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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. Land breezes cause upwelling and cooler water. Onshore winds suppress it and warm the water faster.
  2. 93 here in Huntington, torrid.
  3. Models were overdone (other than the GFS maybe) as usual with how fast/cool the sea breeze would make the N Shore. I’ve found that to be the case many times since I moved to Huntington.
  4. Seemed like the sea breeze battle line was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway for a while in Nassau/W Suffolk. Today it might surge north earlier?
  5. Seemed like it was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway that the big drop happened. I didn’t mind leaving my place to come down here, it felt atrocious there. August like.
  6. In Huntington where I was, probably 91-92. My car in the shade said 90 when I left, said 68 when I got here.
  7. I’m in Long Beach now and as you might expect, waaay cooler. Temp around 70. Surprisingly the seabreeze isn’t that strong. Was expecting an Ambrose Jet on a day like today. Maybe that’ll be later.
  8. S Nassau getting rocked pretty good. Line is bowing out and looks like some 50mph gusts based on the velocity scans.
  9. Eventually with enough onshore wind days building up the water temps, the seabreeze won’t cool it down after another month or so. It’ll keep temps down a little but pump the humidity up. So if anything it might feel hotter near the shore vs inland because of the higher dew points which are becoming much more common the last few summers.
  10. These strong southerly flow days will do that quick. There’ll likely be an Ambrose Jet with 30+ mph gusts with that kind of contrast and cool temps on the south shore. Like two different worlds vs. Newark.
  11. The south shore would likely get stuck in the 60s to maybe low 70s but I doubt that if NJ has widespread 90s that NYC/the north shore wouldn’t even make it to 80. There would probably be low to mid 80s for highs here before the sea breeze knocks it down.
  12. If you're a big severe fan this isn't the place for you. And even if so this isn't our time of year. Water is still too cold. Our chance today would've been if a big line developed over PA and plowed through before the maritime influence could kill it off.
  13. I had two 1 min rain showers. I win. Our time will come later in the summer after the ocean warms up further. We usually score at least once per summer on the sea breeze front T-storms too.
  14. One thing for sure, temps are outperforming even with all the clouds and onshore flow. Mid to high 70s once again.
  15. If we can keep winds from a westerly direction late week we should be off to the races. Probably mid 90s in the hotter areas given how hot the source region is. But we need the ridge to make a good push east or the threat of the back door front will be around. If the trough keeps getting stuck over the Maritimes you can never count on extended warmth this time of year. But two straight weeks pretty much of easterly winds have to come to an end. Right?
  16. Gotta love the perma-Nina.
  17. This is always good to improve the mood on a day like today. Although I missed it by living in Austin, TX at the time.
  18. Woo-freaking-hoo.
  19. Yep, this would be a NYC blockbuster if it could've been a few months ago. We already have the mid-storm bust proclamations. This is how the biggest snowstorms in NYC happen-massive wall of moisture that we're on the right side of and winning the Russian Roulette game vs. sharp confluence and slow moving. This will be a 24 hour rain event and great for the water table. We need to add that up for the inevitable LI dry summer period.
  20. If the sun can come out we'll be good for mid 60s most likely, but the mid 70s and higher will have to wait until we can start a westerly flow. NE wind won't allow it to get higher than mid 60s here and likely mostly cloudy/periods of low clouds.
  21. Maybe not Seattle but probably somewhere north of our latitude. We're becoming much more Carolina like in the summers due to the distorted north ridge. Temps there are regularly in the mid 90s with oppressive humidity. Near the center of the ridge where westerly flow can be sustained is where the over 100 heat would be.
  22. Still have quite a ways to go with this, at least 12 more hours. HRRR still has the rain going and mod-heavy at that around noon-1pm. Rain totals over the city appear to be 0.7" or so, with the rain expected most of us from I-80 S should be over 2" by the end.
  23. Yup. Like you said I guess it saves on the water bill. You can see the rain get squashed down every time it tries to push N into CT. This is some tough confluence. It’s been a nice day north of I-90 and quite low dew point air.
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