We’ve gotten snow but from storms that typically don’t favor us like the super SWFE on 1/25 and the clippers. Our bigger ticket storm types have failed just like last winter and ever since Jan 2022. We lucked out for once getting non-coastal storm snow.
The block is crushing it south and the ridge axis is a little too far east for us. Can these change yes, but these are two big factors that would squelch any major storm chance.
It’s a fragile setup in a fast moving pattern. Lots of things can shift around and ruin the storm setup. It’s still 4 days out but this wouldn’t be the first whiff or OTS this or last winter.
My first post in this thread is a reminder this is still 4-5 days away. But no one should be shocked if another nice setup 4-5 days out turns to strung out/suppressed garbage. I’m done investing in these until we get some consistency within 100 hours.
What’s happened in central PA is definitely not a cycle unless it’s a very long term one. Like Bluewave mentioned the storms that really slam that area have essentially gone extinct.
The I-88 corridor would be my perfect area as well. They get coastal storms as snow, some lake effect but not feet at a time and overall the best of winter. But other than snow very little to do or going on there.
Depends what you’re expecting. If you’re expecting plowable or more, it’ll likely be a bust. If you’re expecting brush off your car, you’ll probably be happy.