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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. Every winter even the great ones take breaks. But the good December Ninas usually have a Part II in Feb or even Mar. The Part II often involved blocking that slowed down the Pacific and allowed one or two KUs. This winter has not been favorable for KUs yet because it's been northern stream dominated with the same fast Pacific flow, we were just able to capitalize on luck for once with smaller clipper type systems to get us above average for snow with the cold. 2020 had a huge Dec coastal storm, Jan 2018 had the huge coastal storm, Dec 2000 etc. We'll have to see if this can be a winter where we have a good Feb-Mar without having a major Dec coastal storm.
  2. Interesting setup. Probably an inch or two type deal but nice refresher and possibly more with just a little better/sooner redevelopment.
  3. The cold will definitely take a break at some point, but it took a break in every good winter we’ve had. We don’t live in the Yukon.
  4. Yep for sure, that would be a close second.
  5. Yep, 00-01 was probably a tough one there. The big March 2001 blizzard was also huge just a few miles inland and fairly pedestrian in the city if I remember right.
  6. Yep, that storm is king for me of sheer intensity and thunder snow that morning.
  7. Patchy coverage here. My backyard still mostly covered. It's all about to turn rock hard.
  8. Same. @Allsnow is a good contributor. Hope he's well
  9. Only if you let them lol. Don't read them
  10. Was in Long Beach and can say they definitely had as much or more than at my house. Winter wonderland there.
  11. Looks like you’re still in a good spot for snow. It’s really south of the LIE that drops off.
  12. SW Suffolk was getting hammered pretty good under those snow showers. Babylon has 7”.
  13. Going with 4.5” in Huntington Station. Thanks for everything!
  14. I’ll go with 4.5” final. A disappointment/underperformer but can’t win ‘em all. Brings me to 13” for the month.
  15. Not doing much of anything here, looks like this batch is favoring the south shore. I have maybe 4” now, haven’t measured.
  16. Just saw a 4" report from Oceanside. Guess the S Shore is doing well?
  17. I wouldn't rule out a couple inches. This should linger for a while. Still hope IMBY I make it to warning amount (need 2.5"). Light stuff with this ocean effect but not adding up to much. In any event with the 3.5" now I have about 12" for the month which is awesome and still outside shot at 15" if we do well overnight.
  18. Well... snow ending from this part-light stuff/flurries and 3.5" on my tabletop. We'll see what happens later.
  19. HRRR is on some serious crack or there's still quite a bit to go for most of this subforum. 01z run just coming out has 0.70" liquid for my backyard, 0.55" for NYC and even 0.40" out by Morristown. Has a pretty good period of snow overhead by around midnight sparked by the stuff coming in from western NY and ends around 5am.
  20. Little over 3" here, I'd say 3.2". Dumping snow but this back edge should be here soon. Hopefully we see it filling back in overnight.
  21. Who knows? It will forever be lost to history because it's been deleted. All we can do now is speculate and have it live on in our memories. I get this is disappointing for a lot of this forum but there's a banter thread...
  22. RAP has the same evolution as HRRR and amounts still to fall so it's not on its own.
  23. Might be totally cracked out but who knows.
  24. Just under 3", snow picking up again. It's been all snow but inconsistent intensity. Heavy for a couple minutes then a lull.
  25. Probably just crappy snow growth caused by poor lift and the mid level warm layer. Another reason why those inflated Kuchera maps should be thrown in the trash. HRRR takes some of that precip in central PA and moves it east and refires it over the next few hours, snow lingers east of the city until 5-6am. Who knows how accurate it is but hope isn't over IMO for at least an advisory event in the city and parts of NJ. From West Milford to New Brunswick and east it has over 0.5" liquid still to fall after 0z and 0.7-0.8" for Suffolk. Someone out by Riverhead might see a foot. I doubt it will be here, some of these crap subsidence areas are surviving past the border. I'm hoping still to get the 7" I predicted last night.
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