jm1220

El Niño winters are traditionally back loaded, ie colder and stormier late winter than early. Hopefully blocking can show up but not too stout like often in 09-10.

Heavy rain crept a little further north at the end (I missed double the rain by 20 miles), the cool/refreshing air feels great. Definitely a Fall airmass for the weekend.

The steering flow is turning more west to east as Michael goes into VA. It should head ENE from here and maybe brush Long Island with some heavier rain for a while, but the heavy amounts stay near the lower NJ coast.

The stronger than average SE Ridge will eventually burn us near the coast and force tracks inland. We’ve been on a good run without much blocking but it can’t last forever.

So glad this was nothing like Sandy type damage.

Yes the Cat 4 winds were very localized. It’s been explained numerous times that those 150mph type winds are felt very near the shoreline only and slow down fast once friction from land takes over. Doesn’t make the pure idiocy justified.

It’s completely inappropriate to say this was a cat 2 with under 920mb pressure (LMAO) or less than 24 hours out say it “was nothing like a 155mph Hurricane” or cherry pick Sandy photos to say it was less severe than Sandy. Just absolute garbage being posted the last few hours.

I lived through Sandy too. My town was devastated by it as were many others nearby. It was NOTHING like what areas in the max surge and wind zone saw in Michael. Period. This is a major hurricane strike on GA too from an INLAND direction. We haven’t even really begun to see the real scope of the damage. I bet Panama City is devastated from being in the eyewall for so long despite the surge not being so bad. Port St Joe is also a fairly well populated place in the max surge zone I haven’t seen much from yet.

Uhm, WTF?

Amazing we still have such a nice looking eye structure now that the eyewall is entirely inland.

Wonder how bad the surge damage might be on the barrier islands SW of Panama City from the bay. The wind part must be incredible. I wonder where the 150 mph wind would be in that eyewall?

Panama City must be absolute insanity right now and will be for some time in that western eyewall.

Panama City getting annihilated in that northern eyewall. Good lord.

Panama City still will get the eyewall but should relatively dodge a bullet with awful wind damage instead of awful wind and surge damage.

Michael soon to be another retiree... Surge damage here will be catastrophic, this is one of the most vulnerable surge locations in the US.