jm1220

I hate to say but it’ll likely take a series of horrendous disasters or deadly heat waves in places where they shouldn’t like in Europe, the Northeast or Northwest before people will care enough to make it a top issue to demand change. People mostly believe it to be real but not serious enough to demand that politicians make policy/legislative changes or they will be bounced out of office. And with the advent of AI and various social media like TikTok that can easily spew propaganda garbage, I’m even more pessimistic. I was in college when Obama was elected and I remember so much optimism that millennials will be the generation that finally drives the change. I’ll believe any of it when I see it. I think it will finally be the markets one day driving it where renewables and nuclear will be an economically better option.

First evening all week I wasn’t a sweaty mess after a 45 minute walk outside.

My hopes are near zero for anything decent around my area until the Pacific meaningfully changes. Boiling warm water east of Japan and the general Perma-Nina/hyper Pacific jet pattern driven by the awful W PAC ruins 99% of the setups in this area. Even worse if it’s possible is that the Nina seems to be basing in the central not east Pacific.

South Jersey Alley for a reason.

Huge PWAT/remnants of Chantal etc pattern-big meh for 95% of us and split screwed. But watch a random warm frontal boundary next month dump 12” for a whole swath of the area.

Split screwed.

Not what I want to see. Should be an early slam the blinds shut for winter again for 25-26. Maybe some miracle like a bunch of recurving typhoons to cool the waters down (which I’d think would be more likely in this regime) can give it some kind of a chance.

Another swampy afternoon. 89/74

There apparently wasn’t evacuation training as well, although this happened so fast there might not have been time, plus it was the middle of the night. But at the very least someone or people responsible should’ve had a weather radio if they were out of cell phone service.

This will clearly be one of the worst flash flood events in our nation’s history. Death toll up to 119, many of whom are children and well over 100 still missing (hopefully these are mostly double counted or not reported found yet). Heartbreaking and devastating. Seems like the campgrounds were out of cell phone coverage so they didn’t get the automated warning from the NWS and didn’t have a weather radio.

I think it was 2 summers ago where it was just comical the difference between my neighborhood in Huntington Station and Long Beach when I visited. Long Beach looked completely parched and in the midst of extreme drought but once north of the Southern State it became lush with greenery everywhere. LI's microclimates are always fascinating.

Thankfully the Rockaways to Long Beach did get maybe a half inch from the storms that grazed the barrier islands, but seen it happen many times. Can be boring as hell for months behind the seabreeze in the marine layer.

I guess about 0.6” total. This last batch largely lurched to my N over the sound.

Drenching here.

Getting dark with thunder to my north. Outflow boundary crashed right into seabreeze and sparked up storms.

Have some Pop-up showers around on the seabreeze and outflow boundaries. Back to 91.

94/74/105.

91/76. Absolutely oppressive.

Heading towards another slam the blinds shut winter. Maybe I should co side moving back south lol. At least the severe season produces in TX. And always a chance of a suppressed snow system that can’t drop a flurry north of Cape May.

Which happens 9 out of 10 setups in the summer.

Who are “they” and what do “they” want me to think?

Feels like a bath. Literally.

This happened in the middle of the night, the storms stalled out because there’s no trough nearby to expedite getting Barry’s remnants out, and the terrain/rock hard ground problem exacerbated it. It had zero to do with “weather modification”. I wasn’t paying enough attention to see if the NWS dropped the ball and the funding cuts are obviously a huge outrage and problem, but this is KNOWN to be a major problem in Central TX especially. There was 16” of rain in one morning in Austin from the remnants of Hurricane Patricia in Oct 2015 which is bar none the heaviest rain I’ve ever seen. Likely even puts Ida to shame. The Austin to San Antonio corridor is known to get tons of rain in a short period of time, but is otherwise pretty dry. And when it falls over the limestone Hill Country, it rampages down the hills into small creeks and as we see here, even the larger rivers can be overwhelmed fast.

Yep, could be a scenario where it’s bone dry on the south shore but 5 miles inland a deluge.

They do, the Colorado River which goes through Austin has numerous dams that were put in as a result of floods over the years. Problem is this was so localized and stalled out so it couldn’t be diverted in time.