jm1220

Light rain and some thunder now. Some gustier wind from the outflow boundary a few minutes ago. Lots of twigs and smaller branches down from the storm before but thankfully nothing bigger.

Velocities looked pretty intense going through the south shore barrier islands.

Some scattered outages along the N Shore affecting a few thousand customers so far.

Wow, pretty impressive. Torrential rain and strong gusts. Wouldn't surprise me if some trees are down.

South Jersey Alley will produce as always. Here it's getting dark to the west. We'll see if it clips me or goes just to my north.

I could see around the Southern State really roasting with the compressional heating in the afternoon. I have to think some kind of seabreeze develops with waters still in the mid 60s. I don’t think that cool water gets denied all day.

Yep, models seem to be building up a high pressure to our north which means backdoor comes through by Wed. And of course game over for real heat with ENE winds.

Can see the tops for the storm over the city to my west. Our chance here is with any squall line heading east later.

88/75/98 here.

Same here. Feels disgusting.

Yep, 0z has the stronger westerly flow which drives the heat right to the coast. That will be key-if we get the onshore flow there's a strong cap on it getting higher than low 90s near the coast when water temps are still low 60s. Maybe even 80s if it's more of a SSE flow. But westerly downslope and we heat up big time everywhere.

GFS seems to be favoring southerly winds again at 18z with even an Ambrose Jet like setup in the afternoons. That would cap temps to mid 80s on the south shore if that, and the city/north shore to maybe low 90s. We're not getting high end heat in the city and east with strong southerly flow. The water temp off Jones Beach today is only 64. There would definitely be plenty of humidity but I highly doubt 95+ without westerly winds. NJ and Hudson Valley where seabreezes don't cap the heat is a different story.

Yep. Sun’s out here and first summer true sauna afternoon.

Starting to look like more run of the mill type heat for most especially the city and east. The eastern periphery of the ridge is prone to backdoor fronts and cloud/T-storms. Also looks like winds will try hard to veer onshore which heightens the humidity but would make it hard to reach 95. But if we have dewpoints well into the 70s with temps over 90 it’s still disgusting. Just not historic, more like our more typical FL type heat of late. Inland away from the seabreezes or backdoor intrusions can likely make it to 100.

Totally socked in here with fog. Haven’t seen the sun in 5 days. Truly wretched stretch.

Day #5 with rain.

I mean if it’s 94/78 that’s a 110 heat index which is quite dangerous. 104/68 is a 111 heat index.

If the ridge axis is to our west it makes it more likely the heat gets broken up by a backdoor front or T-storms. And there’s the southerly wind too that will try any day to factor in and cool it down. It’s just really tough to get these 5+ day big heatwaves especially the last 5 years or so.

Please move the political/bickering stuff somewhere else.

If it really does go over 100 I could see real problems with the power grid. It’s heat we haven’t had in a few years and everyone’s been used to this Seattle weather. But there are plenty of ways it could still trend to run of the mill.

4 days with rain in a row.

If the ridge gets too steep it’ll turn our winds southerly and the worst heat will overshoot our area again. Still plenty of time for that to happen.

Well, you won’t be needing a blanket.

These WNW flow heat events are where we really roast and heights are absurdly high. We’ll see if that verifies (107 is likely too high but could definitely be 100+ if we get the downslope WNW flow) or it becomes our more typical southerly flow FL type heat.

Misery mist city.