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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. Yep, N winds and arctic air behind the front must be starting. We'll probably end with fluffier snow which will help the ratios. Dare I say 8"? Back edge isn't in a hurry.
  2. Definitely a heavy pasty snow too. Will be interesting to see how much water's in it, this will have staying power which is always good. The high QPF models won out for sure.
  3. I thought it was 6" in 12 hours? Maybe this is spread out over longer but I think we definitely hit 6", good shot at the 7". Radar looks good for next couple hours maybe.
  4. This will likely be a warning event overachiever for many and even did well north of the city due to a little help from the trough buckling and bringing moisture north. 1-2 degrees help and Central Park would be 5" right now too.
  5. About 5.5" on my deck and it's comimg down. Maybe end up with 7".
  6. Yep, chance it makes it to warning amount here. Coming down hard and more banding developing. Back edge doesn't look like it's hauling either.
  7. Back edge seems to be slowing down in NJ but it sucks. Needed 2-3 more degrees in Manhattan.
  8. We got the trough to buckle a little more which brought the moisture north. Glad the majority of us are having a good event.
  9. Still some time, looks like one last heavy band over the city but yeah-sucks. The city needs the cold northerly winds ahead of time.
  10. S winds ahead of any kind of storm ruin it right on the coast/city in December. We still have some time to go but this goes to show you. Gorgeous wet/pasty snow here though.
  11. 4” on my deck. Coming down good again. Maybe we end up with 5” or so.
  12. Obs in the obs thread please. Models/HRRR screwed us in this thread
  13. Light snow-slush pavement, dusting colder surfaces
  14. Same here. Nice baking powder before the show.
  15. Post obs/totals here. Currently 33, small dusting on my deck, flurries
  16. HRRR really has "go time" for us around midnight where heavier snow really develops.
  17. RRFS is still going gangbusters, warning event for LI and Monmouth, close for the city, and advisory event for just about all except far northern areas. It'll be a good test tomorrow to see how it ends up. Other modeling still a good event but slightly more tame overall.
  18. It's going to fill in quick. Not unexpected-this is an overnight event for the most part.
  19. We’ll cool down quick when the winds switch to offshore I think.
  20. We might lose a small amount at the very beginning especially on the barrier islands, but the northerly winds are bringing in fresh cold air this time and it should be very brief that it’s not accumulating or a mix. Goes to show though what still happens here when winds are onshore in December.
  21. Good sign. We might go to town for a few hours if we can get some good moisture transport north and banding. Thank goodness this isn't another system with lame cold air and we have fresh arctic air plunging in when the winds turn north.
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