SACRUS

Warm/humid and clouds in the way of any real heat likely through Saturday and sometime in between remnants of Fred on a very saturated/tropical atmosphere to bring rains Wed - Fri. Beyone that if we can get any period of clearing and sustained sunshine Sun - Tue looks like the next shot at 90s, but there are hints of a closed low moving through so we need to watch. Beyond that we may clear out by the middle of next week Wed (8/25) and see more ridging build into the EC by that weekend 8/27.

EC clouds VT to Key West

Looks possible if we can clear/dry out still warm air overall but clouds will clamp down on anything exceeding 90 / upper 80s.

78/62 and mostly cloudy. Lucked out with mostly sunny and a gorgeous day on sunday as now any sunshine will be limited the through the week. Warm and humid but clouds in the way of any heat Tue (8/17) through Fri (8/20). Remnants of Fred and hung up front can bring some real rain totals Wed- Thu. Ridge is still near by east coast with higher heights so once we do clear this coming weekend Sat (8/21) - Mon (8/23) looks like the sun will bring heat and next shot at 90s. Beyond there as we get into next week (8/23) still warmer and some stronger heat may greaxe the region then. Warm and wet and cloudy the theme the next 5 days.

8/15 EWR: 87 PHL: 87 New Brnswck: 86 LGA: 84 ISP: 83 TTN: 83 TEB: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 82 JFK: 82 BLM: 80

75/55 here and partly sunny. Front nearby and i think we see more clouds than some are forecasting but otherwise a splendid day with mush less humidity. More of the same tomorrow with clouds and humidity slowly increasing. The Western Atlantic Ridge anchored along the east coast and bubbles back up Tue (8/17) - Thu (8/19) but essentially it pushes the hung up front back into the region so clouds storms and humidity / warm the story. By Fri (8/20) - Sun (8/22) flow flattens a bit and some heat pushed through the NE and pending on how much sun / dryness we should see more 90s. Euro and GFS have a cutoff moving through later Sun and Mon (8/23) as ridge build over into Southern Canada. Beyond there 8/23 and onward looking overall warmer than normal with hints of more heat later that week.

8/14 ACY: 93 EWR: 92 BLM: 92 ISP: 91 JFK: 91 New Brnswck: 91 LGA: 91 PHL: 90 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 NYC: 88

8/14 ACY: 93 EWR: 92 BLM: 92 ISP: 91 JFK: 91 New Brnswck: 91 LGA: 91 PHL: 90 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 NYC: 88

upto 88 here prior to clouds -now 84, perhaps another run at 90 with more breaks in the clouds now http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

82/ 71. Looks like a few hours of partly sunny before more clouds and scattered storms move in and front clears. Sunday through Thu (8/19) warm and humid but likely limited chance for 90s even in the warmer spots. Freds remnants and hung up front south of the area will likely lead to clouds and pop up storm chances mainly Tue - Thu. Beyond there the Western Atlantic Ridge remains anchored off the Atlantic coast. By Fri (8/20) and into next weekend Sun (8/22) looks like the next chance at 90s. From there the as we head to the close of the month Mon (8/23) and beyond it continues to look warmer than normal / and likely wetter. Tropics look to gear up as well with EC risk increasing.

8/13 EWR: 99 LGA: 98 New Brnswck: 96 PHL: 95 TEB: 95 BLM: 95 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 ACY: 93 ISP: 91 JFK: 91

8/13 EWR: 99 LGA: 98 New Brnswck: 96 PHL: 95 TEB: 95 BLM: 95 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 ACY: 93 ISP: 91 JFK: 91

LGA 100 (2005) EWR 102 (2005) both look safe but may be interesting clouds in WPA (6 - 8 hours) to advance east places some clouds in the area by 3-4. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

That southerly flow from on / around 8/19 onward will likely produce almost dailt rain/storm chances would be my take.

81/69 a bit less humid but higher temp than Thursday. Off to the races again today with mid to upper 90s and an outside chance of the century mark in places in NE-NJ and near LGA. Front arrives tomorrow and depending on rain and cloud cover 90s are possible. Beyond that Sun (8/15) as we hit the midway point of the month - need to watch remnants of Fred otherwise humid / wet looks the theme and above normal through Thu (8/19). Southerly / onshore and with rain chances as we start to heat up again towards Thu (8/19) and through next weekend (8/20) - (8/21). Tropics look like they may gear up and target EC in the longer range. Western Atlantic Ridge near by noseing in on occasion as we see a warmer / humid second part of August.

8/12 EWR: 98 LGA: 98 TEB: 96 PHL: 96 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 95 BLM: 95 TTN: 95 NYC: 93 ISP: 90 JFK: 89

8/12 EWR: 98 LGA: 98 TEB: 96 PHL: 96 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 95 BLM: 95 TTN: 95 NYC: 93 ISP: 90 JFK: 89

83/71 here. Warmest day since Jun 30th in store more many. Heat is on the next 72 hours with humidity and real steamy feel. Savannah like continues with storm chances. Front timing on Saturday with storms and arrival of clouds will determine how high we can go that day before the front comes through. Next week looks warm overall - watching the remnants and to what extent come north by Tue (8/17). Humid and onshore flow will likely limit 90s through Thu (8/19) before flow turns more SW and the next potential for heat comes with it.

8/11 EWR: 95 PHL: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 ACY: 91 NYC: 89 ISP: 85 JFK: 85

8/11 EWR: 95 PHL: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 ACY: 91 NYC: 89 ISP: 85 JFK: 85

0.60 in the bucket from yesterday's bookend storms in the AM / PM but did manage 91. Today clouds and storms don't appear to be an issue and highs should soar into the mid 90s / upper 90s in the warmer spot. The heat surges tomorrow (8/12) through Sat (8/14) as 850 MB temps rise to near 20 or >20c. Outside chance of 100 in the urban spots and maybe the park can match the 97 from later June. A front comes trough Sunday and then a very humid southerly flow ahead of the remnants of Fred. Beyond that more humid / warm southerly and onshore flow before the ridge builds back in later next week for the next surge of warmth.

8/10 clouds in the way today PHL: 93 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 ACY: 89 EWR: 88 TEB: 86 BLM: 86 LGA: 85 NYC: 84 JFK: 81 ISP: 80

Slow to clear but looks to clear to more sun in the next 2 hours or by 11;30 http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

0.32 in the bucket from a morning thunderstorm mostly in C/S E-NJ. 73/71 NOLA like feel. Humid / hot and storms chances starting today through Sat (8/14). Peak of the heat arrives Wed (8/11) with 850 temps >18c then Thu (8/12) rising to near or >20c through Saturday (8/14). Some storm chances and left over clouds the only thing in the way of mid-upper 90s in the hotter spots. I think the century mark will be hard pressed. Front comes through Sun AM and cooler for a bit Sun (8/15) through Tue (8/17) as we watch the remnants of the tropical systems that will ride the west coast of Florida. Beyond that ridge over the top? Onshore / Southerly flow - more humid than hot but heat potential and warmer none the less later next week Thu (8/19) on

8/9 PHL: 93 TTN: 87 ACY: 87 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 TTN: 87 TEB: 82 BLM: 81 NYC: 81 LGA: 80 JFK: 78 ISP: 75