jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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I can definitely believe it. Continuation of last winter’s crap.
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Last year we were able to get 1-2” small events right before Christmas, which was better than zilch but looks more likely we’re going to waste this cold for anything more substantial. Our best shot given the lightning fast pattern is likely something along those lines. An offshore redeveloper would probably form too late for us, and we can’t get the pattern to slow enough for a more meaningful s/w to turn the corner. I’m not optimistic for this cold snap to produce snowwise but we’ll see.
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Perfectly fitting to go from raw nasty all rain in the upper 30s to cold/dry/suppressed garbage. Hopefully we can get something to turn the corner when it’s still cold enough here. The storms of course will come back when the cold retreats.
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Yep, ending as raw nasty mist.
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Whatever/however this garbage gets out of here soonest I’m fine with.
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Winds will shift to the N as the storm departs but the damage this AM is too much to help us. I guess 33 and rain is the only way this could be nastier.
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So glad the 25 degrees overnight did so much good today.
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Temp is up to 34 here, was in the mid 20s like I said for nothing. No one should be surprised temps are jumping with the SE wind switch and cause us to be rain near the city-coast. The high is leaving and causing the winds to switch to SE.
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25 here. Shame it's for nothing.
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30 here. Too bad it'll all be over here sooner than you can say "it's over" once winds turn SE. The retreating high and onshore flow are ruining it.
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K.
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It would be hard any time of year for this to be snow at the coast when we have strong onshore flow to deal with as the storm comes in, maybe if we had a significantly colder leading airmass. You can see clearly how the fairly marginal cold retreats as the storm moves in. If the high could hang on we would have a chance but again the fast progressive pattern bites us. Storm is also gone before it can fully mature at the mid levels, so we don’t get a CCB to form and cold air to work back in.
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We have a retreating high and southerly flow blasting us as the storm is coming in. Also the low is still forming in the mid levels near us and unable to wrap cold air back south in time.
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Yep, starting to look like you have to get into the Catskills before you see warning type snow amounts.
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It’s fine that there’s a headline. It will be a disruptive storm event for the northern areas of the subforum and it’s the first real winter storm of the season even if for most posters it will be rain.
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"about everyone"-those of us in NYC and coast. Where you are and I-84 corridor, still hopefully a decent event. Hopefully a good surprise can happen for many of us. I-84 corridor still looks in decent shape. Cold rain sucks but I'll deal.
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Veterans Day likely had more flakes than any of us at/near the coast get on Tue. Probably just wall to wall rain.
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NAM is usually over amped at this range but clear at this point this will be a N/W storm and well NW at that
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And then we had 12/5-6/03 which was even better. And the 12/5 snow was mostly unexpected.
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I’m about done with this one. Expecting a washout IMBY and around the city.
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Too early to say and too many unknowns. A weaker system without good dynamics, weaker cold push in front of the storm, etc could ruin it even with a better track. Stronger storm obviously brings the possibility it's too amped and has strong onshore flow. I'd say there's a narrow Goldilocks zone for the city to get some decent snow, but very narrow with a dynamic enough system, good cold push and good track. The possibilities expand a lot more NW of the city which is the usual especially this time of year.
