jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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If Central Park can’t get its act together with measuring snow, official measurements for NYC should be moved to LGA. It’s about centrally located in the 5 boroughs, not far from Manhattan.
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Up to about 2", maybe a little over. Outside looks like a swamp.
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Yaay. The mosquitoes in a couple months will be something fierce.
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Up to about 1.3”. Some of these downpours are crazy. My backyard is turning into a pond.
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No more snow, but of course the misery's nowhere near done.
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Today would’ve been rain any time of the year. This is a hugger that would’ve driven warm air in for the coast. Well inland might’ve stayed snow.
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The place that’s really due is SE FL from PBI to Miami which hasn’t really been hit since 2005 by a major. Up here it seems like the tropical systems come in waves like 2011-12, and 1938-54. We probably are due for another storm like Bob that hit eastern LI and New England hard.
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Well-plenty of Irish green for temps and this winter into spring probably rain too.
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67 in S Nassau around Sunrise Highway.
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61 here. Stunning! And this time of year temps often bust warm when we can keep the sea breeze away. No leaves on the trees yet is why.
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It’s almost impossible to sustain any long term drought here because of how many ways we can get heavy rain. And the average precip has been increasing significantly in the last few decades.
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Thanks for the reality check. There's very little cold air to speak of around the area going into this storm, so any storm we'd have would have to manufacture its own through crashing heights. If there's heavy snow the temp should crash to 32-33 but we'd probably waste some/a lot on white rain and getting it to accumulate. And of course this is at Day 8 anyway.
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If it’s a 6”+ event I’d be interested but if it’s some slop that’s gone the next day I really couldn’t care less. This event is still 8 days away and even though the pattern does become more favorable it probably just matters for upstate NY and New England. Boston will probably find some way to make it over 10” for the winter-that’s obscenely low for them.
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Good for them.
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Garbage pails blown everywhere in my backyard and part of gutter blown down. Pretty wild is right.
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Brief shower here. Looks like the bulk of it is south of me so this should be about it.
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Jan 15-20 was my “get worried if nothing changes” timeframe this winter because Nino usually is best later, which is around when the pattern went back to Perma-Nina. So that was the time to get concerned. I hope next winter is better but looks honestly like more of the same unless the Pacific meaningfully changes or we get lucky with blocking like 20-21. Hopefully we have a very high ACE this summer.
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December during Nino is usually bad here. When big Arctic outbreaks started dumping into the Plains in Jan and we kept getting the SE ridge, that to me was the big red flag because then is when we’re supposed to flip more favorable. Instead the pattern went to typical Nina which is lousy for us late in winter.
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When the Pacific pattern/SST stays garbage, our outcome will be garbage. 72-73 was the last strong Nino with -PDO and that’s essentially what we got. We did a little better since we lucked out mid Feb. But overall torch among islands of brief cold, and well below normal snow.
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Last bits of snow are about gone in my backyard. Only dirt mall piles left. Until next non-winter!
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@MJO812 Pretty sure JetBlue has direct flights to Reno.
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Warmth usually overperforms this time of year. The trees aren’t leafed out which means less shade and evapotranspiration. Many times models don’t consider that.
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1/4/18 was an awesome event for LI but it was booking right along. Too bad there was nothing to slow it down. Our really epic events have some mechanism like blocking to slow the storm down. 14” from that one in Long Beach but it was largely over in 6 hours or so.
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BTW mixed rain and sleet here in Melville.
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The Bermuda High ridge keeps shifting north, which means the clockwise flow brings southerly winds and more humidity here vs hotter west winds and less humidity. The worst heat seems to shoot over us to the north when that happens, which has been the tendency relative to average-the worst heat keeps going north of us but we have the higher heat index with more humidity. FL-like is right.
