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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    That whole seabreeze boundary in Suffolk County lighting up.
  2. jm1220
    Radar estimates about 4.5” around Bayside/Douglaston/Little Neck.
  3. jm1220
    North Shore will probably get skunked. The boundary the storms are following was pushed south by the Douglaston and Smithtown storms so now they are favoring the south shore. Some thunder here and light rain, maybe it picks up to moderate for a while.
  4. jm1220
    Your area might get slammed. The seabreeze/outflow boundary sagged south after the Smithtown/Hauppauge storms and the storm over Nassau County now looks to be following that boundary.
  5. jm1220
    1996 and 2010-12 were the two wild weather periods I remember. This stretch personally since Jan 2022 however by far has been the most boring.
  6. jm1220
    Saw a 4.13” pixel right near Douglaston. Too bad it refuses to move and it’s probably helping to stabilize the setup here and elsewhere since now it’s just cloudy and windy here from the outflow boundaries all over the place.
  7. jm1220
    Finally a couple showers firing close to me. Up to 2 or 3 drops so far.
  8. jm1220
    Not one drop where I am. And of course. HRRR pretty much has this spotty stuff here where one place gets 3” and a mile away 3 drops. South Jersey Alley gets crushed again as the storm activity over NJ consolidates there.
  9. jm1220
    Same exact places as last August. Rt 347 area getting slammed.
  10. jm1220
    If you happen to have RadarScope you can see the convergence line on radar across LI.
  11. jm1220
    Slight risk for South Jersey Alley.
  12. jm1220
    Storms firing now around Smithtown/Hauppauge area on the boundary.
  13. jm1220
    Dewpoints at or near 80 in Long Beach. For sure whatever storms we get will have tons of moisture.
  14. jm1220
    Meandering seabreeze boundary today, maybe some storms can fire along it. Otherwise we wait for how organized the NJ storms are as they come east from the city.
  15. jm1220
    NWS could’ve kept the heat advisory. JFK is 88/75/98 at 11am. Feels like a swamp outside.
  16. jm1220
    Some 90s showing up in N Wantagh/Massapequa.
  17. jm1220
    Impossible to really say at this point. Encouraging that the models have storms surviving east of the city but we just have to see how it evolves.
  18. jm1220
    Not many clouds here. Many of us will make a run at 90 again until it clouds up.
  19. jm1220
    Yawn, and probably greater than 50-50 chance that tomorrow into Fri is more yawn while north and west gets soaked again. At least the heat goes away after today and we have a nice weekend.
  20. jm1220
    Outflow coming from the storm moving east. Also the storm is collapsing due to becoming dominated by downdrafts. You can see the outflow boundary racing south on radar.
  21. jm1220
    Few drops here. Looks like the usual collapse over the city before it gets here. Central Nassau looks like some heavy rain.
  22. jm1220
    I can see how most of us get a soaking or maybe half of us especially north get the soaking but east of the city gets mostly shafted ala NAM. If the warm front goes too far north and that heavy rain follows, and we have the usual big storm collapse east of the city with the cold/dry front, that’s how scenario 2 happens.
  23. jm1220
    That being said it could also end up as a usual big nothing east of the city if the initial warm frontal rain goes north, then the cold frontal storms do the die out as they head east from the city on Fri AM. That would leave LI as the screw zone.
  24. jm1220
    Yep, some of the backyard weather stations are pushing 80 degree dewpoints on the barrier islands.
  25. jm1220
    It’s about time for our August deluge. The warm 77 degree waters will give plenty of fuel.
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