jm1220

Summer is pure torture in the South. In TX where I lived it’s unbearable. 100+ every day and not dry heat. Dry heat is in the western third of the state far from the Gulf.

08-09 was a pretty underrated winter IMO. Nice 10” event on 3/1 too.

In Long Beach today, there's maybe one or two little piddly ice chunks left, at least on the north shore we have big ginormous ice chunks in every parking lot, street corner and my backyard! Spring will be nice when we hit 60s and the south shore is stuck in dank 40s. Hopefully it's not a bad backdoor front season.

Did you move yet? I’m at about 210’ just east of Rt 110, I’m usually a little cooler in the summer as a result.

Just have to laugh.

There was sooner or later going to be a stretch that nailed New England, Montreal, etc. Once the SWFE train starts in a Nina winter they get hammered. I can't think of the last time a pattern like this was good at our latitude, maybe 93-94 which is a once per century type winter and also would be warmer today. We need some kind of help from the southern stream for much of our snow, northern stream dominated patterns vary between bad and horrendous for snow south of I-84 and the fast Pacific jet makes it even worse. Plenty of dry windy cold though. February was/has been decent but could've been so much better.

Maybe we can catch up to Norfolk!! One can dream!

About 0.7-0.8”. Still light snow but should be about over. So that gets me a little over 19” for the season.

Big flakes now too.

Wow, really coming down. Nice band in W Suffolk, maybe it’ll pivot in to Nassau. Hopefully can get an inch, maybe the 1.4” needed to get to 20” for the season.

Coming down at a good clip here.

Flurrying.

Maybe today can be our last sub-32 high. One can hope.

RAP has about an inch and we’re seeing snow break out in E PA. Not expecting much but we’ll see. I need 1.4” to get to 20” on the season which takes it out of the bottom of the gutter snow wise.

Looks like 10-11” of snow in the Norfolk/VA Beach area.

Temps in Norfolk are in the upper 20s in heavy snow, when those are our conditions we do the same. Problem is we’re on an island surrounded by water and we haven’t had the pattern lined up in our favor in quite some time.

Seeing the frozen ponds enough to play hockey on and ice on the bays was good this winter, haven’t seen that in probably 10 years here. But like you said, 20 years ago that would be a normal winter.

Long Beach had 10-11” of paste on 3/21/18 and 6” on 4/2/18. I know that’s a once in a couple decade scenario but we both know what a snow pit that area is. It was 2003 but snow accumulated perfectly fine in the city on 4/8/03. It’s a matter of getting the heavier rates overhead and temps below 32 if possible.

It can definitely snow and accumulate through March if it’s heavy enough. Sun angle is only a problem when it’s light and temps are marginal.

Take the stupid bickering somewhere else.

This season is hard to keep dealing with. But we persist and brush away another consolation coating while someone else gets crushed. Can’t end soon enough.

With the ridge axis off the west coast we risk more cutters/SWFE to dry windy cold. We want it further east.

The IVT feature is the only one I’m really concerned about, the coastal low snow is 100+ miles away. And it’s hard to pin down and even the NAM doesn’t show being particularly heavy. Maybe someone lucky ends up with 2”. Otherwise it’s coatings to an inch.

I do think though that the Pacific SSTs have shifted to an orientation that’s especially hostile for snow here. Ever since that huge boiling SST area popped east of Japan we’ve had this zonked Pacific Jet that’s destroyed almost every major snow chance for NYC. I think that will have to change before we’re really back in the game. In the CC era we live in maybe a competing marine heatwave has to pop up that mutes that one out. There will have to be warm water comparatively in the E Pacific.

I’m not convinced of that. It can still easily snow all the way down to NC as we clearly see this year. The overall pattern has just shifted to a very hostile one here and a 30” long term average was never going to stick around for NYC. Boston has also had a very rough few years but Nina patterns that bring SWFEs can produce there vs maybe 1/10 of those being decent in any way here. I don’t think a 50” long term average can stick around for Boston either.