jm1220

I know some have talked about the expansion of the Hadley Cell which may be driving the warming east of Japan, which would almost certainly be CC driven. My hope is just that whatever is driving that reverses or gets muted by something else so that there can be real snowstorms here again. And I’m not even being facetious, other than 2020-21 and briefly in Jan 2022 which may be an incredible rarity in this new regime, you can watch clearly how the hyper Pacific Jet shoots to pieces any kind of setup that be good for NYC. It positively tilts the troughs so they can’t amplify in time which allows the suppressed outcomes, destroys phasing setups in a place where it would create a benchmark track, or its SWFE/cutter city when the SE ridge takes over. Or when there’s -NAO blocking the -PNA is so ridiculous that the block actually helps the cutter outcomes by linking with the SE ridge. Part of me thinks this is payback for the bonanza 2000-18 period where we had epic storms and averages have to assert themselves again, but more and more the longer this horrible regime lasts you have to ask whether it’s permanent and we’re starting to go down the road places like Central PA have for 20 years, where it’s essentially impossible to get big snow events there anymore.

North of the LIE probably gets to 95 before the seabreeze unless it’s like 20-30mph and all day. South near where you probably gets over 90 but it’s more dependent on when the seabreeze takes over, and with water temps well in the 70s it won’t bring much relief only more humidity.

We’d probably need 20-30mph southerly wind to keep the north shore that much cooler than NJ/Hudson Valley. We usually heat up pretty fast then we have the breeze eventually by 3-4pm that cools it down but too late (and with the waters so warm not much cooling and more humidity).

Those beaches are also private for residents or leisure pass holders, Long Beach allows anyone to buy a beach pass.

Outflow boundary coming through-nice breeze finally.

Yep I saw a radar estimated 4.19” right around Uniondale.

Brief shower earlier, still nice sunset.

That one dropped 14-15" in my backyard just 30 miles east of Central Park, 20" a 20 minute drive south/east of me and 24" at Islip about 50 miles east of Manhattan. If only it could've developed a hair sooner. That of course was the last good nor'easter for this area. Tons of crap SWFE events (although there was the one decent front end 4-6" event last winter here), cutters, suppressed garbage and every other type of disappointment since. This ferocious Pacific jet pattern is tailor made to ruin the winter chances for the northern Mid Atlantic. As long as that persists our odds at anything different are piss poor at best.

Figures on our low dewpoint day it gets cloudy.

Good. Hopefully lots of typhoons in that area this summer.

Probably downslope westerly winds and the heat coming back east from the city/NJ from earlier in the day. In the summer it happens frequently that the immediate south shore heats up AFTER the cold front comes through because the heat from the city is finally blown east.

10pm and still 90 at JFK, 99 heat index. Downslope W flow and still humid. Tomorrow can't come fast enough.

Winds were SW, not due S which muted some of the cooling effect and water temps now are 78 at Jones Beach, so not much cooling to be had anyway. They’ll go back down tomorrow when winds turn offshore. I wasn’t there today but the weatherbug stations hit 90 even on the barrier island.

And even more glorious-Long Beach is 90/80/108.

93/76/106. Yep, gorgeous COC day. Feels like a sauna with a blazing lamp overhead.

88/77. Dew-sgusting.

Had a heavy shower in Melville a little while ago.

Not really any cooler on the barrier islands. Temps mid to upper 80s and even higher dews near 80.

Our first “nip in the air” is usually early September where I live. But just to echo how ridiculous this humidity is day after day. We shouldn’t constantly be over 75 dewpoints.

91/76/103.

Hopefully 2 humidity free or light days coming Fri and Sat. But then sweaty breath comes roaring back.

You can just feel that today will be another disgusting humid day.

88/75/98. Wonder if one of these random showers will fire overhead?

Looks like Island Park got drenched. 2.5” pixel there. Long Beach got a good soaking as well. Great-they need all the rain they can in the summer down there.

Well we didn’t have the 5-7+ inch totals over NJ and the Hudson Valley, and the radar clearly showed the storms collapsing as they went east of the city. They essentially rained themselves out over LI. August is typically when we have our higher end rain events likely because the waters are warmest then.