eyewall

The 12z GFS for Juy 4th:

As mentioned the drought has largely remained the same since last week's update. With that said with a brutal heatwave coming, this is likely to worsen again and Falls Lake levels are going to drop some more outside of pop up storms. May the odds be ever in our favor. As mentione

Yesterday's rainfall resulted in about a 1 inch rise in Falls Lake water levels. I am guessing it will start dropping again over the next few days.

A solid hit of rain in Raleigh today at least!

Raleigh will put in place level 2 water restrictions once Falls Lake drops to 45% full. According to the graphs at the following link, that happens between 241 and 242 feet. The current forecast suggests that would happen in September but that is basically extrapolation. https://epec.saw.usace.army.mil/falls_summ.htm

The old Wake County Fizzle kicked in.

So much for the cool and rainy El Nino summer. Looks like our drought could get even worse. This was at Falls Lake yesterday (main sections still have water but even that is looking quite shallow in places):

The state of Falls Lake as of 6/21/2026 near Santee Road Point in Durham (Falls Lake is a main source of water for Raleigh).

I woke up and said it is about freaking time!

The severe risk completely busted in NC today

Depending on the eventual Cu field I think RDU is on track for around 103 today. 95F as of the 11am observation.

It sucks out there for sure. I am staying in the house.

Today's update cut back those numbers quite a bit.

NWS has 102 and 101 for Friday and Saturday of next week right now. Ugh sometimes I really hate it here.

It is blazing out there but at least the dewpoint isn't in the 70's.