery County, railroad cuts filled with drifting snow to a depth of 20 feet. Both PA and OH had an all time record low temperature of -39 °F, Staunton, VA had 40-50 inches of snow on the ground and Salisbury had more than 50 inches. (p.53 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) 1905 - Morning lows of -29 degrees at Pond AR, -40 degrees at Lebanon KS, and -40 degrees at Warsaw MO established all-time records for those three states. (The Weather Channel) 1905: Freezing temperatures were recorded over the states of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Missouri. Morning lows of 29 degrees below zero at Gravette, Arkansas, 40 below at Lebanon, Kansas, and 40 below at Warsaw, Missouri, established all-time records for those three states. The low temperature at Vinita, Oklahoma, plummeted to 27 degrees below zero. The temperature would be tied at Watts in January 1930 and Blackwell and Medford in February 2011. The negative 27-degree reading is cold enough to be the 2nd lowest temperature on record in Oklahoma. The coldest is currently 31 degrees below zero, recorded at Nowata on February 10, 2011. 1958: Tallahassee, FL recorded their largest snowfall on record. Close to 3 inches fell in 5 hours during the early hours. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1962: St. Louis, MO recorded their low temperature record for the month as they dropped to -18°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1981 The highest barometric pressure ever recorded at the Reagan National Airport of 31.06 inches of mercury the previous record was 31.01 set on January 27, 1927.(Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) The highest barometric pressure ever recorded at Richmond International Airport was 31.04 inches.(Ref. Richmond Weather Records) 1987 - A storm in the western U.S. produced heavy rain over central California. Chews Ridge reported nearly eleven inches of rain in 24 hours, and extensive flooding occurred in San Benito County. The Mount Rose ski resort in Nevada experienced a "white-out" with 60 mph winds and 36 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong winds in the wake of a storm in the northeastern U.S., gusting to 60 mph at Oswego NY, produced six foot snow drifts in northeastern Ohio. High winds in the mountains of Utah, gusting to 106 mph at the Snowbird ski resort, contributed to a forty car pile-up on Interstate 15, near the town of Bluffdale. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain and flash flooding from central Texas to western Pennsylvania. Up to ten inches of rain deluged western Kentucky in two days, with five day totals ranging up to 13.16 inches at Gilbertsville Dam KY. Flooding caused tens of millions of dollars damage, including 18 million dollars damage at Frankfort KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A slow moving cold front brought heavy snow to Utah, Colorado and Wyoming. Big Horn WY reported 15 inches of snow, and up to 22 inches was reported in Utah. In Colorado, 8 to 12 inches of snow fell over the northwest suburbs of Denver, while 16 to 22 inches was reported in the high mountain elevations west of Fort Collins. Strong winds accompanied the heavy snow, and bitter cold weather followed in its wake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995: A National Weather Service Survey Team concluded a weak (F1) tornado occurred at the General Motors Desert Proving Grounds facility in Mesa, Arizona. Moderate damage was observed. A roof was damaged, and about 20 vehicles were destroyed and moved around. One car was lifted, moved several feet, and set down inside a roped-off area containing solar exposure equipment. The tornado traveled northeast and lasted about five minutes. The image below is from the February 1995 Storm Data. 1999: The low at Fairbanks, AK dropped to -36° marking the 19th consecutive day with low temperatures of -35° degrees or colder, setting an all-time record for the location. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2000: Late in the day and into the early morning hours of the 14th, severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes over southwestern Georgia that killed 19, injured 202, and caused $35 million in damages. An F3 tornado hit southern Camilla, killing 11 people and wounding 175 others in the town.