Snowshack

We’ve still got political leaders and widely followed pundits being intellectually dishonest about AGW, so ita not surprising people latch onto their talking points.

Rain/sleet mix on north shore of Suffolk, 41f

Solid coating in Hauppauge with moderate snow.

Drove up to our place near Gore Mountain tonight - optimistic for at least a ground whitening tomorrow. NWS going with 2-4" above 1500' here...

These ideas still have to be written lightly in pencil, but you can break out the magic marker for the Christmas torch. Never seems to fail '

Keeping it as is doesn’t really impact forecasting though. Models can be programmed to de-emphasize climo, and forecasters should obviously be factoring in overall warming. Acknowledging the deviation from the norm and whether to lift a finger to address it is a political fight, so why change the record keeping? Think if you changed the averages to annual updates the only benefactor would be the crowd that is still arguing against the fact that something unusual is occurring.

Impressive lighting and thunder to start the day with the cell that just rolled through upton

In Bar Harbor this week and noticed Caribou art an all time warmest month record in July by a decent margin: July 2018 was the all-time warmest month at Caribou, maine. The average temperature of 70.9 degrees was 5.3 degrees above average (1981-2010 averages). Prior to this July, the warmest month at Caribou was July 1970 with an average temperature of 69.6 degrees. Weather records have been kept at Caribou since 1939. All of the top 10 warmest months at Caribou have occurred during the month of July. Here are the 5 all-time warmest months at Caribou: July 2018: 70.9 degrees (F) July 1970: 69.6F July 1952: 69.5 July 1959: 69.4 July 2010: 69.3

Head to the Dacks this weekend. Should be 40’s Saturday night.

What a great run. That is real winter.

Down to 53 from 75 in Wading river. Much more comfortable !

Agree with this. Another point is that winter is a higher stakes game for amateur(and professional) forecasters than the other seasons A forecast bust of .25" of liquid in a May rainstorm goes unnoticed by most people, but 3 or 4 extra inches of snow scares a whole lot of people. The way we overreact to snow is a whole other story...

Wish I could relate, cold season never lasts long enough imo. April is colder than October on average so it’s weird to see the snow hounds anxious for snow in October but wanting 70s in April We were a little west of Binghamton this morning and got into some moderate snow for a couple of hours. Hopefully a couple more chances this month before the inevitable warmth comes.

Still 75% cover here even after today’s rainfall, very surprising.

You can see the upward trendline well on BNL's snowfall chart, but the year to year volatility since the mid 90's has been wild as well. There is probably a stinker in our future..