winterwx21

85 with a dewpoint of 70 here. It's humid out there, but nothing like the tropical steambath that we had when dewpoints were in the high 70s. Looks like very little chance of rain this weekend. Most of the advertised convection for this week didn't really pan out, and we got only about a third of an inch of rain for the entire week here. I'll be watering the vegetable garden today. Hopefully we'll see something on Monday.

Yeah I don't think there's gonna be much activity this afternoon, but we'll see.

Yeah I saw that cell popping up on radar last night before I went to sleep. I thought it would miss me just a little to the northwest, and that's what happened. I got only 0.23" from last night's steady rain, but at least it was enough to give the garden a watering.

Storms missing well to the south, but at least it has been a decent batch of steady light to moderate rain. 0.10" here so far and we'll be adding a little more to that. Just enough to water things out there.

For south of the city it looks pretty active for tonight. We have a flash flood watch in effect here. I was just looking at the latest models, and they're actually not showing a lot of activity for tomorrow now. This evening might end up being more active than tomorrow.

Yeah I can't blame you for that after what we went through last week. Thankfully they weren't severe. I did see some nice cloud to cloud lightning. As far as the rainfall, I got 0.08" from that little band of light to moderate rain.

Had a couple 30mph wind gusts and a couple rumbles of thunder, but yeah it's only light rain. Probably only gonna get a few hundreths to maybe a tenth out of this.

It's a very close call for our area. The northern part of the line heading into Mercer and Hunterdon could brush northern Middlesex and maybe even Union if it holds together. 21z HRRR has it missing just a shade to my south with heavy rain going through central Middlesex and light amounts up here, but we'll see. I'm holding off on watering the vegetable garden, hoping we get a decent amount of rain. Wouldn't be a surprise if it's just a shower though.

Not a surprise that HRRR was way off with the huge amounts for today. That model is very inconsistent, and it seems to be wrong more often than it's right.

Not bad. I would've liked that amount to water the vegetable garden. Hopefully I'll have better luck here tomorrow. As others have pointed out, the coverage of storms should be better tomorrow.

Yeah I see part of Somerset County is getting it pretty good. I'm in between here with the downpours missing to the west in Somerset County and just slightly to the east in Middlesex County.

Downpour missing just a few miles to the east.

What a steambath out there. I was outside cutting up a couple big limbs that had fallen in my yard from the severe storm on Thursday. Completely drenched just like I had gone for a run. Feels terrible out there. Looking at radar I see a downpour is getting close.

Looks like this HRRR run was way overdone. We don't have the heavy storms across west-central NJ that this 12z HRRR run was showing for 2pm. HRRR has since backed off somewhat. We do have some small downpours popping up here and there. I'm getting a little shower here right now.

At least it's perfect timing though with 3 great days for the big holiday weekend. Even tomorrow with temps going into the low 90s, it won't feel bad out there with dewpoints only coming up a little to the low 60s. Couldn't have asked for a better 3 day holiday weekend.