eyewall

I never said that but obviously it is highly variable still from run to run.

And this is why we don't get take 10 days out too seriously on model runs.

I don't want an ice event.

Looks icy at the end on the p-type/thickness maps with a 1034 parent high in Quebec.

RDU will be lucky to see an inch this year.

Roxboro on 11/12: Raleigh today ahead of the next system:

BTV got around 7 or 8 last I saw. Pretty solid forecast. On a side note it even briefly snowed down here in the NC Piedmont today.

Roxboro Lake but I got there after precip ended. There is a snow pic above.

Lousy res attachment:

I had to go to Durham, so I figured why not take a brief trip up. I got some great foliage shots out of it too by the lake up there. Real nice colors!

Got 10 minutes of snow/sleet in Roxboro, NC . Maxed at 75/25 snow/sleet.

Looks like a nice early hit for my former home. Enjoy! Stowe is starting things off right as well.

You can definitely write off any snow Tue: Tuesday: A cold front over the mtns Tuesday morning will quickly advance eastward through central NC by Tuesday aft/eve. The best chance for precipitation will be ahead of the front, with the cold air chasing the rain out of the area. As a result, do not anticipate any p-type issues, however rapid clearing and very strong CAA behind the front will yield a non-diurnal temperature trend during the day (temperatures will likely fall through the day rather than rise).

That is a nice way to start off Enjoy!