jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Thank you both so very much. If you have your mothers/fathers, spend time with them and appreciate them.
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Thank you so much. I'm reminiscing right now about all the conversations we had before/when these storms would hit haha. And when I'd go outside starting in 1996. "Don't go out exploring!". She'd be fine doing things like making donuts on our intersection way after the storm was over haha.
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Thank you. You have no idea how crazy she thought I was walking to the boardwalk or wherever during any big snowstorm lol.
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Thank you. Hopefully Long Beach gets the jackpot.
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This isn't a rain snow line storm. It's where's the phase and mid level low tracks/how soon do they close off. And so far they're all trending more favorable every run.
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Thanks
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That storm on the Long Beach boardwalk was the best winter storm experience I’ve ever had. Wind with intensity even though the heaviest was over NJ. Thunder snow on 12/30/00 second best. My mom passed away recently so I can’t stay at her house for this but my place is fine.
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At 500mb this is our meteo Mona Lisa. Maybe she smiles in a certain way for you, me, Orange County, Riverhead but we’re in for a slamming. Nothing else to say.
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Yeah, I’d save the 18-24” stuff for tomorrow. Highlight the chances for more especially on LI and coastal NJ. Still time for shifts.
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Like it wants to come to Papa or something?
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There’s no way at this point to predict where the death bands set up. That’ll be the HRRR maybe 12 hours out. We’re all in the game for a historic outcome.
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I’m of the opinion that this could be preeeeeeeety preeeeeety pretty good?
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I’ll have to look but anyone have good analogs to this setup-maybe Feb 1978 (seriously)?
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I wish that 1” pentagon could be a little more hexagon-y.
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Meh. Could use some work around the edges.
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I mean @Allsnow has to do the honors. Welcome back!
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Maybe @MJO812 should get some supplies at the CVS for old times sake.
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18-24 diapers? Drifts to 36?
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I guess I can get that to suffice. Not too shabby. Shoot your cuffs.
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And ratios will definitely help NW of where the max QPF ends up, and banding will probably get into all of our subforum so we all have an equal chance at this point IMO at jackpot type amounts (20"+ maybe 25"). Wow wow wow. It sucked to miss 2/1 but this makes up for it!
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Someplace sure. The one time I experienced it was 12/30/00. All systems are go for an absolute crushing. Jan 2022 about 75 miles west?
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If the 700/850 low tracks over you sure. Again too soon to know where the best banding sets up but that’s what I’m really watching. That and how soon they close off. When you see the closed 700/500mb lows and deepening low not occluded yet you have a great feed of moisture into a healthy CCB.
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I think as long as the 500/700/850 lows are all closed off and go SE of us we’re fine in terms of mixing being an issue. If we start seeing those trend to tracking over us we have a problem.
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Yep. Often these like to tick east a little at the very end. I can definitely see the scenario where the death band sets up over NJ and Hudson Valley but way too early to iron out those details.
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The storm isn’t hugging the coast and turning people to rain guys lol.
