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SACRUS

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  1. 00Z with no major changes outside the GFS being hotter/drier the 5th/6th 7/2 - 7/3 : Warm-hot , humid 8Os to low 90s ; scattered storms only 7/4 : warm - 80s - 90 , mainly dry 7/5-7/6 : GFS warm- hot only scattered storms, ECMWF stormy /wet warm/humid
  2. Just a reference as convective will focus higher totals in spots Man time for storms focus Thu evening / Sat evening, Mon evening / Tue
  3. Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1952) NYC: 100 (1952) LGA: 101 (1952) JFK: 99 (1949) Lows: EWR: 55 (1986) NYC: 56 (1979) LGA: 56 (1985) JFK: 54 (1986) Historical: 1888 - Residents of New York suffered through a record heat wave. Daily average temperatures were above 80 degrees for fourteen straight days. The heat wave was a sharp contrast to the severe blizzard in March of that year, which buried the city under nearly two feet of snow. (David Ludlum) 1930: Lightning struck the John B. King drillship in the St. Lawrence River, igniting a storage of dynamite onboard. The resulting explosion killed 30 people and injured 11 others. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1931: Anchorage, Alaska: The temperature soars to 92 °F, their hottest reading of record to date.(Ref. WxDoctor)(David Ludlum) 1952: Record Maximum temperature for Richmond International Airport for the date and for June is 104 °F. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) 1952: Boston, MA recorded its highest temperature of 100 °F for June. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1954: Under calm winds and a bright sunny sky a killer wave rose suddenly from a placid Lake Michigan sweeping 8 unsuspecting fishermen off a breakwater to their deaths. The water level at Montrose Harbor surged more than 10 feet within a few minutes. The “seiche” was caused by an earlier squall on the lake. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1957: Residents of Cameron, LA went to bed believing that they had plenty of time to evacuate the following morning in advance of what was then Category 2 Hurricane Audrey. Official bulletins from the U.S. Weather Bureau stated that the storm would not come ashore until late the next day. They would be very surprised the next morning to find water covering much of their parish as a 12 foot storm surge was already impacting the area and the center was just offshore. Also, Audrey had intensified rapidly during the night, with the central pressure dropping 35 millibars from the last reconnaissance fix during the day. Winds correspondingly increased to 145 mph and the storm surge rose from an expected 5 to 8 feet to a devastating 12 feet and higher. Additionally, the forward movement of the hurricane increased from 6 to 15 mph, and as residents were told that the hurricane would not strike until the following afternoon. 390 people died and another 192 were missing. 1957: The high temperature at Palm Springs, CA hit 121°; tying their highest temperature set on 6/24 & 6/29/1994. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1961: This was the 10th consecutive day of temperatures in Las Vegas, NV reaching 110° or hotter making this the longest on record.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1977 - The Human Lightning Conductor, park ranger Roy C. Sullivan, was struck by lightning for the seventh time. He was first hit in 1942, then again in 1970, 1972, 1973 and 1976. (The Weather Channel) 1979: Temperature failed to reach 90° in Washington, DC. during first 6 months of 1979 this hasn't happen since 1886.(Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1980: Severe storms in South Dakota with winds over 60 mph were reported in at least 10 separate counties. The hardest hit area was Mitchell where 100 mph winds slammed into the city wiping out trees, blowing out windows, and damaging the airport. Damage in Mitchell alone exceeded $200,000 dollars. Several locations across the Plains endured record breaking heat including: Dallas (DFW), TX: 113°, Wichita Falls, TX: 113°, Dallas (Love Field), TX: 112°, Wichita, KS: 109°, Waco, TX: 107°, Grand Junction, CO: 106, Houston, TX: 102°, San Antonio, TX: 102°, North Platte, NE: 101°, Corpus Christi: 100° andVictoria, TX: 100°.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983 - Record heat prevailed from Texas to Michigan. Alpena MI hit 98 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1985 - A spectacular early morning waterspout developed at 5:20 AM (MST) from a stationary thunderstorm over the south end of the Great Salt Lake in Utah. It was visible 20 miles away, and lasted four minutes. (The Weather Channel) 1986: Hurricane Bonnie made landfall on the upper Texas coast. A wind gust to 98 mph occurred at Sea Rim State Park. Ace, Texas recorded a total of 13 inches of rain. 1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon highs of 88 degrees at Seattle, WA, 103 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding, CA, were records for the date. Cloudy and cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The high at Boston, MA, was just 60 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. In Montana, the record high of 102 degrees at Billings, MT, was their fifteenth of the month, and the high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT equalled their record for June. Thunderstorms in the Atlantic Coast Region produced wind gusts to 102 mph at Tall Timbers MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Central Plains to the Middle Mississippi Valley. There were 129 reports of severe weather during the day and night. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Liberal, and hail four inches in diameter at Quinter. Thunderstorms in Wisconsin spawned a tornado at Lake Delton injuring four persons. Lightning struck and killed a woman at Junction City, KS, who had gotten out of her car to photograph the lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary) 1993: Two miles northwest of Little Sioux, Iowa golf ball size hail completely covered the ground and strong winds caused this hail to drift. The most significant hail damage occurred in Shelby County. Here, a thunderstorm dropped golf ball to softball size hail in a swath about two miles wide and 20 miles long. Baseball size hail covered the ground six miles north of Harlan. Reports of 75% crop destruction were common within this hail swath. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1994: Albuquerque, NM temperature hit 107°, for its hottest temperature ever. The same record was set at Lubbock, TX with 111°. Both Midland and El Paso, TX reached 112°, to both tie their hottest temperatures on record. Daily record highs included: Roswell, NM: 111°, Denver, CO: 104°, Grand Junction, CO: 104 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: Severe thunderstorms crossed the Niagara Frontier, the western southern tier and eastern Lake Ontario Region in New York during the early morning hours. The thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds which downed trees and power lines. One-inch hail fell in Batavia. Five to six inches of rain fell in a 200 square mile area sending small streams out of their banks causing several million dollars worth of property damage in the Villages of Arcade and Gowanda. Erie, Wyoming and Cattaraugus counties were declared state and federal disaster areas. In Arcade, 37 were rescued from treetops and rooftops by the Water Rescue Team. Over 130 homes were damaged in Arcade. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1999: 15 inches of rain fell, most of it between 9 PM and midnight, over the Schriever, LA area as thunderstorms continuously redeveloped and “trained” over the same areas. Roads were underwater and about 100 homes were damaged. The most damaging hailstorm to ever strike Cheyenne County, Wyoming occurred. Hail up to baseball size and winds up to 80 mph devastated much of the western part of the county. Damage to property and crops exceeded $26 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: Phenomenal flash flooding struck Fort Wayne, IN as thunderstorms developed and re-developed directly over the city for several hours during the evening Times Corner reported 8 inches of rain in three hours. Spy Run Creek rose 9 feet in 8 hours to an all-time record level of 12.3 feet. Three inches of rain fell in 90 minutes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2006: The maximum rain in 24-hour period was 5.61 inches from 5 AM on June 25th to 5 AM of the 26th at Annandale, VA. This was very near the record of 5.66 inches set on October 7th and 8th 2005. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records - KDCA) 2008: In addition to the 3 confirmed tornadoes, multiple reports of large hail were received over Corson and Dewey Counties, including some to the size of baseballs near the communities of McLaughlin and Isabel. The large hail broke out many home and vehicle windows and damaged many roofs in Dewey, Corson, and Sully Counties. Near Sutton Bay on Lake Oahe, where a wind gust of 92 mph was recorded but close to the intersection of Highways 1804 and 175th street several Western Area Power Administration electrical transmission towers were completely collapsed. This is consistent with wind speeds ranging from 130 to 140 mph. Also of great significance during the event was the peak wind speed of 124 mph recorded at the Onida airport. This wind speed is the strongest wind gust ever measured in the Aberdeen County Warning Area and the 4th strongest wind speed ever reported in South Dakota. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
  4. 82 / 70 clear. Avoided the rain. Winds going NNE as the onshore coolant commences. Looks to fall short of 90 with that wind and overnight lows stayed in the low-mid 80 which should equal today's highs /maxes for the day. Deep onshore / muck clouds with scattered storms / showers later tonight and Friday. Ridge pushes north this weekend and we have a warm-hot, humid and Florida style weekend in/out sun and heats up quickly but storms popping up Sat evening and Sun later. Enough sun gets the hot spots to 90, clouds otherwise keep it down. Similar progression warm-hot / humid with storms possible Mon - Tue. Dries out by the 3rd - 4th warm 80s - 90s. Ridge builds west and next weekend 7/5 - 7/6 could be a bit unsettled pending on timing. Ridge building heights and heat north and east later the week of the 8th. 6/26 - 6/27 : Onshore develops cooler, storms Thu night 6/28 - 7/2 : Warm-hot (in/out sun) humid with storms chances each day - eveings (Sat / Mon focus) 7/3 - 7/4 : Drier - warm - looks great for the fourth 7/5 - 7/7 : wetter / fronatal boundary along the coast 7/8 - beyond : hotter , still wetter overall
  5. 12z o major changes thr fourth looks dry and warm 7/2 - 7/3 : Wam- hot / Humid (scattered storms Tue) 80s t0 low 90s 7/4 : Dry on both 80s - low 90s. 7/5 - 7/6: Storms humid
  6. Doesn't look like we'll get midnight 90s in any of the metro sites and tomorrow falls short of 90. EWR is still at 96 but dropping
  7. Park and TTN (of late) the coolest spots.
  8. Highs: JFK: 102 ACY: 102 EWR: 101 LGA: 99 BLM: 99 * no intra hour observations PHL: 99 New Brnswck: 98 ISP: 98 TEB: 98 TTN: 96 NYC: 96
  9. Highs: JFK: 102 ACY: 102 EWR: 101 LGA: 99 BLM: 99 * no intra hour observations PHL: 99 New Brnswck: 98 ISP: 98 TEB: 98 TTN: 96 NYC: 96
  10. to 99 here now to 94 clouds to the west
  11. I agree and am tracking in it the other thread
  12. Not ideal when dealing with convective rains but you can see as the ridge pulls back it'll turn wetter with frequent storm chances starting Thu - jul 2 then again jul 5 -7
  13. RIght. If you account for the Park's tendency Jul 2013 was also. We'll see how strong the heat can get with the next ridge later next month / Aug.
  14. Outside a rogue storm in CPA , quiet.
  15. Front nearby - think it'll be a game time forecast - sun is out it heats up quickly - Florida style weather after the 36 hour Friday's So-Cal June gloom style weather.
  16. 00z runs 7/2 - 7/3 : Hot/Humid Upper 80s/ low 90s 7/4 : Both models are dry with highs near normal 80s to approaching 90 7/5 - 7/6 : Caught between the ridges with boundary layer - wetter - 256 hours to go.
  17. Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (19433) NYC: 99 (1952) LGA: 99 (1952) JFK: 94 (2003) Lows: EWR: 53 (1932) NYC: 53 (1873) LGA: 55 (1940) JFK: 54 (1965) Historical: 1749 - A general fast was called on account of drought in Massachusetts. It was the year of the famous dry spring in which fields and villages burned. (David Ludlum) 1925 - The mercury hit 101 degrees at Portland, OR, their earliest 100 degree reading of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1953 - The temperature at Anchorage soared to 86 degrees, their hottest reading of record. (The Weather Channel) 1957: Hurricane Audrey moved northward, slowly strengthening until the 26th. At that time, a strong upper-level trough led to its acceleration and the hurricane deepened rapidly on its final approach to the Texas/Louisiana border. Audrey became the strongest hurricane on record for June upon landfall, as it reached category four strength. Its acceleration was unanticipated, and despite hurricane warnings in place, 418 people perished in the storm, mainly across southwest Louisiana. 1981: Late afternoon violent thunderstorms moved across the region. Allentown, PA recorded a gust to 77 mph, with quite a few roofs blown off, chimneys toppled, windows blown in, several barns blown over, and innumerable trees felled. Power was interrupted to almost 100,000 customers, some without power for several days. Heavy rain caused flooding and mudslides. Philadelphia, PA received 1.91 inches of rain. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983: A quarter of an inch of early summer snow was reported near the towns of Sharon and Hartford in the higher terrain of central Vermont. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Miami, FL, 107 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding CA were new records for the date. It was the third of six straight days of record heat for Miami. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Austin, and gusts to 75 mph at Tulsa OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifty-two cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 100 degrees at Erie, PA, and 104 degrees at Cleveland OH established all- time records for those two locations. Highs of 101 degrees at Flint, MI, 105 degrees at Chicago, IL, and 106 degrees at Fort Wayne, IN, equalled all-time records. Thunderstorms in Idaho produced wind gusts to 100 mph west of Bliss and north of Crouch, injuring 29 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Tropical depression Allison, the remnants of what was earlier Cosme (a hurricane over the Pacific Ocean which dissipated as it crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary) 1990: Borrego Springs, CA hit 122°; their hottest temperature on record. Phoenix, AZ set a daily record high of 120°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1994: Blistering heat prevailed across the southwest deserts as many daily record highs were set including: Yuma, AZ: 119°, Tucson, AZ: 115° and Winslow, AZ: 103 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1995: Flood in Orange, Madison, Green, & Culpeper Co. as they had between 13.00 and 15.00 inches of rain. A lifeguard at a camping resort S of Myrtle Beach, SC, was hit by a lightning bolt as he was in the process of clearing the beach due to an approaching storm. He survived. Several people nearby noted “tingling sensations” when the bolt struck. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2006: The precipitation total on June 25th was 5.31 inches, a new 26 year MAXIMUM precipitation record for a day. The old record was for a calendar day was ONLY 3.86 inches on October 8, 2005. 2006: The maximum one hour rainfall intensity was 2.35 inches on the 25th which shattered the previous record not only for June but for any month. The previous 26-year record was 1.74 inches on July 28, 2000. (Annandale Weather Records) 2008: Missouri: Thunderstorms deluge northern Missouri and sections of central Illinois with 6 to 8 inches of rain. Linneus, Missouri was hardest hit with 8.61 inches while nearby Ethel reported 7.88 inches and Gallatin 6.80 inches. (Ref. WxDoctor)
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