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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    And it's STILL coming down heavy around Albany. Some places there (maybe more just SW in the Catskills) will definitely have 25" by the end.
  2. jm1220
    Back to pretty much just flurries.
  3. jm1220
    Coating on all surfaces now and snow close to moderate.
  4. jm1220
    Wonder how it’s been down towards Long Beach/Oceanside, good echos there for a while now. Temps there also down near freezing.
  5. jm1220
    Light snow again here in S Huntington.
  6. jm1220
    The general idea of this storm was evident several days ago, minus some places like Boston which I thought would do a lot better but the east winds are still too warm for them this time of the year and the airmass was a bit too mild. We're in the "table scraps" part of the storm which may have been minor or more significant-looks like it will be more minor. But it's not totally over yet, models don't really pivot this out until after midnight.
  7. jm1220
    Snow is coming south through CT and should hopefully merge into what's over southern Nassau/Suffolk. The high end amounts were clearly overdone but hopefully a couple or locally few inches can be salvaged.
  8. jm1220
    Accumulating on colder surfaces now-moderate snow.
  9. jm1220
    Light snow S Huntington.
  10. jm1220
    Awesome, enjoy. Meanwhile I have a few mangled flakes now in Melville. Radar looks like things are consolidating here in western Suffolk.
  11. jm1220
    A lot of times these narrow snow bands can be hard to forecast at much lead time. By the hour the evolution of this seems to be shifting.
  12. jm1220
    6” salvaged for MBY on this run-I’ll gladly take it. I’ll count yesterday as 0.5”-coating of slop that melted last night.
  13. jm1220
    There is a good amount of convection off the coast right now, maybe it’s really onto something?
  14. jm1220
    It would be pretty hilarious if NYC ends up with more snow from this than BOS. I doubt that’s the case still but they only got 1.2” from yesterday and they’re sweating what happens today/tonight the same as us. The radar looks quite intriguing with the blowing up precip south of here but the evolution will have a mind of its own from here. Hopefully it keeps nudging east.
  15. jm1220
    There’s some activity over E Suffolk that may be trying to form into a band also.
  16. jm1220
    If that somehow heads its way up into Long Island, that would be sweet. Right now just chilly and dry here in Melville-there was some rain and a mangled flake or two earlier.
  17. jm1220
    I wouldn’t worry yet East of the city about the precip-the low is slowly sliding East and heavy precip looks like it’s rotating NW towards the island. Overall nice trends today-hopefully many of us have 3-6” later today.
  18. jm1220
    The idea that a wide swath was getting 10" of snow from that was likely overdone, yes. Maybe someone would but it seemed to be an area of more moderate snow that would be a 3-6" type deal. Hopefully tomorrow many of us get a few (more) inches, I wouldn't start hoping for more than that yet. One area it looks like I was wrong about was Boston-the city at least has been mostly rain and they're relying on part 2 for any more just like we are. They'll also be in the upper 30s or over 40 for quite a bit longer. East winds are torching them. Albany and the western half of MA have been the place to be for sure.
  19. jm1220
    This is probably beyond the HRRR's good time range for part 2.
  20. jm1220
    Getting windier here, trees are shaking pretty good. The ice/snow from earlier is all melted now. The dividing line for that here seemed to be around the LIE/Northern State. I drove from Long Beach this afternoon in rain/some sleet, then around Garden City the ground started to whiten. By Jericho Turnpike in Syosset it was half snow/sleet mix and the roads/ground were covered. Streets were horrendous when it was coming down.
  21. jm1220
    With the north wind that would come with part 2, the surface temps should drop to freezing or close, enough for it to accumulate right away or quickly.
  22. jm1220
    Hopefully the NAM is onto something for MBY anyway, was getting concerned about east of NYC consistently being dryslotted. What happens from the second part will be quite fickle and still nearly 24hrs away for most-the final story isn't close to here yet.
  23. jm1220
    It’s not a surprise, and doesn’t mean much for the second part of the storm. There’s East wind driving in warm ocean air and will continue until the low starts pulling away. The question is how quick the upper low develops and where it tracks, this will cool us back down. Also, where the associated snow bands form.
  24. jm1220
    Snow sleet mix in S Huntington. Coating on all surfaces including roads-which are treacherous.
  25. jm1220
    I-90 jackpot on the Euro tonight and not much from any CCB. Essentially 1-3" from the city east, between the front/end. Ouch. Fills in CT as well to kick us even worse.
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