winterwx21

2 inches of rain here with training storms. Flooding going on here in Piscataway.

And it's not only GFS. GGEM actually brings a good period of rain into the area saturday afternoon. Even the NAM brings a few showers saturday evening. Enough guidance brings it far enough north that we have to keep an eye on it, even though the meteorology argues that it should stay to the south. Hopefully the Euro is right about it staying south, because a lot of people would be irritated to see rain saturday after all forecasts have been saying saturday is the one sure dry day of the holiday weekend.

I definitely agree that it's a low confidence forecast. That's sort of my point. All forecasts have been acting as if saturday is a slam dunk beautiful day. I think it's questionable just like the rest of the weekend. GGEM has been extremely consistent in bringing the batch of rain acoss PA and then into our area saturday afternoon. It's not out of the question that it could be right. It could go to the south, but I don't want people to be shocked if saturday afternoon plans end up being ruined.

12z GGEM shows rain saturday afternoon. Even GFS now shows some scattered showers for saturday. I mentioned this yesterday. Why are all forecasts saying saturday is the one beautiful day of the holiday weekend with no chance of rain at all? Seems as if they're ignoring guidance that's showing rain for saturday. I wouldn't be surprised if sunday ends up better than saturday. What do you guys think?

I keep hearing that saturday is the one day of the holiday weekend with no chance of rain, but I see NAM brings in rain late in the day saturday. GGEM shows similar. Any chance these 2 models are right and saturday ends up with rain? Lee Goldberg seems confident that saturday will be dry.

Do you guys think we could see a rare May frost early next week? I always plant the tomatoes during the first few days of May, but I'm a little hesitant to do that right now because of how chilly it looks early next week. Right now to me it looks as if it could drop to about 40 monday night which would be ok, but it would only have to trend a little colder to get to frost level. I'm wondering if I should plant late this year to be safe.

1:30am and the back edge of the heavy rain is already near Trenton. This is in and out very quickly, with probably only around a half inch of rain. There will be some scattered downpours during the afternoon, but overall this won't be the huge rainstorm that was advertised. Thursday's storm looks as if it will be a much bigger one.

Come on, you're a baseball fan. I don't understand why you root for bad weather for your beloved NY Mets. It's time for warm, beautiful weather for baseball. I love snow, but don't want to see it again until late November or December.

You sure don't talk like a baseball fan. Why would you want dreary weather for your Mets?

He is terrible. You're much better off watching Lee Goldberg on channel 7.

Every year I plant broccoli, lettuce, radishes and peas during the last few days of March. I find that it's enough time to get good crops before it gets too hot.

My 8" today gets me to about 29 inches for the winter. I believe that's just about average for this area. Not bad considering how warm this winter has been. Amazing how well we continue to do in the snowfall department despite the winters getting warmer and warmer.

After it ended I measured 8 inches of snow/sleet. Taking into account that compaction happens, I'm guessing we got 9 or 9.5 here. So pretty close to what you measured. Quite a storm, even though it was a bust in the snowfall department.

RGEM looked like a nice thump of snow before the changeover. Much better than NAM, that's for sure.

HRRR gives NYC much more than 10 inches of snow. 01z HRRR snow map shows about 17 inches for NYC.