SACRUS

Noon roundup EWR: 82 New Brnswck: 81 BLM: 80 PHL: 80 TEB: 80 ACY: 79 NYC: 79 TTN: 78 LGA: 77 JFK: 68 ISP: 64

Monday that should be the case here and into tuesday

Rains N/W

Up to 79 / 62 but clouds quickly approaching into EPA and NJ v

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (2018) NYC: 92 (2018) LGA: 93 (2018) JFK: 85 (2001) Lows: EWR: 39 (2005) NYC: 33 (1874) LGA: 40 (1957) JFK: 40 (1966) Historical: 1978 - Persistent thunderstorms caused widespread flooding in southeastern Louisiana and extreme southeastern Mississippi. Rainfall totals of ten to thirteen and a half inches were reported around New Orleans causing the worst flooding in thirty years. The water depth reached three to four feet in several hundred homes, and total property damage was estimated at one hundred million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. Softball size hail was reported at Center Point TX, and a tornado caused three million dollars damage near Satanta KS. Heavy snow blanketed the foothills of eastern Colorado, with 18 inches reported at Divide. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the drought- stricken central U.S. Evening thunderstorms produced large hail in North Carolina. Baseball size hail was reported west of Mooresville NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern and Central Plains Region. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 72 mph at Graford TX, and baseball size hail was reported at Graham TX and Lake Kemp TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A stubborn late season storm slowly crawled across southern Colorado the first three days of the month producing heavy snow from the San Juan Mountains to the southeast plains. The storm produced up to three feet of snow in the higher elevations of southern Colorado, and 18 to 22 inches of snow along the eastern slopes of the Central Mountains of New Mexico. Pueblo CO reported a record 10.6 inches of snow for the month as a result of the storm, and a record total for the winter season of 69.6 inches. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1999 - On May 3, 1999, an unusual confluence of atmospheric conditions in Oklahoma spawned dozens of tornadoes that swept across the state in an hours-long parade of destruction. Thousands of homes were damaged or destroyed, and 19 counties became disaster areas. The worst toll was in human lives: 44 dead, including three children. Hundreds more were injured.(http://newsok.com/may3)

70 / 61 warm southerly and more humid flow continues as the cut low spins to our west. Dual ULL SW and into the Mid west looks like eyes on the 500 MB chart today. Scattered showers and storms later this PM and otherwise warm/humid with this flow mid - upper 80s - think the warm shots will be shy of 90 but could be close with enough sun. Sun - Fri looks unsettled with Monday /Tue the wettest days as the ULL heads east and a more E/NE onshore flow cools it down. Perhaps a break mid week on Wed before trough moves through THu/Fri and bring more clouds and rain. 6 day totals 2 - 4 inches with some spots higher. 5/ 9 and into mid month looks near normal and drier. No exceptional temp swings either way currently forecast through the 15th.

Highs: EWR: 88 TEB: 86 New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 86 ACY: 85 BLM: 84 LGA: 84 NYC: 84 TTN: 84 JFK: 77 ISP: 76

86 / 56

Rogue cell

Records: Highs: EWR: 92 (2001) NYC: 90 (2018) LGA: 90 (2018) JFK: 83 (2018) Lows: EWR: 35 (1943) NYC: 37 (1903) LGA: 40 (1978) JFK: 39 (1964) Historical: 1899 - A storm buried Havre, MT, under 24.8 inches of snow, an all-time record for that location. The water equivalent of 2.48 inches was a record 24 hour total for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1920 - A swarm of tornadoes in Rogers, Mayes and Cherokee Counties in Oklahoma killed 64 persons. (David Ludlum) 1929 - Virginia's worst tornado disaster occurred. Six tornadoes, two of which were west of the Blue Mountains, killed 22 people. Twelve children and a teacher were killed at Rye Cove, in Scott County. Four schools were destroyed by the storms. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - Severe thunderstorms spawned twenty tornadoes across Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York State. The tornadoes caused five deaths. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley produced golf ball size hail in northern Louisiana, and wind gusts to 77 mph at Lake Providence LA. Thunderstorms in Arkansas produced 4.20 inches of rain at Arkadelphia and 4.00 inches at Bismarck. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A powerful storm produced snow and high winds in the Central Rockies and the Central High Plains Region. Snowfall totals in Colorado ranged up to 12 inches at Strasburg, and winds in southeastern Colorado gusted to 87 mph at Lamar. Snow and high winds created blizzard conditions in eastern Colorado and southeastern Wyoming. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing to the north of a warm front produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas. There were 93 reports of severe weather. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Beattie, and baseball size hail was reported at Ranger and Breckenridge. Juneau AK reported a record high temperature of 72 degrees while Honolulu equalled their record low for the month of May with a reading of 60 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Fourteen cities in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 90s. Tampa FL reported a record high of 97 degrees, and Fort Stewart GA was the hot spot in the nation with a reading of 100 degrees. 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from northeastern Texas to western Arkansas during the evening and early nighttime hours. Thunderstorms spawned a tornado which injured thirteen persons at Paris TX, and produced baseball size hail at Rio Vista TX. Thunderstorm rains of four to seven inches caused flash flooding in west central Arkansas, southern and eastern Oklahoma, and northern Texas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

67 / 57 and on the way to the 6th 80s degree day for many. Partly cloudy . Warm and more humid tomorrow with scattered showers and storms in the evening as the cutoff to our west pumps a southerly flow - heaviest rains Sat North and west. By Sunday the ULL is pushing east and continued scattered showers/storms with the brunt of the heavy rain north and west. Mon - Wed AM look to see the heaviest rains with totals of the Fri - Wed period in the 2 - 4 inches range with more north and west. Beyond there 5/8 - mid month looks near normal temps wise and could see normal rainfall. No sustained period of cool or warmth exected through mid month.

Monthly Dep: Site : Dep (AVG) / Rainfall (Normal) EWR: +2.7 (56.1) / 2.39 (N3.9) JFK: +2.9 (53.8) / 2.17 (N3.60) LGA" +1.7 (55.4) / 2.84 (N3.90) NYC: +1.6 (55.3) / 3.25 (N4.20)

Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (2010) NYC: 87 (2001) LGA: 85 (2001) JFK: 81 (2001) Lows: EWR: 36 (1978) NYC: 35 (1880) LGA: 38 (1978) JFK: 38 (2008) Historical: 1854 - The Connecticut River reached a level of nearly twenty-nine feet at Hartford (the highest level of record up until that time). The record height was reached in the midst of a great New England flood which followed sixty-six hours of steady rain. (David Ludlum) 1857: The Washington Evening Star publishes the first US national weather summary using observations from volunteers to the Smithsonian Institution's cooperative network. 1933: An estimated F4 tornado struck Minden, Louisiana, killing 28 people and injuring 400 others. 500 homes were damaged or destroyed with $1.3 million in damage. 1935 - Snow, ice and sleet brought winter back to parts of southeast Minnesota. Minneapolis received three inches of snow to tie their May record which was established in 1892. (1st-2nd) (The Weather Channel) 1954 - The temperature at Polebridge MT dipped to 5 degrees below zero to esablish a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and heavy rain in Texas. Baseball size hail pounded Dublin, and 3.75 inches of rain soaked Brady. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong southerly winds ahead of a cold front crossing the Rocky Mountain Region gusted to 90 mph at Lamar CO. High winds created blinding dust storms in eastern Colorado, closing roads around Limon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the southeastern U.S. Rainfall totals of 1.84 inches at Charlotte NC and 2.86 inches at Atlanta GA were records for the date. Strong thunderstorm winds uprooted trees in Twiggs County GA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from northern Alabama to North Carolina. There were sixty-three reports of large hail or damaging winds, with hail four inches in diameter reported near Cartersville GA. Ten cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 90s. Jacksonville FL reported a record high of 96 degrees. Late night thunderstorms over central Texas produced up to ten inches of rain in southern Kimble County and northern Edwards County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1999: Record, low temperatures for the date, were broken in the Deep South. Mobile, Alabama dropped to 46 degrees. Miami fell to 58; Miami Beach bottomed out at 61, and Vero Beach dropped to 47 degrees, all new records. Other stations in Florida also set record cold maximums for the date, including 61 at Jacksonville and Daytona Beach with 66 degrees.

54 / 37 off a chilly low of 43. Upper 60s to near 70 today in what will likely be the nicest day (sun - wise) till next Thu or Friday. A very warm Fri but it looks quite cloudy, any longer breakd gets the war m spots to mid 80s. Cut off low to our west this weekend keeps clouds and a warmer humid/southerly flow. Rain Sat/Sun from more scattered areas of showers, rain and some tstorms. Cutoff heads east Mon - Wed and latest forecasts bring 2- 4 inches of rain or more in the higher spots total from 5/3 - 5/8. Beyond there more near normal overall between 5/9 - 5/14. No strong warmth / ridging looking till mid month and post mid month.

75 total minutes 15H05M

Today's daylight 13H55M is roughly equivalent to Aug 11th.

Trending wetter

Heaviest rain nearby into the Mid Atlantic. Euro has this area expanded north into the NJ/NYC area as well.

Records: Highs: EWR: 91 (1942) NYC: 91 (1942) LGA: 89 (1942) JFK: 81 (2007) Lows: EWR: 34 (1931) NYC: 32 (1874) LGA: 42 (20140 JFK: 40 (1975) Historical: 1852 - A tornado, following the same track as the famous "Tri-state Tornado" of 1925, struck the town of New Harmony IND. Just sixteen persons were killed by the twister, due to the sparse settlement. The "Tri-state Tornado" killed 695 persons. (David Ludlum) 1888: 246 people died in the world's deadliest hailstorm in India. Hailstones were reportedly the size of baseballs. 1600 domesticated animals at Moradabad perished. 1924: A significant tornado outbreak occurred from Alabama to Virginia on the 29 through the 30th. 26 tornadoes were of F2 intensity or greater. A total of 111 people were killed, and over 1,100 injured. An estimated F4 tornado tore through Steedman and Horrell Hill, SC. This tornado killed 55 people. 1953 - A tornado 300 yards in width leveled homes on the north side of Warner-Robins GA, and barracks on the south side of the Warner-Robins Air Force Base. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in Idaho, Utah, Wyoming and Montana. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph in Lincoln, Mineral and Sanders counties. Twenty-three cities in the central and southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Memphis TN was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 94 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A cold front produced high winds in the southwestern U.S. Winds gusting to 90 mph in southwestern Utah downed power lines, and damaged trees and outbuildings. The high winds also downed power lines in Nevada, completely knocking out power in the town of Henderson. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in central and eastern Texas. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Cool, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Hillsboro. For the first time of record Oklahoma City went through the entire month of April without a single thunderstorm. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel) 1990 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in southern Virginia and the Carolinas, with tennis ball size hail reported southeast of Chesnee SC. Thunderstorms moving over the Chesapeake Bay flooded U.S. Highway 50 on Kent Island MD with several inches of water resulting in a seventeen-mile long traffic jam. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

73 / 60 pollen up to 6 inhes on cars. 48 hours of nice dry weather 70s today, near 70 Thursday. Friday looks to begin a stretch of clouds, showers and at times onshore much cooler weather. The caveat is where the cutoff we have been tracking sets up. Rainfall forecasts will vary but looking like 2 - 4 inches between 5/2 - 5/6. Beyond there still a tendency for torughing into the NE but near normal.

PA storms

80 degrees + days at EWR :4. With Today should get to 5.

Records: Highs: EWR: 91 (1974) NYC: 89 (1974) LGA: 88 (2017) JFk: 85 (2017) Lows: EWR: 35 (1947) NYC: 32 (1874) LGA: 39 (1977) JFK: 36 (1968) Historical: 1905 - The town of Taylor, in southeastern Texas, was deluged with 2.4 inches of rain in fifteen minutes. (The Weather Channel) 1910 - The temperature at Kansas City, MO, soared to 95 degrees to establish a record for the month of April. Four days earlier the afternoon high in Kansas City was 44 degrees, following a record cold morning low of 34 degrees. (The Weather Channel) (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) 1963 - A tornado, as much as 100 yards in width, touched down south of Shannon, MS. The tornado destroyed twenty-seven homes along its eighteen mile path, killing three persons. Asphalt was torn from Highway 45 and thrown hundreds of yards away. Little rain or snow accompanied the tornado, so it was visible for miles. (The Weather Channel) 1973 - The Mississippi River reached a crest of 43.4 feet, breaking the prevous record of 42 feet established in 1785. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A storm off the southeast coast of Massachusetts blanketed southern New England with heavy snow. Totals of three inches at Boston MA, 11 inches at Milton MA, and 17 inches at Worcester MA, were records for so late in the season. Princeton MA was buried under 25 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and high winds in central Texas. Baseball size hail was reported at Nixon, and wind gusts to 70 mph were reported at Cotulla. Heavy rain in Maine caused flooding along the Pemigewassett and Ammonoosuc Rivers. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Arkansas, Louisiana and eastern Texas, with more than 70 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Softball size hail was reported at Palestine TX. Hail as large as tennis balls caused ten million dollars damage around Pine Bluff AR. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A storm system crossing northern New Mexico blanketed parts of the Rocky Mountain Region and the Northern High Plains with heavy snow, and produced blizzard conditions in central Montana. Much of southern Colorado was buried under one to three feet of snow. Pueblo tied an April record with 16.8 inches of snow in 24 hours. Strong canyon winds in New Mexico, enhanced by local showers, gusted to 65 mph at Albuquerque. Afternoon temperatures across the Great Plains Region ranged from the 20s in North Dakota to 107 degrees at Laredo TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

58 / 42 and on the way to 80 / mid 80s in the warmer spots, perhaps some 87's. A bit cooler to the 70s on Wed then near 70 on Thu before the front approaches. Will it be cutoff city 5/2 -5/7 with clouds, onshore and unsettled or will the cutoff setup east or north of here. Either way that will be the focus of the period 5/2 - 5/6 which could also be near normal / drier. Next shot of rain between Fri - Sun 0.50 or more now forecast. Overall near normal as it stands now the first week of the month.