jm1220

I’d think wherever the heat budget is the greatest, that’s what would drive the forcing and the pattern so if the marine heat waves shift around, the overall pattern likely would too. I agree that “cool down” is subjective in this warming climate.

When the gunk can finally clear away it can be very nice up here, way nicer than Long Beach for sure. The best weather period IMO is Sept through mid Oct generally. And the crowds on the beaches go away. When I lived in PA it was nice not having to worry about BDCFs coming through or seabreezes.

OT but I also find those buildings to be hideous. No character or attractiveness to them whatsoever other than to be the tallest billionaire stick on 57th St, which then another developer builds a taller billionaire stick next door as a selling point. The skyline looks atrocious with those things.

Yep, I don’t expect any real change to our lousy winters here until the W PAC meaningfully changes-cools down. It’s clear it keeps fueling these ridiculous Pacific Jet patterns that ruin any snow setup we have one way or another. It’s really something how no matter what the setup is, there’s some turd in the punchbowl that ruins it. It originates from too much chaos and progressiveness in the pattern-too many S/Ws so nothing can amplify, or the ridge/trough in the wrong place so we get cutters, or the continent flooded in maritime air.

I’ve always thought they should measure at LGA since it’s a central site within the city roughly, and they seem to a better job than whatever crew at Central Park over years. There are numerous times it’s clear the Park undermeasured again but the media goes with “NYC got….” from there. LaGuardia in recent years has been more realistic.

Muhahahahahahaaa

Maybe we can arrange for the zookeeper to have it during snow events for him to help NYC break 30” average finally.

5 minute drive.

Maybe if I hike up Jayne’s Hill and jump really high I can catch some catpaws.

Colder rain here probably, maybe snow down to 500 feet. Yay!

Depending on the model it might not be much, since the low might be occluding which means the broad scale lift decreases. Might be spokes of lighter rain and generally misty garbage on gusty east winds. Plenty of that the last few springs. Can't wait for this season to be over hopefully sometime in May and move into longer warm/dry periods. Mon and Tue could be okay next week but looks like more wet/raw garbage later in the week.

Can’t buy a flake in Feb, now we catch up.

Possibly, looks like higher elevations in the Catskills could get a nice event. If you’re away from Rt 17 and in the higher elevations the chances are better.

Down to 28.

You’ll have the mountains at least where the endless Pacific jet pattern should provide plenty of chances.

Sleet just now in Melville.

Goes to show how hard it is for long term drought to take hold here. I’m sure we’ll have the usual south shore drought once seabreeze/summer starts.

Maybe it’s your 8th least favorite after 33, 34, 35…. and drizzle?

What an atrocious raw day. Other than the 4 hours last Saturday and some breaks of sun here and there where temps can spike, horrible last couple weeks. And it looks to continue.

This time of the year just sucks here so many years. Sometimes even Memorial Day we’re still stuck in the muck.

Gloria and Belle made landfall over Jones Beach I think. Irene made landfall over the Rockaways but was just below hurricane status.

Yep for sure. Isaias in 2020 was a close call-if it hit NC as a Category 3 instead it would’ve been devastating all the way to our area.

Yep, might be hard to get a sustained hot/dry pattern on any westerly flow. More swampy low 90s/mid 70s dewpoint heat. But it’s been tough anyway with the Bermuda High migrating more and more northerly over the last few summers which means mostly southerly flow and Florida type weather.

About right.

Here we get to 70 if we have a westerly flow. South all day won’t do it. That’s 50s on the barrier islands and maybe mid 60s where I am.