jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Midwest thunderstorms are something else. Getting hit here in Chicago and the lightning is just constant. Tomorrow's a slight risk.
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The heat index actually jumped to 105 at Farmingdale when the seabreeze came through because the dewpoint jumped from 63 to 71. By August the seabreeze won't be any relief anymore and just makes it worse.
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Now imagine this every single day for 3-4 months, with a stronger sun since you're in the South. That's TX and what I dealt with in 2015-16. And no, in Austin it's not a dry heat. I hated it really quick-you can't do anything outside until the evening or early morning, and even in the evening it's often still in the upper 90s. I went from record never ending deluge in May 2015, historic Memorial Day floods and severe to not a drop after in June and baking until October when we had another record deluge from the remnants of Hurricane Patricia.
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HRRR looked good for it yesterday. We'll see.
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Get on the LIRR to Long Beach lol. Do it early before the 40mph onshore winds happen.
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Long Beach 78-80, Captree's 72. We'll see how much higher it gets. Probably a few more degrees but today looks like a good Ambrose Jet day.
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The Ring of Fire around the ridge. My turn here in Chicago is on Saturday-I'm flying out on Sun so hopefully we're done then and maybe it'll be severe I get to see. Suffolk got hit this morning and much needed. We're in convective season where synoptic systems don't happen other than anything tropical. The south shore LI pretty much goes into a 3-4 month drought because of all the storms that die before making it there.
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WNW winds will determine. Probably Ambrose Jet tomorrow so that's shot.
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I was at a Phillies game one day during a heatwave there. Absolute torrid hell.
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Looking like Fri may be the one hot day near the south shore. I don't think the barrier islands got above 80 today and may not tomorrow either.
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Disgusting here in Chicago but not terrible on Navy Pier by the lake with a breeze.
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Damn, hope he’s okay. Here in Chicago it’s already stifling this morning.
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If we moved the site any distance away from the tree canopy it would be 102-103 easy. It’s ridiculous this is still an issue, and it’s the “official” climate site for the city.
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If you mean Central Park highly doubt it. My guess at airport high for this event is EWR hits 105 on Friday. Central Park probably tops out at 98-99.
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Yep, this winter I had go back over a year and delete tons of screenshots and pics so I could post any new ones.
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Also where there’s any compressional heating zone. That area just ahead of the seabreeze can really roast. Sometimes that’s around the Southern State Parkway/Five Towns to Roosevelt Field.
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Stop with the political stuff. Please and thank you.
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Thu and especially Fri look like the days that the coast could really rocket. 850s reach 24-25C on Fri so that should be the peak of the heat. Tue looks like strong onshore flow and maybe even Ambrose Jet. Wed the higher 850 temps over 20 move in but also maybe some storms along the periphery of the ridge. Sat-Sun the ridge looks to weaken and start to break down.
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On the barrier islands sure but just inland away from them made it to 100 during the heat last summer since we had an established WNW downslope flow. We’ll see if that holds this time but it might be very impressive near the coast where that offshore flow can maintain.
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On those days the south shore can be the hottest in the whole area because of compressional heating. Around the Southern State and Hempstead/Garden City are usually the hot spots.
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We know that Central Park likely maxes out at 98-99 under the forest canopy but LGA, EWR maybe even JFK if they keep westerly flow make it to 100. Ridge has also been trending east which is increasing the 850 temps.
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It's been dry so we probably add a couple degrees vs the heat last summer, plus we're in the same WNW flow regime that heats it up all the way to the shore and we add downslope help.
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Actually looks like I might be catching a break being in Chicago. The ridge has been trending east over time and looks like mid 90s there.
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4 straight days over 100 in NYC.
