winterwx21

Of course heading in our direction doesn't mean it's gonna rain here, and the rain fell apart as expected. The models were right about us getting nothing this afternoon and evening.

Yes I'm not sure what he was talking about near Allentown. On the Mount Holly base reflectivity loop you can see echoes south of Allentown through central Jersey, but they are clearly false echoes (ground clutter).

Fill in near Allentown? All I see on radar out that way is false echoes. And you can clearly see the echoes way to the south being pushed east when they make it up to southern Jersey. It's very obvious to me that there's not going to be any rain at all up here this afternoon, but we'll see.

Hard to believe every model is gonna be wrong about rain not making it up here this afternoon. You can see the radar echoes weakening and moving more ENE once they get up to southern Jersey. I could see some sprinkles making it up to central Jersey, but that should be about it.

Missed me by 1 to 2 miles to the south. Lots of thuinder and right near the edge of the dark clouds. Frustrating to have the storm that close and miss it.

Early in the day someone pointed out that NAM had the heavy rain missing NYC to the east for tonight. You said radar over models, but the NAM ended up being right. It was right on the money about the heavy rain going just to the east of NYC tonight.

Radar doesn't look very promising for much rain here tonight. Looks as if it's gonna miss to the west and east, which is what the latest run of HRRR shows. I think we'll see very little rain tonight, which obviously is opposite of what forecasts are saying.

And then after wednesday it looks as if it will improve. The models aren't showing much for thursday through the weekend. Then perhaps an increase in activity early next week.

I was just coming here to post about this. Laughable that the 17z run of HRRR is showing nothing for northern Jersey while a solid line of heavy storms is moving through. Don't know how it could miss something so obvious.

Loud thunder woke me up a little after 6am, but the storm missed me just a shade to the south. Only sprinkles here. One Piscataway station just a few miles away from me reported a half inch of rain. Frustrating for it to be so close. We really need the rain. The ground is bone dry and I was hoping to not have to water the garden today. Hopefully this next batch of rain moving into western Jersey won't miss me to the south as well. Looks like a close call with my area being near the edge again.

Picked up .31" from the batch of rain early this morning. Now getting light showers from the last batch of rain of the day. Probably will add only a few hundreths here, but at least this morning's rain was enough to water the garden. As I mentioned a few days ago, the timing of the front was too early to get heavy t-storms this afternoon. Maybe it will blossom in time to hit areas to the east. Eastern LI could get some heavy rain later.

Amy Freeze is the worst weather person I've ever seen on tv. So many mistakes that it's mind-boggling. Today she keeps talking about how saturday is going to be a beautiful sunny day with low humidity, yet every time the 7 day forecast is put up it has a thunderstorm posted for saturday. She is so dumb that she keeps missing that miatake. And I've seen this type of mistake happen so many times with her. She is a complete and utter joke. What a difference from the high quality forecasts from Lee Goldberg and Jeff Smith. I wonder if someone on channel 7 will finally catch the mistake and take that thunderstorm off of saturday the next time they show the 7 day forecast. This is a joke.

The timing of the front friday looks a little earlier than I'd like. Looks more like late morning and early afternoon storms rather than late day. Hopefully it won't be so early that we miss out on the best storms. That would be a shame.

Yeah, we got a nice storm/heavy downpour that delivered .50" of rain. A much needed watering out there after all the heat.

Brief moderate shower here. Very frustrating day so far with storms missing to the northeast and to the south.