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BTRWx's Thanks Giving

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About BTRWx's Thanks Giving

  • Birthday 05/06/1989

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  • Website URL
    https://btrwx1.wixsite.com/btrwx

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Alexandria, VA (Fairfax County)
  • Interests
    Winter

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  1. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    Um, that's last year!
  2. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    Lmao!
  3. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    I agree. Signals have not been great early. For what it's worth, the tropical Pacific is probably the best region to extend far out into the long range for any season. The eastern tropical Pacific seems to be cooling rather quickly. One saving grace is that the daily SOI today was -35 and that seems quite unusual with the beginning stages of a possible nina. Beyond that, I like to find analogs of global ssta values globally compared to other years. I haven't looked at analogs yet myself.
  4. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    Personally, I'm all for sharing sub-regions. Just don't overstay your welcome, because the other guys will make your time rather unpleasant if you do. As long as you don't talk about your region here, you should be fine.
  5. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    September Banter 2019

    He's falling more and more victim to political interests it seems. I had to unfollow him unfortunately.
  6. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    What does the eps show?
  7. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    GEFS has the low headed into the GOM. Fox5 met Mike Thomas thinks that would lead to a weaker system.
  8. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    September Banter 2019

    So dang far!
  9. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    September Banter 2019

    When a hurricane rides up the coast, can it be expected that a ridge will then build over us?
  10. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    It's much weaker than it was. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html
  11. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    Losing the northeast Pacific blob sucks.
  12. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I would think a surge is still a good possibility for immediate coastal locales in east FL.
  13. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Anticyclonic spin at 4:00...fail
  14. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I know the hrrr isn't a hurricane model, but its short range capabilities show that nicely. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=seus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2019090218&fh=7
  15. BTRWx's Thanks Giving

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I think also the land interaction with the core has hindered intensity and when it fully passes the Bahamas, some restrengthening may occur.
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