jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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We’ve seen these long range head fakes to cold time after time since Oct had these great monthly maps for winter just to get blown away by the rampaging Pacific jet. Until the Pacific SST orientation changes in a meaningful way particularly off Japan and Indonesia we’re probably staying screwed. This winter functioned for much of it like a Nina with a more active southern jet that made it more wet. We had maybe 10 days that ended up being favorable for snow out of the whole winter.
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JFK gusted to 53 last hour and LGA gusted to 58. I wouldn’t say it’s underperforming. I’d say here it’s gusting to 45 or higher at times. If anything maybe Upton should’ve gone with high wind warnings.
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Unfortunately we’re entering the time of year where the lousy back door front ENE flow usually wins out.
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The urban heat island might be done with 32 or below, out here though it's usually a few degrees colder or more than the city at night. And like PSV said, lots of blooming here over the last week. Hopefully the cold air sets up west of us like usual again so we don't see plant damage. Of course I'd be more than happy to keep the bugs away a few more weeks. With all this rain the mosquitoes will be awful later in the spring.
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If this late month cold shot is happening we'll definitely go below again a few times. And that will damage some of the plants that will bloom this week in the upcoming warmth.
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Rain with graupel here. The misery continues.
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1.9" here. Backyard is a pond/swamp again.
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Roads closing in Long Beach from flooding. Strong SE winds driving in water plus heavy rain.
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45mph gusts at JFK and FRG.
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Upton talking up moderate coastal flooding for the S Shore back bays and 8-12 foot waves for the beaches. Won't be a severe erosion event most likely since this won't have time to build up a large fetch but any amount of erosion at this point is really bad news. Nice afternoon for once. Flowers and plants are greening and blooming like crazy.
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Yep it’s crazy, and it must be driving these roaring Pacific Jet patterns that inundate us with warmth. In this era maybe the only way that changes is a competing marine heatwave somewhere else.
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Don’t think we can dispute the pendulum is slamming back the other direction after our big snow 2000-18 period. Until the Pacific meaningfully changes out of this crap SST orientation the odds are strongly against us.
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Yay Perma-Nina. The Nina hangover pattern never really went away this winter from the last one, we have a very -PDO and boiling equatorial WPAC, and now we have an official probably mod-strong Nina for next winter. Hopefully we get a high ACE and it’s an East based Nina or we’re in big trouble next winter too.
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If Central Park can’t get its act together with measuring snow, official measurements for NYC should be moved to LGA. It’s about centrally located in the 5 boroughs, not far from Manhattan.
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Up to about 2", maybe a little over. Outside looks like a swamp.
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Yaay. The mosquitoes in a couple months will be something fierce.
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Up to about 1.3”. Some of these downpours are crazy. My backyard is turning into a pond.
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No more snow, but of course the misery's nowhere near done.
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Today would’ve been rain any time of the year. This is a hugger that would’ve driven warm air in for the coast. Well inland might’ve stayed snow.
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The place that’s really due is SE FL from PBI to Miami which hasn’t really been hit since 2005 by a major. Up here it seems like the tropical systems come in waves like 2011-12, and 1938-54. We probably are due for another storm like Bob that hit eastern LI and New England hard.
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Well-plenty of Irish green for temps and this winter into spring probably rain too.
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67 in S Nassau around Sunrise Highway.
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61 here. Stunning! And this time of year temps often bust warm when we can keep the sea breeze away. No leaves on the trees yet is why.
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It’s almost impossible to sustain any long term drought here because of how many ways we can get heavy rain. And the average precip has been increasing significantly in the last few decades.
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Thanks for the reality check. There's very little cold air to speak of around the area going into this storm, so any storm we'd have would have to manufacture its own through crashing heights. If there's heavy snow the temp should crash to 32-33 but we'd probably waste some/a lot on white rain and getting it to accumulate. And of course this is at Day 8 anyway.
