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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Jones Beach water temp is still 52-53. That’ll put a hard stop on any temp climb on the south shore with that kind of S wind. Probably a full on Ambrose Jet day or two thrown in. Even here might be hard to get much above 80.
  2. jm1220
    This upcoming heat looks very meh east of the city. Maybe mid 80s or so on the N Shore? The south shore might struggle past 70 if we have strong S wind every day.
  3. jm1220
    We’ve had mid to upper 90s heat waves in May before, that’s not unprecedented. It also might be for just half this subforum since a lot of it looks southerly wind driven. Maybe we get another crazy Ambrose Jet day or two in this and the immediate south shore can’t get above 70.
  4. jm1220
    Maybe 0.10” here. Predictable as the day ending in “y” that it breaks up and dissipates as it gets here.
  5. jm1220
    He posted during and before the 2/24 blizzard, we even named the thread/blizzard for him lol. He said he just generally doesn’t come by here anymore unless there’s a major threat of some kind.
  6. jm1220
    RRFS had a good showing in the first Dec clipper. Other than that it seemed forgettable.
  7. jm1220
    A strong or super Nino ensures there’s lots of mild Pacific air flooding in. But it will also be moist and we won’t have the endless cutters/SWFE we sometimes see in Nina’s. It’ll be southern stream driven and we have to hope to time one or two of them with cold enough air. We all know what happened in Nino seasons like 2002-03, 2009-10, 1982-83, 2015-16 etc. If only 2/6/10 could’ve edged north a little more.
  8. jm1220
    Looking around this area there’s lots of tree damage I assume from the winter storms.
  9. jm1220
    We need one or two loaded up El Niño southern jet setups to make it this far north with cold air. We don’t want too much blocking to squash everything south.
  10. jm1220
    Same. That salvaged it being a half decent event. The initial rain barely wet the ground.
  11. jm1220
    Some light rain here but can see the radar fading to crap. Probably won’t even be enough to get the pollen off my car.
  12. jm1220
    This time of year when we can still get large synoptic scale events you want to rack up the rain totals. Soon we’ll be relying on daytime convection and 95% of the time that favors inland.
  13. jm1220
    JFK gusting to 41 this hour. I'm sure a sandblaster on the beaches. Glorious spring on LI. Farmingdale now gusting to 45.
  14. jm1220
    Made it to 72 here but dropping a little on S winds.
  15. jm1220
    Point and click has 76 for the high here today. Doubting MBY gets over 70 unless we see a more westerly wind. Currently at 66 and S wind but places west/north are over 70.
  16. jm1220
    I’ll go with 52.2” in Huntington Station.
  17. jm1220
    Had a very minor event after then that was a good coating so I guess I’ll go with 52.2”. Thanks for putting the maps together!
  18. jm1220
    Suppression depression in May. Hate to see it. I’ll be more than happy to salvage a weekend though.
  19. jm1220
    S Nassau getting it pretty good today. Radar estimating 1.5” so far.
  20. jm1220
    Obligatory "if only this was winter".
  21. jm1220
    I notice the April likely mean temp departures are going down lately. Tomorrow and Sunday will knock 'em down another notch. Today was gorgeous though, got in a hike on Jayne's Hill and West Hills.
  22. jm1220
    Boston also regularly gets 40"+ per winter. That's their cost for the good winters. GFS looks generally putrid for the remainder of the month into May with blocky wet nastiness. Hope people are enjoying today.
  23. jm1220
    Spring is just typically a lousy season here. The best weather months here are Sept-Oct when you still have the warmed up ocean waters but the heat waves are over.
  24. jm1220
    Better that we can refresh the water table and have it be nasty vs just nasty drizzle that does nothing but ruin a day (or here often multiple days).
  25. jm1220
    Hopefully it can get to the areas in upstate NY where the reservoirs are located.
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