2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[Imgoinhungry]

I have to travel from Taneytown to Westminster at 11pm Sunday- how screwed am I haha

Pretty screwed


.

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, CatoctinRN said:

I have to travel from Taneytown to Westminster at 11pm Sunday- how screwed am I haha

You'll be fine if you don't drive foolishly.

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

You'll be fine if you don't drive foolishly.

Will he??? What makes you say that. 

[yoda]

The IVT is way west on the 18z HRRR fwiw... I think?  A foot near MRB/OKV area

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

hrrr is tucked 

[EHoffman]

3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

hrrr is tucked 

Low position is great but man is the surface torched

[IronTy]

JB says DC is 5-10", locally 12".  

[Interstate]

13 minutes ago, CatoctinRN said:

I have to travel from Taneytown to Westminster at 11pm Sunday- how screwed am I haha

for your 15 minute drive?

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

2 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Low position is great but man is the surface torched

Just gonna have to take a great low position and let it ride 

[nj2va]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Just gonna have to take a great low position and let it ride 

I trust 3k thermals over the HRRR.  Hopefully a good NAMing about to come.

[snowfan]

Don’t look at the hrrr if you live in Frederick lol. 

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, IronTy said:

JB says DC is 5-10", locally 12".  

he has been consistent with that all week @psuhoffman

[snowfan]

Temps aside, the hrrr is juiced for the 95 corridor. 1”+ QPF. 

[EB89]

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

Don’t look at the hrrr if you live in Frederick lol. 

Too late

[Snowman.]

HRRR still snowing at 15z Monday

[yoda]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

VAZ064-512-524-525-220345-
/O.EXB.KAKQ.WS.A.0003.260222T1800Z-260223T1800Z/
Caroline-Eastern Hanover-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and
  4 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Hanover, Caroline, Hampton/Poquoson, and Newport
  News Counties.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

[EHoffman]

WWA hoisted for DC and immediate burbs:

 

Quote

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

DCZ001-MDZ013-016-504-VAZ053-054-501-526-527-220400-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0011.260222T2200Z-260223T1500Z/
District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Charles-Central and Southeast
Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern
Fauquier-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince
William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...DC, central and southern Maryland, and northern Virginia.

* WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

 

[LeesburgWx]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

MDZ004-503-VAZ505-506-220400-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/
Frederick MD-Northwest Montgomery-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
  6 inches. For elevations above 1,000ft, snow accumulations upwards
  of 6 to 12 inches are expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...In Maryland, Northwest Montgomery and Frederick MD
  Counties. In Virginia, Eastern Loudoun and Western Loudoun
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

 

[yoda]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

MDZ021>025-220345-
/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0003.260222T1500Z-260224T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260224T0000Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  between 8 and 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Dorchester, Inland Worcester, Maryland Beaches, Somerset,
  and Wicomico Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening
  commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

 

[nj2va]

Just now, EHoffman said:

WWA hoisted for DC and immediate burbs:

 

 

Makes sense, can always upgrade.  I like when LWX plays catch up anyways.

[bncho]

@MillvilleWx the HRRR and NAM 3k have been consistent on a McLean/Tysons/Vienna local jack. Is this due to elevation? (12” vs 5” at DCA 10:1)

[GreyHat]

18 minutes ago, CatoctinRN said:

I have to travel from Taneytown to Westminster at 11pm Sunday- how screwed am I haha

Don't feel bad I'm supposed to drive from Magnolia Delaware to Ft Meade MD @ 2:30 a.m. Monday and just called out.

[Snowman.]

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

Thats 12z

[yoda]

Some places went from nothing straight to warning from LWX 

[Paleocene]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

@MillvilleWx the HRRR and NAM 3k have been consistent on a McLean/Tysons/Vienna local jack. Is this due to elevation? (12” vs 5” at DCA 10:1)

 

on that map it looks like it. the anacostia river valley into NE DC, and prince george's, is also a low point. successful banding + elevation.

 

@bncho https://en-us.topographic-map.com/map-8t6/United-States/?center=38.94056%2C-77.01166&zoom=11

[GreyHat]

Just received this text

 

[arlwx12]

Blizzard warnings for VA Eastern Shore...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

VAZ100-220345-
/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0003.260222T1500Z-260224T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260224T0000Z/
Northampton-
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  between 3 and 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Northampton County.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.
  Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel,
have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with
your vehicle. Call 511 for road information.

&&

$$

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

VAZ099-220345-
/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0003.260222T1500Z-260224T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAKQ.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260224T0000Z/
Accomack-
242 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  between 4 and 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Accomack County.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds
  could bring down tree branche

[Cobalt]

lol the HRRR has precip in the vicinity of the DC area from hour 15-48 (and counting)

[Wxtrix]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

MDZ003-VAZ031-WVZ051>053-220400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/
Washington-Clarke-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
246 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
  6 inches with locally 8 inches on the higher hills. Winds gusting
  as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...In Maryland, Washington County. In Virginia, Clarke
  County. In West Virginia, Berkeley, Jefferson, and Morgan Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

 

[WVclimo]

Currently sunny and 57° with a WSW going into effect 24 hours from now.