jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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WeatherGeek asked me to close it.
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Accounting for the under measurements Central Park is probably around 25”. So if no more snow, would be slightly below normal. Central PA having yet another awful snow season-Williamsport at 17”. My average is probably around 35” and I have 30.5”. I’d still say it’s likely I make it to normal even if it’s scraping a couple of small events together but it’s a disappointment we couldn’t make any real snow happen since 1/25 and nothing really on the horizon.
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Some south facing lawns/hills have some bare spots but as expected this is a very resilient snowpack because of how much water is in it.
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As you wish.
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Really hoping we can get some ridging here into the spring. Last thing I want is endless gunk on easterly winds. It just makes it miserable and doesn’t help the drought.
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The front end on 12/5 produced for almost everyone north of I-195 and there was so much optimism for the next day when it became the big coastal storm, but like you said it was like Swiss cheese with winners and losers. In Long Beach it was okay to decent but it could’ve been way better had the Swiss cheese holes not happened.
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Yep I was thinking I’d end up with maybe 4-5” after so much was wasted to sleet/rain and that saved it.
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Yep. There’s a chance the Loch Ness Monster really lives in Jamaica Bay and he’s gonna pop his head up and devour a fishing boat.
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Can we change the title to Presidents No Potential?
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That’s what 2” of sleet driven into it will do.
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The coldest is definitely behind us but cold enough to snow at the end of the month-hopefully and get it to time up with some moisture. We need some luck since we’re back to the garbage hostile Pacific pattern of the last few winters.
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Or we’ll have foggy drizzly crap in the 40s on easterly winds. Misery but without the benefit of rain for the water table/reservoirs.
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For most of our forum we’re in moderate drought and severe further SW in the DC area. We’ll definitely be in severe by mid to late spring without a turnaround.
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We lost a decent amount today and some south facing hills started showing bare ground. But a long way to go for most.
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It did well in December when sniffing out the clipper threats and with the miss a week and a half ago.
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Did your kid cry this time when he saw it? He should. Great opportunity to bond over weenie tears.
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Big melt day today. Probably upper 40s for highs. This time of year without clouds we usually overshoot expected highs with the sun getting stronger every day and no leaves on the trees.
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March 2018 would like a word. The problem with this is we’re relying on a very fragile setup that could easily fall apart at this lead time and cold air is lacking. We need a dynamic system to create the cold air essentially and a favorable track.
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Even if we get a good track we have to deal with marginal cold at best. Of course we might finally get the storm but now the cold is gone.
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If it happens awesome. 138 hours left.
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The Little Metfan storm?
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Feb is typically our snowiest month but so far and as far as we can see it’s a strikeout. Maybe something will happen by the end of the month but it’s not promising right now. I don’t think this winter is a failure by any means like the last few but if we strike out on snow from here it’ll be average or a little better in general because of the cold. But that’s my opinion.
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I have a bad feeling the frigid waters will come back and bite us all through April and May as we sit in mid 40s and gunk/drizzle. It'll take sustained warmth to turn that around.
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Jones Beach water temp today is 33. That would explain an actual seabreeze today on the barrier islands. Sheesh. Mid to upper 30s in northern Nassau, around 32 in Long Beach.
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We’re the most difficult metro area in the Megalopolis to forecast in the winter by far. Every storm type can nail us or totally shaft us. The storm types that frequently nail Boston and it’s clear 3-4 days out can slam us, scrape or screw us. Same for the big Miller As that hit DC/Baltimore.
