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About ncforecaster89

  • Birthday 05/03/1970

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    Wilmington, NC
  • Interests
    Hurricanes and blizzards are my primary interests relative to a specific atmospheric phenomenon. Tropical meteorology was, and has been, my focus since my first hurricane experience at the impressionable age of 14. It was this fateful encounter that led me to pursue a degree in atmospheric sciences. While in college, I was most fortunate to have interned at the NHC (by way of a student internship) with the late Bob Case as a mentor. Although I no longer work in the meterological field professionally, I still enjoy helping others by sharing the knowledge others have so generously given me. Thus, one is most likely to see the vast majority of my posts being centered on tropical meterology.

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  1. It’s still a little early, relatively speaking, and we’re right on schedule for a typically active hurricane season. You’ll see...the ocean and atmosphere have steadily been building the right environment, and they’re going to come.
  2. I’m also in eastern NC (Wilmington) and share the same concerns. As a result of Florence in 2018, my house sustained more than $12,000 in damage from the wind providing entry through the roof for the torrential rains to damage the sheet rock. Don’t wish such hardship on anyone else. Interestingly, Wilmington has been struck directly by the eyewall of 10 separate hurricanes and an additional TC of borderline TS/H intensity during the past 25 years...far exceeding every other town/city in the U.S., during that time. Based on all the major oceanic and atmospheric teleconnections, there’s an increased risk that there will be multiple U.S hurricane landfalls for the 6th consecutive season. If, and more likely when, they occur, I fully intend to be in the eyewall to document the brunt of their fury.
  3. I intercepted the NE eyewall (so to speak, if not technically accurate given it wasn’t a hurricane) at Horseshoe Beach, Fl. The highest wind gust was recorded up to 71 mph, with the strongest winds surprisingly being in the SE quadrant of the storm...as the winds shifted to a direct onshore flow. I chose to avoid the storm surge since I was driving my wife’s car and weren’t looking for a divorce. Here’s a brief clip of what I observed during this particular event: https://youtu.be/_oejAgsjAhM
  4. Agnes in 1972 and hurricane Donna in 1960 are the most recent to the very best of my knowledge.
  5. I'll give it another go next season. Good luck! I vote to extend the deadline another hour for windspeed, without any penalty, if he were to wish to make an entry and his preferred numbers haven’t already been taken; which I presume may be the case. ? Edit: It appears there’s still almost two hours remaining for new entries without any penalty.
  6. The list I provided was produced by meticulously researching the data from both the Wilmington, NC daily climate report as well as reviewing the track maps for the period of 1940 to the present. Here are the respective links where the aforementioned data was obtained: https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/Data_Storm.html https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/nc/wilmington/KILM/date/2020-5-17
  7. Hi! I’m so sorry to hear that he and his family endured such a horrible loss. I was born thirty years (1970) after your neighbor, in Wilmington, and have been a hurricane researcher from the time I experienced my very first hurricane eyewall in 1984 (Diana). Here’s a list of all known TS’ and H’s that have made a direct hit on Wilmington, NC (1940-2020): Storm 3 (1944) Cat 1 H (eye) Storm 1 (1945) TS winds (H-offshore) Storm 2 (1946) TS Storm 7 (1949) TS Storm 3 (1952) TS Barbara (1953) TS winds (H-offshore) Carol (1954) TS winds (H-offshore) Edna (1954) TS winds (H-offshore) Hazel (1954) Cat 4 (eyewall) Connie (1955) Cat 1 Diane (1955) Cat 1 (eye) Ione (1955) Cat 2 Storm 11 (1956) TS (offshore) Helene (1958) Cat 3 (eyewall) Gracie (1959) TS (SC landfall) Brenda (1960) TS Donna (1960) Cat 2 (eyewall) Storm 6 (1961) TS Ginny (1963) TS winds (H-offshore) Dora (1964) TS Alma (1966) TS (offshore) Gladys (1968) TS winds (H-offshore) Ginger (1971) TS winds (H-north) David (1979) TS winds (H-SC landfall) Dennis (1981) TS Storm 2 (1982) STS (offshore) Diana (1984) Cat 2 (eyewall) Bob (1985) TS winds (H-SC landfall) Gloria (1985) TS winds (H-offshore) Kate (1985) TS Hugo (1989) TS winds (H-SC landfall) Gordon (1994) TS winds (H-offshore) Opal (1995) TS winds (TS-west) Bertha (1996) Cat 2 (eye) Fran (1996) Cat 3 (eye) Bonnie (1998) Cat 2 (eye) Dennis (1999) TS winds (H-offshore) Floyd (19999) Cat 2 (eye) Irene (1999) TS winds (H-offshore) Kyle (2002) TS Isabel (2003) TS winds (H-north) Charley (2004) Cat 1 (eye) Gaston (2004) TS winds (H-SC landfall) Ophelia (2005) Cat 1 (eyewall) Ernesto (2006) TS/Cat 1 (eye) Hanna (2008) TS Irene (2011) TS winds (H-offshore) Beryl (2012) TS Sandy (2012) TS winds (H-offshore) Andrea (2013) TS Arthur (2014) TS winds (H-offshore) Ana (2015) TS Hermine. (2016) TS Matthew (2016) Cat 1 (eyewall) Florence (2018) Cat 1 (eye) Michael (2018) TS winds (TS-west) Dorian (2019) TS winds (H-offshore) Isaias (2020) Cat 1 (eye)
  8. As you noted, the various banter threads are available but the actual storm threads are missing for Laura, Sally, Dorian, Michael, and Harvey...just to name the most obvious.
  9. Noticed that the hurricane Laura thread can no longer be found in this particular sub forum. Anyone know why that may be?
  10. Don’t want to monopolize the thread, but do want to personally thank all of you for the thoughtful posts regarding the video. Since I’ve yet to do so, I wish to convey my genuine appreciation for the kind words offered by both Kamu and Birds, as well! I will continue to monitor this thread...while rooting for all of you to get some additional snow this season.
  11. Hi Wentz! My wife’s parents live in Lancaster, PA...so I drove there through the night of January 31, into the morning of February 1. Took a quick nap and left their house around 1230 pm, driving through Reading and on into Allentown. From there, I was just watching the radar to see where I felt the CCB was going to pivot...which led me to Easton. You definitely picked a great location! I recall the PNS listing a 35.1” total for Mt. Arlington, NJ (which would apparently be a record for the state)...which is less than 5 miles to the NW of Dover. If accurate, it’s likely you also saw totals upwards of 30”, if not possibly a little more?
  12. Thank you very much for the kind words! It took me about an hour. I had slide way off the interstate. I deserved it since I was driving too fast for those conditions, foolishly.
  13. Hi everyone in this excellent sub forum! I enjoyed the discussion here during my recent chase event in the area. Finally put together a relatively short video summarization of that historic event; link provided below. Based on all the information I could find, it appears that the 36.1” measurement obtained in Nazareth correlates to the largest single storm total ever recorded in the Lehigh Valley.
  14. I would highly recommend those interested attend those spotter training classes. They've been around a very long time and are a huge asset to the various NWS offices. Not to be confrontational, unintentionally with anyone, getting a spotter certification doesn't automatically correspond to accurate measurements being that I've often seen spurious totals being sent to the NWS...as I'm sure many of you, too, have noticed. My guess is the human tendency for a few to exaggerate those amounts.
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